Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHOLD DE FLAME Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 May07 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
SCR  FAYETTE WARRIOR Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jul03 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 15.00    
HYPER DRIVE Aug07 Jul18 Jun03 May21 May07 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
I'M LUCKY Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun17 Jun03 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
BURGAMEISTER Aug01 Jul19 Jun18 May29 Apr30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7% 13.10    
 
ARP-4   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHIONABLY QUICK Aug15 Jul18 Apr16 Mar24 Feb27 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
B'ESAME ME MUCHO Jul31 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May12 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 20.00 13% 6.90    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Aug21         (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00    
MY INSTIGATOR Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 May28 (wales dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
SCR  EPWORTH Jun11 May16 Apr24 Mar17 Feb11 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50    
TAP THE HEART Aug21 Jul04 May06 Apr02 Mar25 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOURIST LIKE ME Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 Jun10 May30 (shephard john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Apr19 (shipp michael)WALES T 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
D L'S GIRL Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 May14 Apr30 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
ZIPPORAH Jul26 Jul11 Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 (anderson david)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
HATCHET GURL Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jun20 Jun12 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
PROMPTLY DONE Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 Apr22 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
GOLD PASS Aug30 Aug07 Jul26 Jun10 May20 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50    
SENTIMENTAL CROSS Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun12 May16 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
 
ARP-6   09/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THETRASHMANSCOMING Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 May27 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
BOLD IMAGE Aug23 Jul25 Jul05 May14 Apr10 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 15.00    
LOOKING FOR BULL Aug28 Aug07 Jul26 Jul11 May13 (hancock davi)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
BANJO BILL Aug07 Jul26 May31 May16 May01 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
ASTUTE WARRIOR Aug07 Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 May30 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
RANDOM AFFAIR Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 May30 (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
SCR  GRAN EDITION Aug01 Jul19 Apr23     (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Aug21 Aug09 Jul11 Jun18 May28 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 C/G PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELER DEALER Aug28 Jul24       (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50    
BARTSTER Aug28 Jul24       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50    
CHIEF RULES         (parsons riley)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Aug15         (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
EYES ON MOONSHINE         (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
YOU'RE MY ROCK Aug28         (hudson raina)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00    
 
ARP-8   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PODEROSO EQUS Aug23 Jul17 Jul03 May13 Apr23 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
RISKY BOY Aug23 Aug02       (shephard joh)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
BIG BIZ Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun10 (haar j)WALES T 124 2.00    
SILVER MAKER Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 May21 (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
GOOSE DRANK WINE Aug28 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
JIMBO'S BIZ Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 (mitchell stetso)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
BUBBAS DIXIE Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 May07 Apr24 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
ARP-9   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDIE LU         (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00    
YA THINK Aug28 Aug07       (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00    
SHASTAWIN Aug21         (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
IMA HOT TOTTIE Aug21         (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 6.00    
BRING THE POSSE Aug21 Aug07       (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50    
MIDNIGHT GHOST Aug30 Aug21       (long vaughn)FACKLER CHRIS 120 20.00    
GRAND EXPECTATIONS Jul24         (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
FLYING LADY Aug21         (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 120 15.00    
MS BUMBLEBEE Aug21 Aug07       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.