Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'WILD MUFFIN Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 Jun04 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
2  LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Aug09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun12 Jun04 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
3  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN May27 May15 Apr15 Apr02 Mar12 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 ★    
4  G KATE Aug07 Jul18 Jul10 Apr15 Mar25 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  OVER EXPOSED Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 May20 May07 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-4   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRANKED Aug01         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 15% 5.60    
2  PROMPTLY DONE Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 Apr22 Apr02 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 ★    
3  JUST REMEMBER Aug01         (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 8.00 ★    
4  HURRICANE FLORENCE Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 May13 Apr03 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  UNPLUCKED GEM Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Apr03 Mar20 (rushton stac)BETHKE A 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
ARP-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZILIAN SUMMER Aug01 Jul03 May28 May01 Apr22 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  GONE PARADISE Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 May06 Apr22 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00    
3  BEHOLD DE FLAME Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 May07   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 121 12.00 ★    
4  ALL SHACKED UP Aug09 Jul12 Jun10 May20 May13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 30% 2.30    
5  FELON (IRE) Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 Jun10 (hancock david)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.50 ★    
6  DEJA CREW Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun11 Jun03 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 ★    
 
ARP-6   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE EM FITZ Aug09 Jul04       (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 121 5.00 54% 0.90    
2  MY MEADOW Aug09 Jul25       (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 2.50 ★    
3  LA ROSA DRIVE Jul31 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 Mar15 (childs russel)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
4  EPSOM IMP Aug09 Jul25 Jul19 Jul04   (jenkins l)WALES T 121 3.50 ★    
5  GARNETS GAL Aug09 Jul25 Jul11     (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.00 ★    
6  T. P. RIGHT LANE Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Apr23 Mar19 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
7  BIND ME UP Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jul02 May28 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
8  OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL Aug09 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 May30 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 12.00    
9  PRINCESS SHAKIRA Jul04 Mar27 Mar12 Mar04 Feb19 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
ARP-7   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE SQUALL Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 May06 Apr23 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  WHO B DAT Jul31 Jul04 May02 Apr21 Apr06 (christian bi)MARTIN A 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  RANCHER Aug08 Jul04 Apr28 Apr20 Apr07 (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★    
4  BE ALL EARS Aug15 Jul26 Jul12     (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 121 4.50    
5  BUMPER POOL Jul31 Jul12 Jun10 May07 Apr22 (coughlin chris)WALES T 120 12.00 15% 5.80    
6  LET IT RIP Jul12 Jun17       (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 8.00    
7  BIG LARRY Apr18 Mar23 Feb10 Jan26   (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.30    
 
ARP-8   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LAST TE Jul31 Jul03       (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 6.00 ★    
2  FIRST ALTERNATE Jul31 Jul11 May07 Apr16 Apr02 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 71% 0.40    
3  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Jul25 Jul03 Jan06     (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 10.00 ★    
4  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Aug01 Jul03 Apr26     (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 ★    
5  HIGHTAILING Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00    
6  ITSALLINTHENOTES Jul31 Jun11 Jun05 Apr24 Mar26 (mitchell stet)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00    
7  BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL Aug01 Jul03       (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 121 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.