Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS IZZY BEE 2 1 1½ 2nk   1nk 1 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 19% 4.20 1.00 W
TAP THE HEART 4 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 2 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 20.00 7% 14.20 13.10 P
AIR WALKER 6 6 6 54   32 3 (shephard john)WALES T 124 12.00 9.10 S
QUEEN OF THE ICE 5 3 32 32   4 4 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 8.60  
PUT A BLING ON IT 3 4 4 4   5 518 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 45% 1.20 1.30  
LA CAPRICHOSA 1 5 5 68   6 620½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 21.90  
 
ARP-4   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHASTAWIN 3 1 11 1   12 16 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.00 2.20  
BRING THE POSSE 4 5 21 2   22 26 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 117 2.50 69% 0.40 3.30 P
MS BUMBLEBEE 5 6 5 4   44 3 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 5.70 S
IMA HOT TOTTIE 6 7 4 3   33 4 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 8.00 8.00  
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 1 2 32 6   69 517½ (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00 14.90  
MIDNIGHT GHOST 7 3 65 5   58 618¼ (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 3.10  
FLYING LADY 2 4 76 7   713 719¼ (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 120 15.00 6.30  
SCR  MISS MARY'S FLURRY               (parsons riley)WALES T 120 6.00    
 
ARP-5   08/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:252 :483 1:123 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD NOTE 2 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 12 1 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.60 W
THETRASHMANSCOMING 5 6 31 1nk 1nk 3 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30 P
BUBBAS DIXIE 3 4 2½ 3 3 22 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 6% 15.20 2.10 S
THE GREATEST EAGLE 4 7 7 611½ 5 57 411 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 26.70  
WATER PATROL 6 3 6 712 610 4 513¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 4.50 11.80  
CLIFTON PARK 1 2 55 5 710½ 710½ 620¾ (alvarado alejan)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 10.00  
DABBLIN CHANNEL 7 5 43 4 4 610 721¼ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 119 10.00 28.10  
 
ARP-6   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLE'S JOY 7 1 2½ 11   14 1 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 11% 8.00 0.70 W
ULTRA CORDIAL 2 3 44 4   3 2 (young a)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 10% 8.70 24.90 P
REMARKABLE CHARM 3 7 610 6   5 3 (roberts brian )MARTIN A 124 10.00 12.40 S
THAT'S ALL RIGHT 6 4 31 3   4 413¼ (mitchell stets)BETHKE A 124 20.00 6% 16.30 15.00  
SOJOURNER TRUTH 1 6 710 713½   7 514¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 22.30  
IZE DISCREET ROSE 4 5 58 5   6 616¼ (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 3.50 47% 1.10 8.70  
JOE G'S PAYBACK 5 2 1½ 21   24 718¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 1.90  
 
ARP-7   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:124 1:262   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA'S DIVA 6 2 5 55 2 21 1 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 34% 1.90 5.30 W
RED BOTTOM REBEL 1 4 11 1½ 1 11 2 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 23% 3.30 0.30 P
INAGOODWAY 2 3 3 31 3 33 39 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 9.30  
BEHOLD THAT WORD 3 6 610½ 611 68 47 410¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 5.20  
MILLI STARR 4 5 21 2½ 54 611½ 533¼ (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 14% 6.00 32.70  
SHIVERHERTIMBERS 5 1 4 43 4 511 638 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 20.00 15.20  
SCR  AWESOME SUNSET               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-8   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 5 5 53 56   11 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 29% 2.50 0.40 W
VERRAZANO FIRST 6 2 21 22   21 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 15% 5.80 4.50 P
AUTOPILOT 3 3 43 34   4 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 12.60  
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 4 4 11 12   31 47 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 25% 3.10 8.20  
WILDCAT NATION 2 6 67 69   5 514 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 7% 12.80 11.60  
OURBESTFRIEND D L 1 1 3 4   6 619¼ (anderson david )CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 10.40  
SCR  CONVENTION (IRE)               (martinez a)BETHKE A 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.