Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA STEPHEN         (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 ★    
2  MO SUMMER         (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  DESERT PEPPER         (marquez jose )FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 15% 5.50    
4  RAMOS Aug15 Jul24 May29     (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  MIDNIGHT GHOST Aug21         (long vaughn)RAMOS B 117 10.00 ★    
 
ARP-3   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAY BACK WHEN Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
2  BAD BOY BILL Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr26   (gleason tyro)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 3.50    
3  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY Jul17         (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 20.00    
4  MORO BLACK BOOK Aug02 Jul05       (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
5  BEHOLD DE SPRING         (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
6  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May22 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 4.50 6% 15.90    
7  CASH CRUZER Aug02 Jul11 May29 Apr03 Mar20 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  OUR HALF FIRST Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 May27   (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 18% 4.70    
9  TANDEM DRIVE Aug02 Mar08       (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
 
ARP-4   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEFTESS Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 May30 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 124 8.00 ★    
2  JUST LUCK Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 May27 May13 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  TOURIST LIKE ME Jul26 Jul11 Jun10 May30 Mar25 (shephard john)WALES T 124 4.50    
4  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Mar05 Feb25 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  GOLD PASS Aug07 Jul26 Jun10 May20   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 ★    
6  D L'S GIRL Jul26 Jul11 May14 Apr30 Apr10 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
ARP-5   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AL'S PRINCESS Aug15 Aug02       (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 ★    
2  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Jul25 Jun17 May13 Apr30 Apr16 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
3  MACHOS VISION Jul24 Jul04 May07 Apr02 Mar06 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
4  OUT OF THE SKY Aug02 Jul18 Apr08 Mar16 Feb15 (jenkins l)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
5  HEY ROXY Jul18 Jun07 May23 May09 Apr25 (williams ste)BETHKE A 124 2.50 ★    
6  DONNAS FINAL WORD Aug09 Jul03 Jun11 May29 May21 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 121 8.00    
 
ARP-6   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEACON BEACON Aug02 Jul11 May20 Apr02 Mar19 (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
2  DOCS CARO CAT Jul17 Jul03 Jun17     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 ★    
3  GREAT AWAKENING Jul24 Jun10 Jun05 May22 Apr10 (hibdon mark )MARTIN A 120 10.00    
SCR  MORO HOUDINI Aug09 Jul19 Jul05     (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
5  BULL RING Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 May20 May09 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
6  ITS YOUR THING Jul17         (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 20.00    
7  DOX BIZ Jul24 Jun27 Jun03 May01 Apr15 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 ★    
8  BENTLEY Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May14 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
9  J P'S WEST ACRES         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 16% 5.30    
 
ARP-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOTER'S BOY Aug01 Jul11 May13 Apr23 Apr15 (anderson c)WALES T 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  BUMPER POOL Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 Jun10 May07 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 20.00    
3  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Jul18 Jul04 May20 Apr09   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  GOLD LABEL Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Mar19 Feb26 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★    
5  COWBOY DON Jul11 Jun10 May21 May01 Apr09 (mcdonald willi)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 ★    
6  PREACHER Aug01 Jul05 May14 May01 Apr16 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
ARP-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LEAVE Aug09         (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
2  J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00    
3  SOJOURNER TRUTH Aug21 Aug07 Jul04 May21 Apr20 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00    
4  THAT'S ALL RIGHT Aug21 Jul02 Jun17 May21 Apr15 (mitchell ste)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
5  MISS OCEAN EXPRESS Jul18 Jul04 Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
6  RYRYSWEETIE Jul31 Jul18 Jun18 Jun04 May20 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
7  DABBLIN CHANNEL Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 May21 May13 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
8  OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 4.50    
9  MILLI STARR Aug21 Jul24 Jun17 Jun12 May30 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00    
10  MISS ELLIE'S GIRL Jul12 Jun12 May27 May20   (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
11  IZE DISCREET ROSE Aug21 Jun18 Jun04 May28 Feb26 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  POLLY WAR CRY Jul24 Jun18 May30 May14 Apr30 (dieter dalto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-9   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT Jul31 Jul11 May21 Apr26 Apr12 (christian billy)WALES T 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  ALWAYS A TIZ Jul11 Jun11 May29 Apr22 Mar27 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
3  AMERICAN REALITY Aug07 Jul17 Apr16 Apr02 Mar20 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jan06   (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 4.50 ★    
5  INAGOODWAY Aug21 Aug01 Jun06 May21   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00    
6  STUNTING Jul31 Jul19 Apr16 Mar05   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 17.70    
7  GOODNIGHTLOVING Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 Jun12 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
8  INTO CLASSIC Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 May06 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.