Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   08/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELER DEALER 5 1 32 3   11 1 (parsons riley)WALES T 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.70 W
DECKER 1 2 1nk 2nk   21 2 (chavers jr)RAMOS B 120 15.00 26% 2.90 2.80 P
BARTSTER 2 3 2nk 1nk   3 35 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 8.30 S
YA THINK 4 4 43 4   4 417¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 2.00  
YOU'RE MY ROCK 3 5 54 56   5 522 (hudson raina)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 24% 3.10 4.50  
 
ARP-2   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A COOL CAT 1 1 44 43   12 15 (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 120 2.50 23% 3.30 0.60 W
CENTAURUS 4 7 69 5   44 25 (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 8.70 P
WALKIN TALKIN BOB 2 2 22 3   33 3 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 120 6.00 15.50  
BIG DADDY DON 3 3 3 22   22 46 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 25% 3.00 4.60  
TIME TO SKIP TOWN 6 6 7 65   5 5 (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 22% 3.60 5.90  
DOC BOWSER 5 5 12 12   66 619½ (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
TATES QUIK START 7 4 56 7   78 722 (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 124 20.00 34.10  
SCR  BAD BOY BILL               (gleason tyrone)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 15.00    
 
ARP-3   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :583     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 2 12 1½   12 1 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 1.00 35% 1.90 0.20 W
WAR EAGLE'S RETURN 4 3 22 2½   22 2 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 12.00 25% 3.00 5.00 P
WILD FIREMAKER 1 1 44 3½   3 3 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 4.90 S
WEST COAST BROKER 3 4 3 41   43 4 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 4.50 10.80  
SCR  SLICK IT UP               (ibanez alberto)HERRERA HUGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-4   08/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123 1:253   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOM AFFAIR 4 3 2 21 2nk 2½ 1nk (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 12.00 9% 10.00 2.10 W
A P'S BLUEGRASS 3 1 1 11 1nk 1½ 2nk (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 3.50 59% 0.70 2.10 P
LOOKING FOR BULL 1 2 3 36 34 3 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 1.50 S
WINGS UP 5 5 510½ 510 58 55 412 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 7.00  
MAD AT MONEY 2 4 4 47 46 4 514½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 11.90  
 
ARP-5   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BALL 5 5 42 3.2   1½ 1 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 14% 5.90 11.20 W
PERVASIVE 4 8 64 4   3 2 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00 20.60  
CIRCLE BACK 8 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 6.00 0.60  
BUD MINISTER 3 4 3 2nk   42 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 29% 2.50 15.30  
DOWNTOWN BROWN 7 6 75 5   53 57 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 4.10  
TAP A MIRACLE 6 7 89 8   8 623 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 32.50  
NEXTPORTOFCALL 2 3 53 7   78 723½ (young a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 10% 9.10 24.80  
WHERE'S FREDDIE 1 2 2½ 6   67 826½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 3.50 15% 5.50 4.80  
SCR  GLASS EATER               (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
 
ARP-7   08/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA'S DIVA 2 3 6 6   22 1¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.00 W
ATOKA GIRL 6 6 5 57   43 2¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
MOONFIELD 1 2 1 11   12 35 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 9% 10.10 1.90 S
FIVE B C 4 5 32 21   5 4 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 12.00 21.30  
LIL MISS DE BUY 3 4 4 4   65 5 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 45% 1.20 5.10  
APRILINTHEPINES 5 1 2 3   3 610 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 2.50  
SCR  STREETTALKINHOTTIE               (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.