Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY 1 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50 21% 3.70 0.60 W
PORSUMSUGARONME 2 4 4 3½   2½ 2 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 1.80 P
TOP OF THE PODIUM 4 3 3½ 2nk   31 3 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 4.00 S
J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY 3 1 2½ 4   47 422¾ (shephard john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 9.70  
SCR  GOODNIGHTLOVING               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
 
ARP-4   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT NATION 4 5 4 3   1nk 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 55% 0.80 1.50 W
CHICORY BLUE 3 1 22 2   3.2 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 10% 8.60 14.70 P
RED WES 5 2 12 1   2nk 3 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 3.50 12% 7.20 2.40 S
KING JINGALING 2 3 5 4   4 413½ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 8.00 1.40  
FOR REEL 1 4 3 59   5 514¼ (stivers ryan)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00 12.10  
 
ARP-5   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE 4 5 11 11   1 1 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 1.00 0.20  
WRATH 2 1 21 21   2 2 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.90 P
SWINGIN' SAM 1 4 56 44   33 310¼ (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 15% 5.70 13.20 S
DANCE FOR RANSOM 5 3 33 33   4 412½ (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 124 4.50 14.40  
MERRY MIX UP 3 2 44 5   5 521½ (marquez jose)MARTIN A 116 15.00 24.20  
 
ARP-6   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST BROKER 7 5 55 54   3½ 1½ (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5.60  
I'M LUCKY 4 1 2 1½   1½ 2½ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 4.50 24% 3.20 13.80 P
T. P. RIGHT LANE 6 3 3 32   2½ 3 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 119 4.50 15.90 S
MY TRUE REWARD 5 6 6 66   6 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.70  
A P'S BLUEGRASS 3 2 4 43   5 5 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 10.00 9% 10.40 0.80  
ROCKETRINGO 2 4 1 2½   42 610½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 29% 2.40 4.20  
GIMME SPACE 1 7 712½ 712   710½ 716¾ (childs russell )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 29.70  
SCR  ACCOUSTICAL               (rushton te)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 8% 11.20    
 
ARP-7   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABUELA CORI 5 4 1½ 11   1½ 1¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 8.70  
KELLEY'S MANDATE 1 5 44 31   2½ 2¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 16% 5.30 1.70 P
MY INSTIGATOR 6 2 2½ 21   3½ 3 (wales dale)WALES T 124 4.50 15% 5.80 2.60 S
ONE HOT REDHEAD 4 3 32 5   52 4 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 6.00  
O'LORDY LORD 3 1 6 6   6 5 (hudson raina)MARTIN A 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.40  
SEGOVIANA 2 6 54 4   41 67 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 16.10  
SCR  HIGH ON LIFE               (young a)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
SCR  SMART ACT               (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARLOWS PRIDE 7 1 22 23   1nk 1 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 6.00 18.70  
JONO 3 2 12 13   2nk 2 (rushton te)GONZALEZ V 120 15.00 14% 6.20 2.50 P
CRUZ'N OLLIE 5 3 4 35   32 35 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 4.50 7.20 S
HOT ARTIE 1 4 33 4   4 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.70 0.90  
FRIENDLY FOE 6 5 5 5   5 515 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 35% 1.90 16.40  
RANCHER 2 7 713 716   715¾ 618½ (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 7.80  
KEARNEY 4 6 67 610   6 719 (long vaughn)BETHKE A 120 8.00 7.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.