Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   09/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA HAPPY DANCER         (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOSIES SCORE         (muckey john)RAMOS B 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAMOS Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 May29   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00    
4  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Aug21 Aug07       (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 117 20.00    
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER         (martinez a)WALES T 117 4.50 ★    
6  SHES STEEL DREAMIN         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  MO SUMMER Aug30         (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
ARP-2   09/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIC HARBOR Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 May20 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00    
2  RADICATOR May21 Feb27       (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  CIRCLE BACK Aug28 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May15 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 12.00    
4  DRYSPELL Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jul05 May21 (marquez jo)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00 6% 16.90    
5  DOWNTOWN BROWN Aug28 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May20 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
6  GLASS EATER Aug10 Jul09 Jun23     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★    
7  HOT ARTIE Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jul04 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  BURBACH Aug29 Aug02 Jul12     (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 6.00    
 
ARP-3   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGIE'S REVRAC Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul01 Jun12 (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  E R F TOTAH RAIN Aug01         (wales dale)WALES T 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  TRICKY LEX Sep05 Aug01 Jul12     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 20.00 ★    
4  SEGOVIANA Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 6% 16.20    
5  STAR IN HEAVEN Aug15 Aug01 Jul03     (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  EYES OF AGE Sep05 Aug15       (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 30.00    
 
ARP-4   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKIN DAYLIGHT Sep05 Aug07 Jul17 Jun18 May29 (coughlin chr)BETHKE A 124 2.50 ★    
2  FLOWER BEACH Aug23 Jul18 Apr12 Mar30 Mar07 (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  WINGS UP Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 May20 May13 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00 7% 13.80    
4  MISS OCEAN EXPRESS Aug30 Jul18 Jul04 Apr24 Apr10 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
5  BEAU GOSSE Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 Jun12 (christian bil)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 ★    
 
ARP-5   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03   (parsons riley)WALES T 117 6.00 ★    
2  PARABELLUM Aug29 Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (williams stev)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00    
SCR  J P'S WEST ACRES Aug30         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  SHKEURTAILFEATHERS Aug09 Jul19 Jul05     (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 124 20.00    
5  BAD BOY BILL Aug30 Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr26 (gleason tyro)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 2.50 ★    
6  TEQUILA RITA Aug15 Jul12 Apr11 Mar28   (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 8.00 ★    
7  MAGICAL STAR Sep06 Aug15 Jul05     (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
8  LAST CALL LEROY Aug29 Jul31 Jul19 Jul05 Mar19 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILLI STARR Aug30 Aug21 Jul24 Jun17 Jun12 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
2  SWEET TATUM Jul25 Jul11 May21 Apr22 Apr02 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 ★    
3  MOONFIELD Aug28 Jul04 Jun11 May29 Apr24 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
4  HEY ROXY Aug30 Jul18 Jun07 May23 May09 (williams f)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DONNAS FINAL WORD Aug30 Aug09 Jul03 Jun11 May29 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★    
6  THAT'S ALL RIGHT Aug30 Aug21 Jul02 Jun17 May21 (ibanez alb)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 26% 2.90    
 
ARP-7   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOC BOWSER Aug28         (vicchrilli rus)HERRERA HUGO 117 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  TATES QUIK START Aug28 Aug02 Jul24     (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  REAL BULL Aug02 Jul24       (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00    
4  DOCS CARO CAT Aug30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  TANDEM DRIVE Aug30 Aug02 Mar08     (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
6  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
7  MORO BLACK BOOK Aug30 Aug02 Jul05     (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
8  CASH CRUZER Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 May29 Apr03 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
9  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY Aug30 Jul17       (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 15.00    
 
ARP-8   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAY BACK WHEN Aug30 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★    
2  BOLD IMPACT Jul11 Jun11 May27 Apr30 Apr23 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
3  OUR HALF FIRST Aug30 Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 May27 (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Sep05 Aug09 Jun25 May02 Apr08 (esquibel mark)WALES T 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  DEACON BEACON Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 May20 Apr02 (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 10.00    
6  BENTLEY Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
7  BULL RING Aug30 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 May20 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 21% 3.70    
 
ARP-9   09/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNIGHTLOVING Aug30 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  HURRICANE FLORENCE Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 May13 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
3  MONGOLIAN ROSE Aug15 Jul31 Apr19 Mar24 Mar11 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 ★    
4  DIVA'S DIVA Aug28 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun18 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 ★    
5  INAGOODWAY Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 Jun06 May21 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
6  INTO CLASSIC Aug30 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  STREETTALKINHOTTIE Jul12 Jun17 Jun12 Apr22 Mar04 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.