The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-3   08/21/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:221 :454 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISS IZZY BEE 2 1 1½ 2nk   1nk 12¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 19% 4.20 1.00 W
4  TAP THE HEART 4 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 22¾ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 120 20.00 7% 14.20 13.10 P
6  AIR WALKER 6 6 66½ 54   32 37¾ (shephard john)WALES T 124 12.00 ★ 9.10 S
5  QUEEN OF THE ICE 5 3 32 32   42½ 49¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 ★ 8.60  
3  PUT A BLING ON IT 3 4 42½ 42½   56½ 518 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 45% 1.20 1.30  
1  LA CAPRICHOSA 1 5 56½ 68   69½ 620½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 21.90  
 
ARP-4   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($11.7K) 2 F PT- 4:15
:23 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHASTAWIN 3 1 11 11½   12 16 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.00 ★ 2.20  
4  BRING THE POSSE 4 5 21 21½   22 26 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 117 2.50 69% 0.40 3.30 P
5  MS BUMBLEBEE 5 6 53½ 42½   44 38¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 ★ 5.70 S
7  IMA HOT TOTTIE 6 7 42½ 31½   33 48½ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 117 8.00 8.00  
1  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 1 2 32 66½   69 517½ (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00 14.90  
8  MIDNIGHT GHOST 7 3 65 54½   58 618¼ (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 3.10  
2  FLYING LADY 2 4 76 79½   713 719¼ (vicchrilli russell)BETHKE A 120 15.00 ★ 6.30  
SCR  MISS MARY'S FLURRY               (parsons riley)WALES T 120 6.00 ★    
 
ARP-5   08/21/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance   Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:252 :483 1:123 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLD NOTE 2 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 12 13¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.60 W
5  THETRASHMANSCOMING 5 6 31 1nk 1nk 32½ 23¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30 P
3  BUBBAS DIXIE 3 4 2½ 31½ 31½ 22 33¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 6% 15.20 2.10 S
4  THE GREATEST EAGLE 4 7 78½ 611½ 59½ 57 411 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 26.70  
6  WATER PATROL 6 3 66½ 712 610 46½ 513¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 4.50 ★ 11.80  
1  CLIFTON PARK 1 2 55 58½ 710½ 710½ 620¾ (alvarado alejandro)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 10.00  
7  DABBLIN CHANNEL 7 5 43 44½ 47½ 610 721¼ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 119 10.00 ★ 28.10  
 
ARP-6   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:222 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ISABELLE'S JOY 7 1 2½ 11   14 17¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 11% 8.00 0.70 W
2  ULTRA CORDIAL 2 3 44 45½   34½ 27¼ (young a)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 10% 8.70 24.90 P
3  REMARKABLE CHARM 3 7 610 69½   55½ 37¾ (roberts m)MARTIN A 124 10.00 ★ 12.40 S
6  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 6 4 31 32½   45½ 413¼ (mitchell stetson)BETHKE A 124 20.00 6% 16.30 15.00  
1  SOJOURNER TRUTH 1 6 710 713½   79½ 514¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 22.30  
4  IZE DISCREET ROSE 4 5 58 57½   66½ 616¼ (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 3.50 47% 1.10 8.70  
5  JOE G'S PAYBACK 5 2 1½ 21   24 718¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 1.90  
 
ARP-7   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:232 :462 1:124 1:262   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIVA'S DIVA 6 2 56½ 55 21½ 21 11¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 34% 1.90 5.30 W
2  RED BOTTOM REBEL 1 4 11 1½ 11½ 11 21¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 23% 3.30 0.30 P
3  INAGOODWAY 2 3 31½ 31 32½ 33 39 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 9.30  
4  BEHOLD THAT WORD 3 6 610½ 611 68 47 410¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 ★ 5.20  
5  MILLI STARR 4 5 21 2½ 54 611½ 533¼ (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 14% 6.00 32.70  
6  SHIVERHERTIMBERS 5 1 44½ 43 43½ 511 638 (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 124 20.00 ★ 15.20  
SCR  AWESOME SUNSET               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-8   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:224 :452 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLLUSIONIST 5 5 53 56   11 12¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 29% 2.50 0.40 W
7  VERRAZANO FIRST 6 2 21 22   21 22¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 15% 5.80 4.50 P
3  AUTOPILOT 3 3 43 34   41¼ 33½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 12.60  
4  STEPHEN'S ANSWER 4 4 11 12   31 47 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 25% 3.10 8.20  
2  WILDCAT NATION 2 6 67 69   55¼ 514 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 7% 12.80 11.60  
1  OURBESTFRIEND D L 1 1 32½ 45½   66¾ 619¼ (anderson c)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★ 10.40  
SCR  CONVENTION               (martinez a)BETHKE A 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.