The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Middleburg
Saturday - October 08, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MID-1   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF SOFT Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
4:163         4:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R S ONE (IRE) 8 343 4 55 31½ (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 147      
POTUS 4 554 55 1nk 12½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
THAI TERRIER 3 21nk 1nk 2nk 23(neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154     S
SEISMIC WAVE 5 878 6 68 511½ 4(morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   76% 0.30    
GOLD (FR) 2 42nk 2nk 3 45(fout douglas)DALTON BERNARD 150      
ARROWHEART 1 132 3 4 612½ 6(young f)GARNER THOMAS 150      
MACHENBANK (GER) 6 767 76 79 7100 7100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) 7 68 811 8100 8100 8100 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
 
MID-2   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF SOFT Allowance   Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
4:091         4:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELSHMAN 1 613½ 611 6 11 118 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   66% 0.50   W
MR. BRIDGER 6 13 15 1½ 21 228 (george laird)GARNER THOMAS 156     P
MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 7 512 510½ 55 46 3312¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140      
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) 5 38 37 33 34 410½ 416½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
YANKEE DOODLE BOY 4 716½ 812½ 8 610 614½ 522½ (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 156   9% 10.20    
TELEGRAM 3 23 25 2½ 712 513½ 623¼ (voss elizabeth)GERAGHTY ROSS 155      
LEAR AVIA 2 817½ 711½ 7 57 7100 7100 (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 139      
TWENTY YEARS ON (GB) 8 49 4 4 8100 8100 8100 (fisher r)DALTON BERNARD 156      
 
MID-3   10/08/2022 17160ft TURF SOFT nongraded Stake   Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
6:334         6:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRACKER FACTORY (GB) 4 68 6 5 58 47 1½ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 155      
BOUTONNIERE 2 221 2½ 2 2nk 2½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 155     P
STORM TEAM 5 111 1½ 1 1nk 3½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 160     S
MYSTIC STRIKE 3 55 5 4 4 36 41 (mckenna todd)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   36% 1.80    
FLAMING SWORD (IRE) 6 34 3 3 515 535 (valentine l)FOLEY BARRY 150   18% 4.50    
ROYAL RUSE 1 43 33 6 6100 6100 6100 (neilson sanna)HENDRIKS PARKER 160   23% 3.40    
 
MID-4   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF SOFT Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
4:16         4:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP BRASS (GB) 1 38 36 2 2½ 12 1½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150   6% 16.30   W
LOWCOUNTRY 3 512 813 79 4 22 2½ (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 150      
MISSION BRIEF 9 816 611 8 3 33 31 (hodsdon danielle)GERAGHTY ROSS 150   6% 16.30   S
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 4 613 712 48 6 443 (smith m)DALTON BERNARD 154      
MARKET BUBBLE 2 411½ 48 5 7 55(fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   25% 3.00    
HAIL TO THE CHIEF 6 714 59 69 57 66(neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
FASHION LINE 5 113 1 1½ 7711¾ (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154      
QUALITY CHOICE 7 223 35 810½ 812½ 814½ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   30% 2.30    
DOGWOODS COSBY 8 917 915 913½ 928½ 9100 9100 (miller zach)GILLIGAN JACK 145   6% 16.30    
 
MID-5   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF SOFT Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
4:233         4:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBERT'S LUXURY 1 12 11 11 2nk 13 1(mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   61% 0.60   W
LEFT BLANK 3 77 76 53 5 23 2(wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 145      
HEY TEACHER (GB) 8 54 4 33 43(neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 150     S
10  HERO'S RETURN 9 432 3 1nk 3414¾ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
ALWAYS COOL 4 664 64 6 513½ 515½ (boucher lilith)DALTON BERNARD 154      
FEMINISTA 5 88 87 89 8 616½ 617¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 135      
CATCHER'S MITT 7 22 21 21 4 722½ 727¼ (miller zach)GALLIGAN GERARD 150      
MERKABA 2 99 99 915 917¼ 837½ 850¾ (dowling william)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
PURRAGEOUS DYNA 6 353 75 7 957½ 981 (cullinane bryan)CULLINANE BRYAN 147      
SCR  ROYALE               (kingsley j)GILLIGAN JACK 149   18% 4.50    
 
MID-6   10/08/2022 15840ft TURF SOFT Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
6:002         6:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOOSHIE (IRE) 6 610 5 1 18 11 1½ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 165   53% 0.90   W
LONELY WEEKEND 3 569 311½ 318 21 2½ (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160     P
COURT RULER (IRE) 4 114 2 28 33 3(young f)GARNER THOMAS 165      
WESTERN CRUSADER 1 47 4 515½ 446 451 478 (hendriks j)WATTERS GRAHAM 165      
LUCKY SOUL 5 224 412½ 553 559 587¼ (dowling william)BATOFF JUSTIN 158      
JACKSON S 2 334 619½ 6100 6100 6100 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 165      
SCR  MR. FINE THREADS               (murphy alicia)HENDRIKS PARKER 165   26% 2.90    
SCR  SHOOTIN THE BREEZE               (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 165      
 
MID-7   10/08/2022 13860ft TURF SOFT Allowance   Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
5:20         5:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUC DE MERAN (FR) 2 23 23 2 22 21 1½ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 160      
BODES WELL (IRE) 3 13 13 1 12 11 2½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 160   34% 1.90   P
GAYE BREEZE (IRE) 4 37 38 36 37 39 314¼ (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160   12% 7.40   S
NATHANIELHAWTHORNE (GB) 5 513 511½ 512 410 416 427 (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 160      
JUMP TO JUNEAU 1 48 410 411 540 5100 5100 (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.