Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   09/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELL WINDER Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 May21 Apr15 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  GIGGLES AND SMOKE Jun18         (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
3  FLAN Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 Apr29   (ness john)BETHKE A 124 20.00 15% 5.70    
4  CHIEFTESS Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 (muckey john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
5  GARNETS GAL Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 ★    
6  MERRY MIX UP Aug29 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25   (marquez l)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 12.00 ★    
 
ARP-4   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMARKABLE CHARM Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun11 May29 (roberts m)WALES T 124 2.50 ★    
2  POLLY WAR CRY Jul24 Jun18 May30 May14 Apr30 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
3  JOE G'S PAYBACK Aug21 May15 Apr24 Mar27 Feb19 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 7% 13.40    
4  T. P. RIGHT LANE Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Apr23 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★    
5  NEON DREAMS Aug07 Jul11 Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
ARP-5   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTRA CORDIAL Aug21 Jul24 Jun18 Jun10 May30 (danyluk ken)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 ★    
2  ISABELLE'S JOY Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 May20 (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00    
SCR  D'WILD MUFFIN Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★    
4  LIL MISS DE BUY Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun12 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 36% 1.70    
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 Apr08 Mar16 (jenkins reed)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
6  G KATE Aug22 Aug07 Jul18 Jul10 Apr15 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
ARP-6   09/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Aug15 Jul25 Jun19 Jun05 May24 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  PREACHER Aug30 Aug01 Jul05 May14 May01 (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 ★    
3  THE BIG SHOW Jul03 Jun11 Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
4  CHICORY BLUE Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jun11 May29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 ★    
5  SKY T Apr20         (oliver kim)WALES T 121 12.00 20% 4.10    
 
ARP-7   09/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO GIFTED Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Jul03 (parsons rile)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 4.50    
2  MAGICAL STAR Aug15 Jul05       (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  BULLAWAY Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul05 Mar06 (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  BARLOWS PRIDE Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHERE'S FREDDIE Aug28 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04   (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
6  CHUCK NAZTY Aug15 Jul25 Jul04 May02   (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 ★    
7  OUR BUBBY BOY Jul10 Jun26       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   09/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOWYOUROPTIONS Jul11 Jun12 May07 Apr23 Apr08 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 30% 2.30    
2  GOLD NOTE Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 May21 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  AUTOPILOT Aug21 Aug01 Jul05 May28 May13 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 ★    
4  COWBOY DON Aug30 Jul11 Jun10 May21 May01 (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 ★    
5  MEAN CANNON Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 Apr27 Apr09 (williams stev)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
6  WEST COAST BROKER Aug28 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
7  GREY ROGUE Aug15 Jul24 Jul11 Jun17 Jun04 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 ★    
 
ARP-9   09/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORDER OF THE DAY Aug15 Jun25 May29 Apr23 Apr08 (rushton temple)WALES T 120 15.00 ★    
2  PRINCE OTTO Apr25 Apr04 Mar15 Mar03 Jan10 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 16% 5.30    
3  ROADSIDE Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 May07 Apr25 (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★    
4  CLEARLY MAD Aug22 Jul30 Jun25 Jun10 May29 (rushton stac)BETHKE A 124 20.00 7% 12.40    
5  KEARNEY Aug29 Aug08 Jul03 May08 Apr14 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  KNIGHTED Aug29 Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 Jun26 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.