The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-2   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:222 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MY INSTIGATOR 7 2 31½ 21½   11 14¾ (wales dale)WALES T 124 10.00 ★ 13.80  
9  O'LORDY LORD 9 1 63¼ 54   41½ 24¾ (hudson raina)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 9% 9.90 11.20 P
3  ONE HOT REDHEAD 3 3 11 11½   21 37½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 18.70  
1  SEGOVIANA 1 7 43 43½   31 48¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 20.10  
5  KELLEY'S MANDATE 5 8 86¼ 76½   63 58¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 15% 5.50 1.90  
8  RIVER CHARMER 8 9 97¼ 96¾   74½ 69¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 20% 4.10 20.10  
2  ATHENIAN PRINCESS 2 6 21 32   52 711 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 20.00 2.50  
6  LANKY LOU 6 4 53 65½   85 814¼ (marquez leonel)BETHKE A 120 6.00 34% 1.90 2.40  
4  TYLERS ANGEL WINGS 4 5 76¼ 86½   97 920 (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 124 12.00 30.60  
 
ARP-3   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OPTIMAL 2 6 62¾ 4¾   11½ 17¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.10 W
3  EL DIABLO GRANDE 3 1 1nk 1nk   21½ 27¼ (chavez juan)WALES T 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.20 P
4  RISKY BOY 4 5 51¾ 62¾   44 39¼ (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 21.20  
7  FLOWER BEACH 7 3 4¼ 3.2   33½ 410¾ (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 8% 10.90 4.00  
1  GAME DAY DECISION 1 4 2nk 51¼   54½ 514½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 7.10  
6  MERRY MIX UP 6 2 3.2 2nk   65½ 620½ (marquez leonel)MARTIN A 116 20.00 ★ 11.80  
5  ALEX TO 5 7 77¾ 78¾   713½ 729½ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 ★ 26.30  
 
ARP-4   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:22 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COUGAR COUNTRY 7 1 13 13   1½ 11½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 39% 1.50 0.60 W
2  GEE WHIZ WHO 2 4 23 23   2½ 21½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 ★ 3.40 P
5  MORO CHARLIE 5 5 44 43½   51½ 32 (alvarado alejandro)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00 17.20  
4  BLUE TWISTED STEEL 4 2 33½ 33½   41 42½ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00 ★ 5.50  
3  ZCAT'S CHATAIN 3 7 66 54½   31 52½ (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 5.00 6.30  
1  BEAU GOSSE 1 3 76½ 76   65½ 611¾ (christian billy)MARTIN A 124 15.00 36.60  
7  CHERUBIM 6 6 54½ 65   77½ 717 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50 21% 3.80 21.70  
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY               (jenkins l)RAMOS B 116 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
ARP-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:222 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH 4 2 31½ 1½   12 12¼ (shipp michael)WALES T 121 4.00 24% 3.10 2.00 W
9  VENUS ISLAND 8 8 87½ 53½   33 22¼ (hibdon n)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 15% 5.60 2.50 P
8  WILD SAINT 7 6 54 41½   22 33 (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.50 9% 10.10 3.50 S
7  AMBER WAVES 6 5 76½ 85½   75½ 411½ (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 ★ 15.00  
3  ABUELA CORI 2 3 2nk 31   44 512¾ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 19.60  
6  COUVERTURE 5 7 64½ 74   65 613½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 31% 2.30 7.50  
4  RIVER BISCUIT 3 1 1nk 2½   54½ 719 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00 27.60  
1  GOSPEL GINA 1 4 42 64   810½ 839½ (alvarado alejandro)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 6.20  
SCR  MYSTIC WIND               (jenkins l)MARTIN A 121 15.00    
 
ARP-6   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:224 :451 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BIZ 1 2 1½ 23   1½ 1½ (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 ★ 2.90  
6  PODEROSO EQUS 6 4 58 59   2½ 2½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 15% 5.90 3.10 P
5  JIMBO'S BIZ 5 3 47½ 37   31 33½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 47% 1.20 0.80 S
7  SILVER MAKER 7 6 612 612   55 47¼ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 11% 7.90 14.80  
4  MASTERPIECE DAY 4 1 2½ 13   42 59 (muckey john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00 29.10  
2  LIGHT BOUND BID 2 7 712½ 712½   67 612½ (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 12.00 16.80  
3  BOLD IMAGE 3 5 31½ 48½   77½ 717¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 ★ 21.50  
 
ARP-7   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:231 :453 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY JACK 1 1 11½ 12   1½ 12 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 30% 2.30 0.20 W
3  DIVINE TASK 3 2 21½ 22   2½ 22 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 6.00 23% 3.30 7.50 P
2  DALLAS GOLD 2 6 59½ 512½   44½ 33½ (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00 11.30  
7  MY PAL 7 4 34½ 38   32½ 43¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 ★ 7.90  
6  JU JU GUY 6 3 46½ 412   56 58 (childs g)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 ★ 20.20  
5  KING JINGALING 5 5 69½ 613   610 624½ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 120 12.00 21% 3.80 17.00  
4  FROGGY 4 7 711 715   720 761½ (alvarado alejandro)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 21.10  
SCR  HOLDING PATTERN               (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50    
 
ARP-8   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:231 :46 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TUFF WILLY TE 2 2 21½ 31½   3½ 1¼ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 121 6.00 1.80  
6  TRICKY LEE 5 5 42 41¾   4¾ 2¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 35% 1.90 0.90 P
5  CHICORY BLUE 4 4 31½ 2nk   1½ 31½ (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 12% 7.40 7.60 S
3  RED WES 3 1 11½ 1nk   2½ 45¾ (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.70  
1  HUNTER QUICK 1 3 64¼ 55¾   53¾ 57 (alvarado alejandro)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 42.70  
7  IOWA NATIVE 6 6 52¼ 66¾   618¾ 656½ (dieter dalton)MARTIN A 124 15.00 11% 8.00 29.10  
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE               (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.