Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEBRASKA RED Jun19 May29 Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 (mcclain stanle)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★    
2  COUVERTURE Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr15 Apr10 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  LA CAPRICHOSA Jul03 Jun06 Apr08 Mar28 Mar16 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 ★    
4  MYSTIC WIND Jul03         (jenkins l)WALES T 121 4.50 ★    
5  SWEET CAPRI Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 20% 4.10    
 
ARP-3   07/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND EXPECTATIONS         (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 115 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  GUTFIELD         (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 117 4.50 ★    
3  RAMOS May29         (rushton temp)BETHKE A 120 2.50 ★    
4  BARTSTER         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  WHEELER DEALER         (parsons riley)WALES T 117 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
ARP-4   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLI STARR Jun17 Jun12 May30 May21 May07 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 ★    
2  POLLY WAR CRY Jun18 May30 May14 Apr30 Apr16 (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  ULTRA CORDIAL Jun18 Jun10 May30 May14 Apr30 (young a)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  FIVE B C Jun18 Jun12 May28 May13 Apr29 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 8.00    
5  MACHOS VISION Jul04 May07 Apr02 Mar06   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 20% 3.90    
6  ISABELLE'S JOY Jul11 May20 May07 Apr24 Apr09 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 ★    
 
ARP-5   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CODE CLEAR Jun06 May22 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  DOC BOWSER         (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 117 8.00 27% 2.70    
3  PACIFIC HARBOR May20 Mar25 Mar13 Feb26 Jan30 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
4  FRIENDLY FOE Jul03         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 13% 6.90    
5  TATES QUIK START         (pokorny fost)MARTIN A 121 20.00    
6  DOX BIZ Jun27 Jun03 May01 Apr15 Feb13 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00    
7  GREAT AWAKENING Jun10 Jun05 May22 Apr10 Mar25 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00    
8  REAL BULL         (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 12% 7.60    
 
ARP-7   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERRAZANO FIRST Jul04 Jun11 May23 May07 Apr23 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 13% 6.60    
2  BEDROCK (GB) Jul04 May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  OURBESTFRIEND D L Jul04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
4  COLLUSIONIST Jul04         (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 ★    
5  GETALOADOFTHIS Jul04 May21 May01 Apr09 Mar26 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 11% 8.20    
6  GREY ROGUE Jul11 Jun17 Jun04 May14 May01 (hibdon n)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.