Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MO SUMMER 6 3 34 24   23 11½ (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 54% 0.80 0.50 W
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER 4 2 11 14   13 21½ (martinez a)WALES T 117 4.50 ★ 1.30 P
3  RAMOS 2 4 59 617   517 322¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 17.90  
6  SHES STEEL DREAMIN 5 6 47 413   415 426 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 16% 5.20 14.40  
1  IMA HAPPY DANCER 1 5 612 517   619 526½ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 114 12.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
4  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 3 1 21 39   313 627½ (hibdon mar)GONZALEZ V 117 20.00 39.70  
SCR  JOSIES SCORE               (muckey john)RAMOS B 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-2   09/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOT ARTIE 7 5 5½     1nk 12½ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 39% 1.50 1.20 W
5  DOWNTOWN BROWN 5 6 75     52¾ 22½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 10% 8.60 13.40 P
3  CIRCLE BACK 3 3 2nk     2nk 33 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 12.00 0.90  
1  PACIFIC HARBOR 1 1 1nk     3½ 48 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 10.90  
4  DRYSPELL 4 4 4¼     42½ 510¾ (marquez jo)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00 6% 16.90 28.80  
8  BURBACH 8 8 63½     75¾ 613½ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 6.00 19.90  
2  RADICATOR 2 2 3.2     64¾ 717¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 17% 4.90 64.10  
6  GLASS EATER 6 7 88     813¾ 822¾ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★ 35.20  
 
ARP-3   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEGOVIANA 3 1 11 14   110 114½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 6% 16.20 1.50 W
1  ANGIE'S REVRAC 1 3 34 38   311 214½ (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 2.50 62% 0.60 1.10 P
5  STAR IN HEAVEN 4 2 21 24   210 325¾ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 12% 7.60 2.40 S
2  E R F TOTAH RAIN 2 4 47 411   419 428¼ (wales dale)WALES T 124 6.00 ★ 11.30  
SCR  EYES OF AGE               (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 30.00    
SCR  TRICKY LEX               (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 20.00 ★    
 
ARP-4   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEAU GOSSE 5 1 2½ 1½   1½ 1½ (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 4.50 ★ 5.20  
2  FLOWER BEACH 2 2 1½ 2½   2½ 2½ (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.00 0.60 P
4  MISS OCEAN EXPRESS 4 3 34½ 32½   32 3¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 38% 1.60 4.40 S
3  WINGS UP 3 5 57½ 59   47 46¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00 7% 13.80 9.70  
1  BREAKIN DAYLIGHT 1 4 44½ 44   511 510¼ (coughlin chr)BETHKE A 124 2.50 ★ 4.70  
 
ARP-5   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE 1 2 1½ 2½   2nk 11 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 6.00 ★ 4.70  
2  PARABELLUM 2 3 2½ 1½   1nk 21 (williams stev)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 8.30  
8  LAST CALL LEROY 7 6 55 32   41¼ 31½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 3.30  
6  TEQUILA RITA 5 7 65 52¼   31 43 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 8.00 ★ 7.70  
5  BAD BOY BILL 4 4 31½ 42   53¼ 58 (gleason tyro)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 2.50 ★ 1.30  
7  MAGICAL STAR 6 1 42 64¼   66¼ 613 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 124 2.50 26% 2.90 5.40  
4  SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 3 5 79 79¼   713¼ 723 (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 124 20.00 36.50  
SCR  J P'S WEST ACRES               (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
ARP-6   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET TATUM 1 1 2nk 22   2½ 1¼ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 ★ 0.50  
3  MOONFIELD 2 2 1nk 12   1½ 2¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 42% 1.40 2.90 P
5  DONNAS FINAL WORD 4 4 43 34   31½ 3½ (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★ 4.80 S
4  HEY ROXY 3 3 32 45   44½ 47¼ (williams f)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
6  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 5 5 54 56   57½ 510½ (ibanez alb)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 26% 2.90 7.90  
SCR  MILLI STARR               (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOCS CARO CAT 3 4 42 61¾   51½ 11½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 11% 8.50 2.70 W
8  CASH CRUZER 7 5 52½ 4¾   1nk 21½ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 18% 4.70 1.60 P
9  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 8 6 64½ 51¼   2nk 33½ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 15.00 36.50  
6  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 5 1 31 1nk   3½ 48½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 10% 9.00 1.80  
3  REAL BULL 2 8 79½ 76¾   75½ 511 (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 16.00  
2  TATES QUIK START 1 2 1½ 3½   62½ 612½ (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 30.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
5  TANDEM DRIVE 4 3 2½ 2nk   41 717¾ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 48.90  
7  MORO BLACK BOOK 6 7 8100 8100   8100 8100 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 32.50  
SCR  DOC BOWSER               (vicchrilli rus)HERRERA HUGO 117 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-8   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 3 31½ 21½   11 13½ (esquibel mark)WALES T 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.10 W
7  BULL RING 7 6 67 65½   32 23½ (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 21% 3.70 3.00 P
1  SWAY BACK WHEN 1 1 2½ 43½   44 38¼ (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★ 4.10 S
3  OUR HALF FIRST 3 7 77½ 77½   55½ 49 (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 11% 7.80 8.90  
5  DEACON BEACON 5 2 1½ 11½   21 510¼ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 24.60  
6  BENTLEY 6 5 52 53½   67 612¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 11% 8.20 11.60  
2  BOLD IMPACT 2 4 41½ 32½   711 724¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8.30  
 
ARP-9   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INTO CLASSIC 6 1 33½ 31½   2nk 12 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 21% 3.70 5.90 W
3  MONGOLIAN ROSE 3 2 1½ 1½   1nk 22 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 ★ 0.40 P
1  GOODNIGHTLOVING 1 5 56 42½   31 33¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 41% 1.40 6.00 S
4  DIVA'S DIVA 4 4 67½ 67½   64¾ 46¾ (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 ★ 7.90  
5  INAGOODWAY 5 3 2½ 2½   42½ 59½ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00 27.30  
2  HURRICANE FLORENCE 2 6 45 53½   54½ 614½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★ 8.30  
SCR  STREETTALKINHOTTIE               (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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