Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOODNIGHTLOVING Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 Jun12 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
2  LIL MISS DE BUY Jul25 Jul11 Jun12 May13 Apr29 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  PORSUMSUGARONME Jul31 Jul18 Jun17 May30 May13 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 ★    
4  J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY Jul31 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 May30 (shephard john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 ★    
5  TOP OF THE PODIUM Jul26 Jul11 Apr01     (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 ★    
 
ARP-4   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR REEL Jul03 Jun17 May30 May14 Apr24 (stivers ryan)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00 ★    
2  KING JINGALING Jun25 Jun09 May22 May08 Apr09 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 8.00 ★    
3  CHICORY BLUE Jul24 Jun11 May29 May18 Apr10 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  WILDCAT NATION Jul05 May06 Apr16 Apr08 Mar12 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  RED WES Jul18 Jul04       (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-5   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWINGIN' SAM Jul18 May27 May07 Apr30 Apr16 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
2  WRATH Jul18 Jul03 Jun04 May21 Apr30 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
3  MERRY MIX UP Jul25         (marquez jose)MARTIN A 116 15.00 ★    
4  GOOSE DRANK WINE Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 May21 May07 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 1.00 ★    
5  DANCE FOR RANSOM Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun26 Jun04 (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
 
ARP-6   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMME SPACE         (childs russell )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
2  ROCKETRINGO Jul18 Jul05 Jun10 May21 Apr16 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  A P'S BLUEGRASS Apr01 Mar12 Feb26     (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
4  I'M LUCKY Jul26 Jul11 Jun17 Jun03 May27 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  MY TRUE REWARD Jul25 Jun18 May29 May14 Apr30 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
6  T. P. RIGHT LANE Jul19 Jul04 Apr23 Mar19   (rushton temp)BETHKE A 119 4.50 ★    
7  WEST COAST BROKER Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 Jun17 May30 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
SCR  ACCOUSTICAL Apr23 Mar26 Mar05     (rushton te)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 8% 11.20    
 
ARP-7   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLEY'S MANDATE Jul26 Jul12 Apr22 Apr02 Mar03 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  HIGH ON LIFE Mar26 Mar05 Jan02     (young a)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
3  SEGOVIANA Jul18 Jul03 Apr08 Feb25 Feb19 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00    
4  O'LORDY LORD Jul17         (hudson raina)MARTIN A 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  ONE HOT REDHEAD May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00    
6  ABUELA CORI Jul18 Feb19       (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 ★    
7  MY INSTIGATOR Jul18 Jul03 May28 Apr30 Jan15 (wales dale)WALES T 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  SMART ACT         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE Jul25 Jul18 Jul04 May06 Apr16 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  RANCHER Jul04 Apr28 Apr20 Apr07 Mar10 (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
3  JONO Jul18 Jul03 Apr23 Mar20   (rushton te)GONZALEZ V 120 15.00 14% 6.20    
4  KEARNEY Jul03 May08 Apr14 Apr04 Mar14 (long vaughn)BETHKE A 120 8.00 ★    
5  CRUZ'N OLLIE Jul26 Jul12       (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 4.50 ★    
6  FRIENDLY FOE Jul24 Jul03       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  BARLOWS PRIDE Jul26 Jul12 Jul04     (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.