Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBRASKA RED 1 4 42 42   2nk 1¾ (mcclain stanley)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 1.30  
COUVERTURE 2 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 49% 1.00 2.10 P
LA CAPRICHOSA 3 2 2nk 2nk   31 37 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 4.40 S
SWEET CAPRI 5 1 3 31   42 4 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 20% 4.10 6.10  
MYSTIC WIND 4 5 54 5   5 5 (jenkins l)WALES T 121 4.50 4.70  
 
ARP-3   07/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :482       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND EXPECTATIONS 1 3 23 2nk   1½ 13 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 115 8.00 12% 7.40 3.10 W
RAMOS 3 4 3 3½   42 23 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 120 2.50 3.10 P
WHEELER DEALER 5 2 4 4   31 33 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 10.00 12% 7.40 3.20 S
GUTFIELD 2 1 13 1nk   2½ 4 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 117 4.50 1.70  
BARTSTER 4 5 5 54   55 512½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 36% 1.80 5.40  
 
ARP-4   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLE'S JOY 6 1 21 11   15 18 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 1.90  
FIVE B C 4 4 46 46   25 28 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 8.00 13.70  
ULTRA CORDIAL 3 3 34 34   46 315 (young a)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 23% 3.40 8.20 S
MILLI STARR 1 2 11 21   3 416¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 13.20  
MACHOS VISION 5 6 6 5   58 517 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 20% 3.90 0.70  
POLLY WAR CRY 2 5 58 610½   612 629½ (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 22% 3.60 14.50  
 
ARP-5   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLY FOE 2 3 22 2   21 1½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 13% 6.90 1.40 W
PACIFIC HARBOR 1 4 12 1   11 2½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 4.50 27% 2.80 1.40 P
DOX BIZ 4 2 4 49   45 3 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00 10.00  
TATES QUIK START 3 1 3 33   33 4 (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 121 20.00 7.50  
GREAT AWAKENING 5 5 5 511   59 521 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 14.90  
REAL BULL 6 6 619½ 621   617 626½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 12% 7.60 5.80  
SCR  CODE CLEAR               (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50    
SCR  DOC BOWSER               (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 117 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
ARP-7   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 4 2 43 31   1 12 (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 0.70  
VERRAZANO FIRST 1 5 5 5   32 22 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 13% 6.60 7.20 P
GREY ROGUE 6 4 21 2nk   2 3 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 12.00 S
BEDROCK (GB) 2 6 6 63   53 4 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 2.50 39% 1.60 4.50  
OURBESTFRIEND D L 3 1 33 4   6 58 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 3.90  
GETALOADOFTHIS 5 3 11 1nk   43 6 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 11% 8.20 11.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.