The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 22, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-3   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:222 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'WILD MUFFIN 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★ 3.10  
4  G KATE 4 4 41½ 31   2½ 21 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 P
2  LEIGHTON KENTUCKY 2 5 52 42   31½ 36¼ (ecoffey w)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 11% 8.00 5.90 S
3  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN 3 3 2½ 2½   42 48¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 ★ 12.10  
5  OVER EXPOSED 5 1 31½ 52½   53 59¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50  
 
ARP-4   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HURRICANE FLORENCE 3 4 34 31½   21 12½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 40% 1.50 2.50 W
5  UNPLUCKED GEM 4 1 21 2nk   11 22½ (rushton stacy)BETHKE A 124 2.50 16% 5.10 0.40 P
3  JUST REMEMBER 2 2 11 1nk   32 39 (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 8.00 ★ 4.50 S
2  PROMPTLY DONE 1 3 48 49½   410 416¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 ★ 9.00  
SCR  PRANKED               (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 15% 5.60    
 
ARP-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:22 :45 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DEJA CREW 6 3 33½ 44½   3.2 11¼ (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 ★ 4.30  
5  FELON 5 4 56 56   51¾ 21¼ (hancock l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.50 ★ 9.50 P
1  BRAZILIAN SUMMER 1 1 44 34½   41¼ 32 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 38% 1.60 0.80 S
3  BEHOLD DE FLAME 3 6 67½ 68   62¾ 44¾ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 121 12.00 ★ 17.50  
2  GONE PARADISE 2 2 1½ 2½   1nk 54¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 11.20  
4  ALL SHACKED UP 4 5 2½ 1½   2nk 68¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 30% 2.30 2.60  
 
ARP-6   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:222 :453 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EPSOM IMP 4 1 1½ 1½   11½ 11¼ (jenkins l)WALES T 121 3.50 ★ 2.30  
3  LA ROSA DRIVE 3 2 2½ 53   52½ 21¼ (childs g)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 2.60  
5  GARNETS GAL 5 3 3½ 41   21½ 32¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.00 ★ 13.80 S
7  BIND ME UP 7 8 75 64½   63 43½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00 6.50  
8  OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL 8 4 4¾ 3½   32 54¼ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 12.00 28.80  
1  GIVE EM FITZ 1 9 99½ 910½   97¼ 64¼ (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 121 5.00 54% 0.90 9.20  
9  PRINCESS SHAKIRA 9 6 5¾ 2½   42½ 75¼ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 19% 4.30 3.70  
2  MY MEADOW 2 7 88 89½   76 86 (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 2.50 ★ 11.40  
6  T. P. RIGHT LANE 6 5 64¾ 76½   87 99¼ (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 8.00 23.20  
 
ARP-7   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:23 :453 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RANCHER 3 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★ 8.20  
1  PRAIRIE SQUALL 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 26% 2.80 1.10 P
7  BIG LARRY 7 3 31½ 31½   31 36¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.30 14.10 S
4  BE ALL EARS 4 4 43½ 43½   41½ 47 (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 121 4.50 39.80  
2  WHO B DAT 2 7 711½ 712¾   66½ 515½ (christian billy)MARTIN A 119 3.50 23% 3.30 1.50  
5  BUMPER POOL 5 6 610 59½   54½ 620½ (coughlin chris)WALES T 120 12.00 15% 5.80 7.90  
6  LET IT RIP 6 1 59½ 612½   78 730¼ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 8.00 14.70  
 
ARP-8   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:214 :434       1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL 7 2 712½ 69¼   52¼ 1nk (vicchrilli russell)BETHKE A 121 12.00 ★ 15.00  
6  ITSALLINTHENOTES 6 1 48½ 57¼   11 2nk (mitchell stetson)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 2.20  
5  HIGHTAILING 5 5 58½ 47   21 32 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 4.30  
3  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 3 4 610½ 710¾   62¼ 42¼ (christian billy)MARTIN A 124 10.00 ★ 14.70  
2  FIRST ALTERNATE 2 6 34½ 33   32 56½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 71% 0.40 4.50  
4  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 4 3 2½ 2nk   42 69½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 ★ 2.80  
1  CELEE'S LAST TE 1 7 1½ 1nk   76¼ 720¾ (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 6.00 ★ 4.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.