Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   09/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANCHER 3 4 3 3½   1½ 1 (esquibel mark)WALES T 124 2.00 25% 2.90 0.50 W
GUN WAR 4 2 4 41   2½ 2 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 19% 4.10 4.20 P
CAPTAIN COMEBACK 2 3 1½ 2nk   3 313½ (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 4.50 S
BIG LARRY 1 1 2½ 1nk   43 415½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 3.60  
SCR  PRAIRIE SQUALL               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
ARP-3   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOX BIZ 1 2 11 2nk   2nk 1½ (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 5.10  
EL JEFE COBB 2 4 21 1nk   1nk 2½ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 1.80 P
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 3 5 4 33   33 3 (esquibel mark)WALES T 120 4.50 45% 1.20 2.80 S
FROG WALKER 4 1 33 44   45 4 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 10.00 14% 6.30 2.70  
SUPER CREATIVE 5 3 5 5   56 57 (davis j)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 15.00 16.90  
I WALK ALONE 6 6 6 6100   6100 6100 (coughlin chris)BETHKE A 124 20.00 9% 10.40 6.10  
 
ARP-4   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:132 1:28   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATER PATROL 3 5 413 412½ 37 1nk 1nk (haar j)WALES T 124 2.50 1.50  
CLIFTON PARK 4 4 513½ 311 4 2nk 2nk (williams steve)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8.60  
BAUDETTE BLIZZARD 2 3 39 514½ 510½ 54 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 1.30 S
LADDIE BOY 1 2 23 23 11 3 4 (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 27% 2.70 3.50  
IOWA NATIVE 5 1 13 13 21 4 521½ (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 7% 12.70 9.10  
SCR  A P'S BLUEGRASS               (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
ARP-5   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELON (IRE) 4 1 1½ 1   11 1 (hancock l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 5.00  
YOUNG PHILLIP 2 2 32 32   21 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 26% 2.80 0.40 P
JOMO 3 4 2½ 2   32 3 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 4.30 S
BREAKIN DAYLIGHT 5 3 5 54   54 4 (coughlin chris)BETHKE A 124 15.00 15% 5.50 6.60  
SEELEY 1 5 4 4   44 511¼ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 24% 3.30 19.10  
 
ARP-6   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BALL 6 3 5 3½   1½ 12 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 14% 6.20 2.60 W
FAYETTE WARRIOR 4 1 32 53   3 22 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 12.00 7.60 P
GRAYDAR'S DREAM 3 2 1nk 1½   2½ 3 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 2.50 0.60  
WOKE UP WILD 5 4 43 2½   4 4 (dieter dalton)MARTIN A 124 3.50 52% 0.90 7.20  
ROCKETRINGO 1 6 6 6   5 511½ (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 7% 12.40 17.80  
LOVESAFLYIN 2 5 2nk 4   612½ 627¾ (fackler howard )FACKLER CHRIS 121 20.00 20.50  
 
ARP-7   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :454       1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL SHACKED UP 4 1 1 1   12 13 (haar j)WALES T 124 10.00 7% 14.30 2.30 W
HEADEDTOTHESTARS 5 2 2 2   3 23 (williams f)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 6.70 P
ZCAT'S CHATAIN 6 6 3 32   22 33 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 13% 6.60 4.40 S
BLUE TWISTED STEEL 3 3 6 6   44 4 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.60  
FERRARI ROAD 8 4 4 5   56 5 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 4.50 9.10  
LIGHT BOUND BID 7 5 8 7   78 68 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 16.10  
PICKELJUICE 1 8 5 43   67 712¾ (burns dale)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 17.00  
MACHO MADNESS 2 7 7 810½   816 825½ (fackler howard )FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 6% 15.10 31.20  
 
ARP-8   09/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:261 1:15       1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 4 2 1 12 1½ 12 1 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 48% 1.10 2.20 W
CONVENTION (IRE) 1 3 44 44 32 22 2 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 15% 5.80 0.80 P
HOLD TIGHT 2 1 32 22 2½ 32 3 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 2.90 S
RUN FOR MATTY 3 4 2 3 4 48 420¾ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 7.10  
SCR  WILDCAT NATION               (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
 
ARP-9   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELLEY'S MANDATE 3 6 53 3   3 1 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 16% 5.40 1.00 W
ANGIE'S REVRAC 7 1 1½ 2   2½ 2 (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 8.00 11% 7.90 3.10 P
RIVER CHARMER 6 7 1111¾ 1013   78 3 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
10  SEGOVIANA 10 4 32 1   1½ 4 (hibdon n)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 12.20  
11  SMART ACT 11 5 6 55   4 510 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 48% 1.10 11.10  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 8 10 8 88   6 610¾ (hibdon n)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 4.50 26.10  
TAKARA QUEEN 5 3 7 77   56 712¾ (wales dale)WALES T 124 10.00 12.50  
DIXIE TRIXIE 1 11 43 6   810 815¾ (dieter )ROSALES JUAN 124 20.00 14.40  
CRIMSON T. 2 8 1011¼ 1114½   912 918 (young a)MARTIN A 120 15.00 41.90  
TRICKY LEX 4 9 910¾ 911   1013 1026½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 17.30  
EYES OF AGE 9 2 2½ 4   1113½ 1138 (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 63.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.