Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   08/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACIFIC HARBOR 4 3 2nk     1½ 11 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00 19% 4.20 3.80 W
BURBACH 2 4 4     31 21 (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 1.40 P
ROYAL OUTLAW 3 2 1nk     2½ 34 (anderson c)WALES T 120 4.50 4.00 S
FRIENDLY FOE 1 1 5     5 4 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.00  
JUST WING IT 5 5 31     43 57 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 25% 3.00 4.70  
SCR  OTHER THAN THAT               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   08/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHT DISRUPTOR 1 1 2     2½ 11 (williams f)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 8.40  
JACK WITH SEVEN 8 8 1     1½ 21 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 32% 2.10 5.80 P
CHERUBIM 4 7 65     4 3 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50 36.40  
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY 6 6 43     31 4 (ecoffey gilbert)FACKLER CHRIS 119 8.00 9.80  
ITS A DEAL 3 4 3     5 5 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 33% 2.00 0.50  
SOUTHERN MOJO 7 2 54     6 6 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 13% 6.50 5.00  
MERRY MIX UP 5 3 77     76 710¾ (marquez l)MARTIN A 119 20.00 47.90  
BAR ROOM BRAWL 2 5 811     810 814½ (arjon nav)MORALES ADRIAN 124 15.00 27.20  
 
ARP-6   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :451       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTORIAL 5 5 3.2 2nk   1½ 1 (rushton stacy)BETHKE A 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 W
JONO 1 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (rushton temp)GONZALEZ V 120 15.00 18% 4.60 2.80 P
COLORADO CANDY 3 3 5 4   4 33 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 124 4.50 8.70 S
HOT ARTIE 4 2 1nk 3.2   3 43 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.80 2.90  
KEARNEY 2 4 4 5   55 510 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 8.00 5.60  
 
ARP-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:214 :444 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TULSA TIME 3 5 42 3   3.2 1¾ (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 120 4.50 14% 6.30 2.50 W
BULLAWAY 4 2 21 2   1nk 2¾ (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.00 41% 1.40 5.60 P
WEBCAM 7 4 11 1   2nk 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 7.00  
DEL ARGENT 1 7 7 65   4 410 (alire r)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 30.40  
MUCHO GIFTED 6 1 32 4   5 514¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 5.00  
DIVINE TASK 2 6 6 5   6 615¼ (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 3.50 13% 6.80 2.10  
BARLOWS PRIDE 5 3 5 76   7 719¼ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 120 5.00 9% 10.10 5.00  
 
ARP-8   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :45 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMBI 6 6 6 612   5 15 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 40% 1.50 1.20 W
ONOMATOPOEIA 1 4 1nk 12   11 25 (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 4.00 P
WE MISS GENO 3 2 3.2 3   31 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.20  
DAAHER'S SUCCESS 4 5 5 4   4 47 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 20% 4.00 11.50  
TIGER THE MAN 2 1 2nk 22   21 58 (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 12.00 7% 14.30 3.70  
DAYS OF GLORY 5 3 4 56   6100 6100 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 6.00 12.60  
 
ARP-9   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR FUN 1 1 2nk 1½   1nk 1¾ (gleason tyrone)MARTIN A 117 2.50 53% 0.90 1.30 W
KNIGHTED 6 3 6 31   2nk 2¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 23% 3.30 1.70 P
CRUZ'N OLLIE 5 6 45 43   32 3 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 124 4.50 12.10 S
ROADSIDE 4 4 5 53   4 4 (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5.20  
CLAIMJUMPER 7 7 7 74   5 5 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 6.40  
LAST CALL LEROY 3 5 33 6   7 619 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 30.60  
PARABELLUM 2 2 1nk 2½   6 721 (williams steve )FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 29.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.