Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-4   08/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE Aug08 Jul24 Jul03     (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  BURBACH Aug02 Jul12       (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 ★    
4  ROYAL OUTLAW Aug09 Jul19 May13 Apr30 Apr16 (anderson c)WALES T 120 4.50 ★    
5  PACIFIC HARBOR Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 May20 Mar25 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  JUST WING IT Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 May13 May01 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  OTHER THAN THAT Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 Jul05 May13 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   08/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR May23 May09 Apr18 Apr04 Mar25 (williams steve)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 ★    
2  BAR ROOM BRAWL Jul26         (arjon n)MORALES ADRIAN 124 15.00    
3  ITS A DEAL Aug02 Jul19 May30 May14 Apr23 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  CHERUBIM Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 Jun10 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50    
5  MERRY MIX UP Aug23 Aug08 Jul25     (marquez jose)MARTIN A 119 20.00    
6  LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Aug22 Aug09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun12 (ecoffey gilbe)FACKLER CHRIS 119 8.00 ★    
7  SOUTHERN MOJO Aug09 Jun19 May20 May01 Apr23 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
8  JACK WITH SEVEN Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 Jun05 May07 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
ARP-6   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JONO Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Apr23 Mar20 (rushton te)GONZALEZ V 120 15.00 18% 4.60    
2  KEARNEY Aug08 Jul03 May08 Apr14 Apr04 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 8.00 ★    
3  COLORADO CANDY Jul04 Apr07 Feb16 Jan04   (loftin linda)MARTIN A 124 4.50 ★    
4  HOT ARTIE Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jul04 May06 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  PICTORIAL Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Apr03   (rushton stac)BETHKE A 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL ARGENT Aug15 Aug02 Jul17 May28 May08 (alire mike)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 ★    
2  DIVINE TASK Aug23 Aug02 Jul19     (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  TULSA TIME Aug14 Jul31 Jul03     (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
4  BULLAWAY Aug15 Jul25 Jul05 Mar06 Feb19 (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 121 4.00 41% 1.40    
5  BARLOWS PRIDE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04   (parsons riley)RAMOS B 120 5.00 9% 10.10    
6  MUCHO GIFTED Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Jul03   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00    
7  WEBCAM Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 Mar12 Feb27 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00    
 
ARP-8   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONOMATOPOEIA Jul15 Jun27 Jun05 May16 May03 (williams steve)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 ★    
2  TIGER THE MAN Aug02 Jul05 Jun10 May14 Apr30 (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 12.00 7% 14.30    
3  WE MISS GENO Jul25 Jul11       (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
4  DAAHER'S SUCCESS Jul25 Jul03 Jun07 Apr30 Apr09 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  DAYS OF GLORY Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 6.00 ★    
6  TOMBI Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 May14 Apr23 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
ARP-9   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR FUN Aug14 Aug01 Jul10 Jun17 May29 (gleason tyro)MARTIN A 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  PARABELLUM Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May10 (williams stev)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00    
3  LAST CALL LEROY Jul31 Jul19 Jul05 Mar19 Mar04 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00    
4  ROADSIDE Jul31 Jul11 May07 Apr25 Mar03 (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 ★    
5  CRUZ'N OLLIE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12     (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 124 4.50 ★    
6  KNIGHTED Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  CLAIMJUMPER Aug15 Jul31 Jul03 May30 May19 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.