The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 12, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-4   09/12/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:222 :52         :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EL DIABLO GRANDE 5 3 33     32 12 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.20 W
4  GONE PARADISE 4 1 11     1nk 22 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 ★ 2.20 P
6  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 6 2 21     2nk 34¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 22% 3.60 2.30 S
1  BRAVE HELIOS 1 4 44½     45 48 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 ★ 21.60  
3  NOT NECESSARILY 3 6 56½     57 512 (kulow mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 ★ 8.20  
2  MERRY MIX UP 2 5 68½     69 613½ (marquez leonel)MARTIN A 121 30.00 45.50  
 
ARP-5   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:222 :46 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MEADOW 1 1 34 36   33 12¼ (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 15% 5.50 4.50 W
4  IMA FINAL DE BUY 4 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 22¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 ★ 1.80 P
5  MYSTIC WIND 5 3 46 48   45 33¼ (jenkins l)FACKLER CHRIS 121 4.50 ★ 19.90 S
2  EPSOM IMP 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 43¼ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.60  
3  MISS ELLIE'S GIRL 3 4 511 5100   5100 5100 (mcdonald j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 30.00 14% 6.00 28.40  
 
ARP-6   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:221 :451 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOST AMUSING 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 26% 2.80 1.10 W
2  COUGAR COUNTRY 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.10 P
4  DEJA CREW 3 4 41¼ 46   46 310 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.70 S
1  MASTERPIECE DAY 1 3 3.2 33   33 414¾ (muckey john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 ★ 6.20  
SCR  WOKE UP WILD               (dieter dalton)BETHKE A 124 10.00 ★    
 
ARP-7   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LA ROSA DRIVE 5 1 11 1½   2nk 1½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 ★ 0.70  
4  TOP OF THE PODIUM 4 4 31 2½   1nk 2½ (rushton temple)WALES T 121 3.50 42% 1.40 5.40 P
2  POLLY WAR CRY 2 6 53½ 32½   33 31¾ (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 5% 18.60 39.20 S
3  BIND ME UP 3 3 21 43   45 49 (ibanez alberto)LOPEZ P 124 4.50 ★ 7.40  
1  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH 1 5 64 53   55¼ 59¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 4.10  
6  GIVE EM FITZ 6 2 42½ 63½   68¼ 614 (chavez juan)RAMOS B 121 8.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
 
ARP-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:222 :46 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMBER WAVES 4 6 42 33   43½ 1½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 8.00  
8  TALLANDLONG 6 4 3½ 11   11 2½ (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 20.00 10% 9.40 4.60 P
7  AIR WALKER 5 5 54 43   32 31¼ (shephard john)WALES T 124 10.00 5.60  
4  ABUELA CORI 2 2 1½ 21   21 42¼ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.70  
5  VENUS ISLAND 3 3 65 66   55½ 53¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 34% 2.00 0.90  
3  GOSPEL GINA 1 1 2½ 54   613½ 620½ (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
SCR  AL'S PRINCESS               (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  RIVER BISCUIT               (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00    
 
ARP-9   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:221 :462 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OUTLAW QUEEN 4 2 21 2½   22 12¾ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 2.50 9% 10.10 1.20 W
7  SMARTY TIGRESS 6 4 11 1½   12 22¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 2.80  
9  ONE HOT REDHEAD 8 1 42 31½   34 35¾ (anderson c)WALES T 120 3.50 5.50  
6  ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 3 31½ 42   45½ 47¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 6.10  
2  POPS GIRL ALEXA 2 7 610 69   510½ 510¼ (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 61.90  
1  LANKY LOU 1 6 711 711   711½ 612¼ (marquez leonel)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00 6% 16.10 6.20  
8  SMART ACT 7 8 56 54   611 717 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 22% 3.50 15.30  
3  DIXIE TRIXIE 3 5 811½ 816   815½ 818¼ (dieter dalton)BETHKE A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 41.60  
SCR  KELLEY'S MANDATE               (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 120 1.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.