Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M LUCKY   (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 2.50 44% 1.30 3.00 W
BURGAMEISTER   (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7% 13.10 2.60 P
HYPER DRIVE   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 2.90 0.60 S
BEHOLD DE FLAME   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 12.00 8.30  
SCR  FAYETTE WARRIOR   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 15.00    
 
ARP-4   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHIONABLY QUICK   (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 31% 2.20 0.70 W
TAP THE HEART   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 2.50 22% 3.60 2.80 P
B'ESAME ME MUCHO   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 20.00 13% 6.90 5.00 S
QUEEN OF THE ICE   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 9.10  
MY INSTIGATOR   (wales dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5.80  
SCR  EPWORTH   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D L'S GIRL   (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.00 12% 7.00 11.70 W
HATCHET GURL   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 6.60 P
ZIPPORAH   (anderson dav)MARTIN A 124 8.00 25.20  
AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH   (shipp michael)WALES T 121 3.50 20% 3.90 1.60  
GOLD PASS   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 15.90  
TOURIST LIKE ME   (shephard joh)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 37.40  
SENTIMENTAL CROSS   (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 3.00  
PROMPTLY DONE   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.50  
 
ARP-6   09/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANJO BILL   (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 10% 9.20 4.60 W
RANDOM AFFAIR   (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 2.50 3.70 P
THE GREATEST EAGLE   (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 13.60  
LOOKING FOR BULL   (hancock da)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 20.60  
THETRASHMANSCOMING   (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 46% 1.20 0.80  
ASTUTE WARRIOR   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.00 19% 4.40 6.40  
BOLD IMAGE   (rushton temple)WALES T 124 15.00 12.90  
SCR  GRAN EDITION   (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 C/G PT- 5:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELER DEALER   (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 1.00  
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE   (vicchrilli rus)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 P
BARTSTER   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 10.90 S
YOU'RE MY ROCK   (hudson raina)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 9.00  
EYES ON MOONSHINE   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 10.00 14% 6.20 16.10  
CHIEF RULES   (parsons rile)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20 7.80  
 
ARP-8   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 14% 6.00 1.70 W
BIG BIZ   (haar j)WALES T 124 2.00 1.90  
JIMBO'S BIZ   (mitchell stet)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 35% 1.90 10.80 S
SILVER MAKER   (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 22.80  
PODEROSO EQUS   (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 12% 7.40 4.20  
BUBBAS DIXIE   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 12% 7.50 4.50  
RISKY BOY   (shephard j)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 38.80  
 
ARP-9   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING THE POSSE   (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 11.70  
GRAND EXPECTATIONS   (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 36% 1.80 5.60 P
SHASTAWIN   (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.00 39% 1.60 0.80 S
YA THINK   (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 49.50  
MS BUMBLEBEE   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 13.40  
TUDIE LU   (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 2.50  
IMA HOT TOTTIE   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 120 6.00 29.00  
FLYING LADY   (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 120 15.00 29.40  
MIDNIGHT GHOST   (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00 31.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.