Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SUMMER 6 3 34 24   23 1 (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 54% 0.80 0.50 W
GRACIE'S A TIGER 4 2 11 14   13 2 (martinez a)WALES T 117 4.50 1.30 P
RAMOS 2 4 59 617   517 322¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 17.90  
SHES STEEL DREAMIN 5 6 47 413   415 426 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 16% 5.20 14.40  
IMA HAPPY DANCER 1 5 612 517   619 526½ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 114 12.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 3 1 21 39   313 627½ (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ V 117 20.00 39.70  
SCR  JOSIES SCORE               (muckey john)RAMOS B 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-2   09/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ARTIE 7 5 5½     1nk 1 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 39% 1.50 1.20 W
DOWNTOWN BROWN 5 6 75     5 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 10% 8.60 13.40 P
CIRCLE BACK 3 3 2nk     2nk 33 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 12.00 0.90  
PACIFIC HARBOR 1 1 1nk     3½ 48 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 10.90  
DRYSPELL 4 4 4¼     4 510¾ (marquez jose)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00 6% 16.90 28.80  
BURBACH 8 8 6     7 613½ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 6.00 19.90  
RADICATOR 2 2 3.2     6 717¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 17% 4.90 64.10  
GLASS EATER 6 7 88     813¾ 822¾ (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 4.50 35.20  
 
ARP-3   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEGOVIANA 3 1 11 14   110 114½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 6% 16.20 1.50 W
ANGIE'S REVRAC 1 3 34 38   311 214½ (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 2.50 62% 0.60 1.10 P
STAR IN HEAVEN 4 2 21 24   210 325¾ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 12% 7.60 2.40 S
E R F TOTAH RAIN 2 4 47 411   419 428¼ (wales dale)WALES T 124 6.00 11.30  
SCR  EYES OF AGE               (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00    
SCR  TRICKY LEX               (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 20.00    
 
ARP-4   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAU GOSSE 5 1 2½ 1½   1½ 1½ (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 4.50 5.20  
FLOWER BEACH 2 2 1½ 2½   2½ 2½ (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.00 0.60 P
MISS OCEAN EXPRESS 4 3 3 3   32 3¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 38% 1.60 4.40 S
WINGS UP 3 5 5 59   47 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00 7% 13.80 9.70  
BREAKIN DAYLIGHT 1 4 4 44   511 510¼ (coughlin chris)BETHKE A 124 2.50 4.70  
 
ARP-5   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLY FOE 1 2 1½ 2½   2nk 11 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 6.00 4.70  
PARABELLUM 2 3 2½ 1½   1nk 21 (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 8.30  
LAST CALL LEROY 7 6 55 32   4 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 3.30  
TEQUILA RITA 5 7 65 5   31 43 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 8.00 7.70  
BAD BOY BILL 4 4 3 42   5 58 (gleason tyrone)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 2.50 1.30  
MAGICAL STAR 6 1 42 6   6 613 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 124 2.50 26% 2.90 5.40  
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 3 5 79 7   713¼ 723 (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 124 20.00 36.50  
SCR  J P'S WEST ACRES               (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
ARP-6   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TATUM 1 1 2nk 22   2½ 1¼ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 0.50  
MOONFIELD 2 2 1nk 12   1½ 2¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 42% 1.40 2.90 P
DONNAS FINAL WORD 4 4 43 34   3 3½ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 4.80 S
HEY ROXY 3 3 32 45   4 4 (williams f)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
THAT'S ALL RIGHT 5 5 54 56   5 510½ (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 26% 2.90 7.90  
SCR  MILLI STARR               (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCS CARO CAT 3 4 42 6   5 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 11% 8.50 2.70 W
CASH CRUZER 7 5 5 4¾   1nk 2 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 18% 4.70 1.60 P
BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 8 6 6 5   2nk 3 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 15.00 36.50  
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 5 1 31 1nk   3½ 4 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 10% 9.00 1.80  
REAL BULL 2 8 7 7   7 511 (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 16.00  
TATES QUIK START 1 2 1½ 3½   6 612½ (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 30.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
TANDEM DRIVE 4 3 2½ 2nk   41 717¾ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 48.90  
MORO BLACK BOOK 6 7 8100 8100   8100 8100 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 32.50  
SCR  DOC BOWSER               (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 117 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-8   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 3 3 2   11 1 (esquibel mark)WALES T 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.10 W
BULL RING 7 6 67 6   32 2 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 21% 3.70 3.00 P
SWAY BACK WHEN 1 1 2½ 4   44 3 (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 4.10 S
OUR HALF FIRST 3 7 7 7   5 49 (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 11% 7.80 8.90  
DEACON BEACON 5 2 1½ 1   21 510¼ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 24.60  
BENTLEY 6 5 52 5   67 612¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 11% 8.20 11.60  
BOLD IMPACT 2 4 4 3   711 724¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8.30  
 
ARP-9   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO CLASSIC 6 1 3 3   2nk 12 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 21% 3.70 5.90 W
MONGOLIAN ROSE 3 2 1½ 1½   1nk 22 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 0.40 P
GOODNIGHTLOVING 1 5 56 4   31 3 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 41% 1.40 6.00 S
DIVA'S DIVA 4 4 6 6   6 4 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 7.90  
INAGOODWAY 5 3 2½ 2½   4 5 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00 27.30  
HURRICANE FLORENCE 2 6 45 5   5 614½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8.30  
SCR  STREETTALKINHOTTIE               (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.