The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 16, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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WRD-1   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:223 :462 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONET'S DEVIL 3 4 4 2½   14 110¼ (cogburn l)KIMES C 124 1.00 50% 1.00 0.80 W
SERENDIP RULER 5 1 1nk 1½   24 210¼ (hale victor)TRIANA JR 124 6.00 4.30 P
WHAT ABOUT JIMMY 2 5 5 5   510½ 315½ (brooks d)CRUZ ROMAN 118 12.00 6% 16.20 11.80 S
BOSTON SLICK 4 3 2nk 3½   39 416¼ (gamez jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.80 3.40  
TECUMSE RED 1 2 3.2 4   410 518¼ (ford jimmy)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 20% 3.90 4.70  
 
WRD-2   05/16/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
:223 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EURONTHEMONEY 4 7 1½ 1nk   14 1(davidson brent)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 5.90  
ULTRA SPECIAL 1 5 7 6   52(padilla a)JORDAN R 119 3.00 14% 6.20 2.90 P
WHIP 2 6 53 5   24 3(hale victor)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20 0.70 S
TIZ STRONG 6 1 2½ 2nk   35 4(martin steve)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 18.20  
CHARLIE MO 7 2 3½ 31   45 5(ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 30% 2.30 5.10  
UNBRIDLED GUY 5 3 41 4   66(corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 25.40  
SPECIAL FORTUNE 3 4 6 7   711½ 721 (blatchford a)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00 6% 16.20 85.60  
 
WRD-3   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
:223 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE FRONT 3 1 1½ 11   12 1(young e)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 19% 4.20 2.00 W
BLACK MAGIC LADY 2 5 42 4   22 2(pruitt m)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 35% 1.90 5.00 P
GEORGIANO 4 3 2½ 31   43 3(williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 124 5.00 15% 5.60 18.00 S
SIGICRICKET 5 2 3½ 21   33 4(swan e)JORDAN R 119 3.00 0.70  
GOSPEL CARLOTTA 1 4 54 5   56 510 (williams f)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 9.60  
 
WRD-4   05/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
:243 :494 1:153     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNONDIXIEBEACH 1 3 11 1½ 11 1nk 1½ (engel f)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.00 16% 5.40 3.30 W
NORMALENORA 2 1 21 2½ 21 2nk 2½ (ashford ray)JORDAN R 113 8.00 3.00 P
PIPPA'S PROSPECT 4 5 42 5 3 33 3(nolen kenneth)TRIANA JR 118 2.00 6.60 S
DERBYSHIRE 6 6 6 4 4 49 412 (lake barry)CRUZ ROMAN 118 10.00 10.80  
STAR ISLAND KITTY 5 2 32 3 53 510½ 515¾ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.60 48% 1.10 1.00  
VELVET BABY 3 4 5 6 613 620½ 632¼ (martin steve)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00 15% 5.50 28.40  
 
WRD-5   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
:231 :464 :59     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX SEAT 1 5 42 4¾   2½ 1nk (caster boyd)WETHEY JR 121 1.20 30% 2.30 1.00 W
GREEN EYED BELLE 4 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 2nk (caster boyd)JORDAN R 111 4.00 21% 3.70 3.70 P
GRAND ROYALE 2 4 52 3½   33(williams f)KIMES C 121 1.40 29% 2.50 1.40 S
GENTLE GEORGE 3 2 1½ 1nk   4411¼ (martin steve)CRUZ ROMAN 121 15.00 21.30  
GOSPEL MUSKETEER 5 3 3 5   5512½ (williams f)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 14.80  
 
WRD-6   05/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:24 :49 1:143     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY CAPE 3 1 1nk 1nk 12 13 1(smith a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 1.60 40% 1.50 0.80 W
VALENTINA LIL 2 5 4 5 3 23 2(lee mark)JORDAN R 119 2.00 1.20 P
HARPERS VISION 4 3 2nk 2nk 22 34 310¾ (morales arnold)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 14% 6.40 5.80 S
HARLOW'S VISION 5 2 3½ 31 4 49 418 (seaton shane)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 31.40  
MATTEA 1 4 52 4 5 511 534¾ (pogue bob)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 13% 7.00 13.10  
SCR  SWEET SMOKIN GAL               (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 124 6.00    
 
WRD-7   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:223 :463 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW GOLD 4 4 5 4   1nk 1(young e)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 14% 5.90 0.40 W
STEPPIN SHEP 7 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 2(williams alan)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 19% 4.30 4.70 P
OCTAGON 5 1 2nk 3.2   3.2 3(nolen kenneth)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 24% 3.10 9.50 S
A LOT OF HEAT 6 3 1nk 1nk   4¾ 4(chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 119 4.00 19% 4.20 5.70  
TAKING ENERGY 2 7 6 5   55(ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 27.10  
EARS TO ME 1 6 73 7   76(swan e)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 12.90  
DA CRIMSON PASS 3 5 4 6   6710¾ (dunlap m)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00 34.90  
 
WRD-8   05/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:231 :464 1:122     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S SOMETHING 5 3 3 4¾ 1nk 111 (chleborad lynn)KIMES C 124 8.00 19% 4.30 2.60 W
RIFT VALLEY 2 7 6 6 61 221 (donaldson jerry)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 21.40  
HOT TICKET 3 6 712½ 711¼ 74 333 (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 121 3.00 29% 2.50 1.50 S
J B'S LEGACY 7 4 5 5 4¼ 44 4(caster boyd)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 26% 2.80 3.90  
SEDARIS 1 5 4 3½ 5½ 54 5(hartman alex)JORDAN R 119 5.00 5.40  
CHAMPS SUCCESS 6 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 66 611¾ (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 10.90  
GUINESSEY 4 1 2½ 2nk 3.2 7713¾ (black marissa)TRIANA JR 124 8.00 12.10  
SCR  RACE DAY REBAL               (williams alan)COLLIER T 115 12.00    
 
WRD-9   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
:231 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAWK'S LIL AVA 6 2 5 21   14 1(pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 5.10  
SWIFTY DAWN 1 6 6 63   45 2(pruitt m)KIMES C 124 12.00 15.30  
DEDE'S TRICK 3 3 2nk 31   24 3(young e)TRIANA JR 124 1.80 46% 1.20 1.80 S
GOSPEL JOSY JAN 4 1 1nk 5   6411 (williams f)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 10.60  
RIVER BISCUIT 2 5 4¾ 42   57 511½ (gladd kassie)CRUZ ROMAN 118 12.00 13% 6.90 9.70  
SAVE A PENNY 5 4 3.2 11   35 613¼ (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 2.50 14% 6.20 1.20  
EXQUISITA 7 7 7 78   712½ 719½ (bravo francisco)JORDAN R 113 12.00 29.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.