Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :451 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  I'M LUCKY 3 3 1½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 2.50 44% 1.30 3.00 W
5  BURGAMEISTER 4 1 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7% 13.10 2.60 P
3  HYPER DRIVE 2 2 32½ 33½   32 31¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 2.90 0.60 S
1  BEHOLD DE FLAME 1 4 47½ 46½   46 48¼ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 12.00 ★ 8.30  
SCR  FAYETTE WARRIOR               (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 15.00 ★    
 
ARP-4   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHIONABLY QUICK 1 3 1½ 1nk   11 12 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 31% 2.20 0.70 W
6  TAP THE HEART 5 2 2½ 2nk   21 22 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 2.50 22% 3.60 2.80 P
2  B'ESAME ME MUCHO 2 5 56 58¼   33 32¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 20.00 13% 6.90 5.00 S
3  QUEEN OF THE ICE 3 4 32½ 33   46 49½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 9.10  
4  MY INSTIGATOR 4 1 43 43¼   510 518¼ (wales dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  EPWORTH               (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 ★    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  D L'S GIRL 3 4 43 32   22 1¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.00 12% 7.00 11.70 W
5  HATCHET GURL 5 1 1½ 1½   12 2¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00 ★ 6.60 P
4  ZIPPORAH 4 6 78½ 68   46½ 35¾ (anderson david)MARTIN A 124 8.00 25.20  
2  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH 2 8 68½ 89¼   33½ 48 (shipp michael)WALES T 121 3.50 20% 3.90 1.60  
7  GOLD PASS 7 7 88¾ 58   57 58 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 ★ 15.90  
1  TOURIST LIKE ME 1 3 32½ 44   713 614½ (shephard john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 37.40  
8  SENTIMENTAL CROSS 8 2 2½ 2½   612 716¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 3.00  
6  PROMPTLY DONE 6 5 57 78¼   816 822¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.50  
 
ARP-6   09/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:114 1:254   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BANJO BILL 4 3 2nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 12¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 10% 9.20 4.60 W
6  RANDOM AFFAIR 6 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 22¾ (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 2.50 ★ 3.70 P
8  THE GREATEST EAGLE 7 7 711½ 79 710 56 36 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 13.60  
3  LOOKING FOR BULL 3 1 44½ 56½ 35½ 33½ 46 (hancock davi)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 20.60  
1  THETRASHMANSCOMING 1 6 68½ 67 46½ 45½ 57½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 46% 1.20 0.80  
5  ASTUTE WARRIOR 5 5 56½ 46 57 68 611¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.00 19% 4.40 6.40  
2  BOLD IMAGE 2 2 31½ 34½ 68½ 712 719¾ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 15.00 12.90  
SCR  GRAN EDITION               (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :454 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELER DEALER 1 5 2½ 11   15 113 (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 ★ 1.00  
4  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 4 1 41 32   35 213 (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 P
2  BARTSTER 2 3 1½ 21   25 317¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 ★ 10.90 S
6  YOU'RE MY ROCK 6 2 54 45   48 425 (hudson raina)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 9.00  
5  EYES ON MOONSHINE 5 6 68 612   516 536 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 10.00 14% 6.20 16.10  
3  CHIEF RULES 3 4 31 57   636 663½ (parsons riley)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20 7.80  
 
ARP-8   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :453 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOSE DRANK WINE 5 5 32 3½   2½ 11 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 14% 6.00 1.70 W
3  BIG BIZ 3 1 2½ 1½   1½ 21 (haar j)WALES T 124 2.00 1.90  
6  JIMBO'S BIZ 6 7 78 78½   65½ 34¼ (mitchell stetso)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 35% 1.90 10.80 S
4  SILVER MAKER 4 6 44 45½   55 47¾ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 ★ 22.80  
1  PODEROSO EQUS 1 4 54½ 56   34½ 510½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 12% 7.40 4.20  
7  BUBBAS DIXIE 7 3 67 66½   76 611 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 12% 7.50 4.50  
2  RISKY BOY 2 2 1½ 2½   44½ 715 (shephard joh)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 38.80  
 
ARP-9   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRING THE POSSE 5 2 3½ 32   32 11½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 ★ 11.70  
7  GRAND EXPECTATIONS 7 3 64 43   21½ 21½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 36% 1.80 5.60 P
3  SHASTAWIN 3 7 2½ 11   11½ 38 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.00 39% 1.60 0.80 S
2  YA THINK 2 8 53 65½   47 410¾ (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 49.50  
9  MS BUMBLEBEE 9 4 41½ 55   79 514¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 ★ 13.40  
1  TUDIE LU 1 9 87 710½   68 615¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 ★ 2.50  
4  IMA HOT TOTTIE 4 1 1½ 21   57½ 720½ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 6.00 29.00  
8  FLYING LADY 8 5 912 917½   914½ 822¼ (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 120 15.00 29.40  
6  MIDNIGHT GHOST 6 6 76 813½   814 927 (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00 31.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.