Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELL WINDER 1 1 5     3½ 1¼ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.60 W
GIGGLES AND SMOKE 2 2 1½     1½ 2¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 4.50 39% 1.60 2.00 P
CHIEFTESS 4 4 2½     2½ 3 (muckey john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 5.10  
MERRY MIX UP 6 3 4     41 4 (marquez leo)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 12.00 22.00  
GARNETS GAL 5 5 31     5 5 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 1.70  
FLAN 3 6 63     6 6 (ness john)BETHKE A 124 20.00 15% 5.70 7.00  
 
ARP-4   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON DREAMS 5 2 33 33   21 12 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 46% 1.20 0.50 W
REMARKABLE CHARM 1 4 4 4   3 22 (roberts m)WALES T 124 2.50 4.80 P
JOE G'S PAYBACK 3 1 12 12   11 33 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 7% 13.40 2.10 S
T. P. RIGHT LANE 4 3 22 22   4 4 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 19.50  
POLLY WAR CRY 2 5 5 5   5 511¾ (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 15% 5.50 14.00  
 
ARP-5   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY 3 4 4 32   32 1¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 36% 1.70 4.00 W
ISABELLE'S JOY 2 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¼ (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 0.80  
G KATE 4 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 3½ (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 4.50 12% 7.50 1.20 S
ULTRA CORDIAL 1 3 3.2 43   44 4 (danyluk ken)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 15.80  
SCR  D'WILD MUFFIN               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50    
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY               (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
ARP-6   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :451       1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY T 4 1 1nk 11   12 1 (oliver kim)WALES T 121 12.00 20% 4.10 3.80 W
THE BIG SHOW 2 2 2nk 21   22 2 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 1.00 46% 1.20 1.20 P
CHICORY BLUE 3 3 33 33   34 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 2.90 S
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 1 4 46 47   45 4 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 1.90  
SCR  PREACHER               (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50    
 
ARP-7   09/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLAWAY 3 4 53 4   32 1¾ (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.90 W
OUR BUBBY BOY 7 1 3½ 11   1nk 2¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
CHUCK NAZTY 6 7 4 32   2nk 3 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 0.60 S
MUCHO GIFTED 1 6 1½ 21   43 412 (parsons riley)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 4.50 14.30  
WHERE'S FREDDIE 5 5 711 714   57 517 (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 36.10  
BARLOWS PRIDE 4 2 65 66   68 617½ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
MAGICAL STAR 2 3 2½ 5   710 728 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 124 3.50 22% 3.60 18.90  
 
ARP-8   09/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTOPILOT 3 5 35 3 31 1nk 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 1.00  
COWBOY DON 4 6 4 4 43 2nk 2 (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 11.00 P
GOLD NOTE 2 4 5 511 54 31 3 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 39% 1.50 2.80 S
KNOWYOUROPTIONS 1 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 4 415 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 30% 2.30 10.20  
GREY ROGUE 7 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 5 524½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 3.20  
WEST COAST BROKER 6 7 714½ 720 714 711½ 627¾ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 27.70  
MEAN CANNON 5 2 6 614 610 6 730 (williams steve )FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 26.40  
 
ARP-9   09/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORDER OF THE DAY 1 3 5 45   3.2 1¼ (rushton temple)WALES T 120 15.00 12.30  
ROADSIDE 3 6 6 6   4 2¼ (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 2.90 P
PRINCE OTTO 2 4 1 11   1nk 3 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 16% 5.30 3.60 S
KNIGHTED 6 5 4 31   2nk 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 1.40  
KEARNEY 5 2 3 21   5 5 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 3.50 44% 1.30 7.70  
CLEARLY MAD 4 1 2 5   614¼ 645¾ (rushton stacy)BETHKE A 124 20.00 7% 12.40 4.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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