Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEGOVIANA Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Apr08 Feb25 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
2  ATHENIAN PRINCESS May27 May12 Mar19 Feb25 Jan29 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 20.00    
3  ONE HOT REDHEAD Aug08 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
4  TYLERS ANGEL WINGS Aug01 Jul12 Jul03     (pokorny fost)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
5  KELLEY'S MANDATE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Apr22 Apr02 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  LANKY LOU Aug09         (marquez jose)BETHKE A 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
7  MY INSTIGATOR Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 May28 Apr30 (wales dale)WALES T 124 10.00 ★    
8  RIVER CHARMER Aug02 Jul12 Jun06 May10 Apr06 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
9  O'LORDY LORD Aug08 Jul17       (hudson raina)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
 
ARP-3   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME DAY DECISION Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 May27 Apr23 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50    
2  OPTIMAL Jul26 Jul18 Jul05 May01 Apr16 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  EL DIABLO GRANDE Aug09 Jul12 Jun18 May27 Apr23 (chavez juan)WALES T 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  RISKY BOY Aug02         (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
5  ALEX TO Aug09 Jun19 Jun10 Feb27 Feb01 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 ★    
6  MERRY MIX UP Aug08 Jul25       (marquez jose)MARTIN A 116 20.00 ★    
7  FLOWER BEACH Jul18 Apr12 Mar30 Mar07 Feb17 (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 8% 10.90    
 
ARP-4   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAU GOSSE Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
2  GEE WHIZ WHO Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 May14 Apr22 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 ★    
3  ZCAT'S CHATAIN Aug02 Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 May19 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 5.00    
4  BLUE TWISTED STEEL Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun11 May14 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00 ★    
5  MORO CHARLIE Jul19 Jun21 May24 May10 Apr26 (alvarado alej)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY Aug02 Jul18 Apr08 Mar16 Feb15 (jenkins l)RAMOS B 116 6.00 14% 6.40    
7  CHERUBIM Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 Jun10 May21 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
8  COUGAR COUNTRY Aug01 Jul05 Jan20     (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
ARP-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL GINA Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May09 Apr25 (alvarado aleja)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
SCR  MYSTIC WIND Aug07 Jul24 Jul03     (jenkins reed)MARTIN A 121 15.00    
3  ABUELA CORI Aug08 Jul18 Feb19     (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
4  RIVER BISCUIT Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 May16 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00    
5  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Apr19 Mar31 (shipp michael)WALES T 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  COUVERTURE Jul24 Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr15 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
7  AMBER WAVES Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 May21   (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 ★    
8  WILD SAINT Jul31 Jul17       (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.50 9% 10.10    
9  VENUS ISLAND Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul08 Jun18 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
ARP-6   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BIZ Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun10 May14 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 ★    
2  LIGHT BOUND BID Aug09 Jul26 Jun17 Jun10 May21 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
3  BOLD IMAGE Jul25 Jul05 May14 Apr10 Mar13 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 ★    
4  MASTERPIECE DAY Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 May21 May07 (muckey john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
5  JIMBO'S BIZ Jul26 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 47% 1.20    
6  PODEROSO EQUS Jul17 Jul03 May13 Apr23 Apr09 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
7  SILVER MAKER Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 May21 May07 (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
ARP-7   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY JACK Jul18 Jul03       (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  DALLAS GOLD Jul31 Jul21 May08 Mar16 Feb25 (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00    
3  DIVINE TASK Aug02 Jul19       (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  FROGGY Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 Jun07 May18 (alvarado aleja)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
5  KING JINGALING Aug08 Jun25 Jun09 May22 May08 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 12.00 21% 3.80    
6  JU JU GUY Aug02 Jul17 Jun05 Apr25 Apr01 (childs russel)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 ★    
7  MY PAL Jul31 Apr28 Apr04 Jan28 Jan17 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  HOLDING PATTERN Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr22 Mar24 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50    
 
ARP-8   08/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER QUICK Jul30 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 (alvarado alej)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
2  TUFF WILLY TE Jul19 Jul04       (parsons riley)RAMOS B 121 6.00    
3  RED WES Aug08 Jul18 Jul04     (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Aug15 Jul25 Jun19 Jun05 May24 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 ★    
5  CHICORY BLUE Aug08 Jul24 Jun11 May29 May18 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
6  TRICKY LEE Jul17 Jul03       (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  IOWA NATIVE Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun13   (dieter dalto)MARTIN A 124 15.00 11% 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.