Handicappers' Race Results
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Middleburg
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
MID-1   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
4:163         4:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  R S ONE (IRE) 8 31½ 43 44½ 55 34½ 1½ (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 147      
4  POTUS 4 53¾ 54 55 1nk 13½ 2½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
3  THAI TERRIER 3 21½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 23½ 33¾ (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154   ★   S
5  SEISMIC WAVE 5 87¼ 78 65½ 68 511½ 48¼ (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   76% 0.30    
2  GOLD (FR) 2 43½ 2nk 2nk 31½ 47½ 59¾ (fout douglas)DALTON BERNARD 150   ★    
1  ARROWHEART 1 11½ 32 31½ 44½ 612½ 69¾ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150   ★    
6  MACHENBANK (GER) 6 76¾ 67 76 79 7100 7100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   ★    
7  SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) 7 66¾ 88½ 811 8100 8100 8100 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
 
MID-2   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:091         4:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELSHMAN 1 613½ 611 65½ 11 14½ 18 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   66% 0.50   W
6  MR. BRIDGER 6 13 15 1½ 21 24½ 28 (george laird)GARNER THOMAS 156   ★   P
7  MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 7 512 510½ 55 46 39½ 312¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140      
5  QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) 5 38 37 33 34 410½ 416½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
4  YANKEE DOODLE BOY 4 716½ 812½ 87½ 610 614½ 522½ (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 156   9% 10.20    
3  TELEGRAM 3 23 25 2½ 712 513½ 623¼ (voss elizabeth)GERAGHTY ROSS 155   ★    
2  LEAR AVIA 2 817½ 711½ 77½ 57 7100 7100 (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 139      
8  TWENTY YEARS ON (GB) 8 49 48½ 44½ 8100 8100 8100 (fisher r)DALTON BERNARD 156      
 
MID-3   10/08/2022 17160ft TURF RC2 SOFT nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
6:334         6:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRACKER FACTORY (GB) 4 68 68½ 55½ 58 47 1½ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 155      
2  BOUTONNIERE 2 21½ 21 2½ 21½ 2nk 2½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 155   ★   P
5  STORM TEAM 5 11½ 11 1½ 11½ 1nk 3½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 160   ★   S
3  MYSTIC STRIKE 3 55 57½ 44½ 45½ 36 41 (mckenna todd)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   36% 1.80    
6  FLAMING SWORD (IRE) 6 32½ 46½ 31½ 35½ 515 535 (valentine richard)FOLEY BARRY 150   18% 4.50    
1  ROYAL RUSE 1 43 33 66½ 6100 6100 6100 (neilson sanna)HENDRIKS PARKER 160   23% 3.40    
 
MID-4   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
4:16         4:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP BRASS (GB) 1 38 36 23½ 2½ 12 1½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150   6% 16.30   W
3  LOWCOUNTRY 3 512 813 79 45½ 22 2½ (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 150      
9  MISSION BRIEF 9 816 611 89½ 33½ 33 31 (hodsdon daniell)GERAGHTY ROSS 150   6% 16.30   S
4  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 4 613 712 48 67½ 43½ 43 (smith lawrence)DALTON BERNARD 154      
2  MARKET BUBBLE 2 411½ 48 58½ 78½ 54½ 53¼ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   25% 3.00    
6  HAIL TO THE CHIEF 6 714 59 69 57 65½ 64½ (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
5  FASHION LINE 5 15½ 13 13½ 1½ 79½ 711¾ (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154      
7  QUALITY CHOICE 7 25½ 23 35 810½ 812½ 814½ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   30% 2.30    
8  DOGWOODS COSBY 8 917 915 913½ 928½ 9100 9100 (miller zach)GILLIGAN JACK 145   6% 16.30    
 
MID-5   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
4:233         4:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBERT'S LUXURY 1 12 11 11 2nk 13 12¼ (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   61% 0.60   W
3  LEFT BLANK 3 77 76 53 53¼ 23 22¼ (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 145      
9  HEY TEACHER (GB) 8 54½ 42½ 42½ 33 47½ 38¾ (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 150   ★   S
10  HERO'S RETURN 9 43½ 32 31½ 1nk 37½ 414¾ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
4  ALWAYS COOL 4 66½ 64 64 66¼ 513½ 515½ (boucher lilith)DALTON BERNARD 154      
6  FEMINISTA 5 88 87 89 89¼ 616½ 617¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 135      
8  CATCHER'S MITT 7 22 21 21 43¼ 722½ 727¼ (miller zach)GALLIGAN GERARD 150   ★    
2  MERKABA 2 99 99 915 917¼ 837½ 850¾ (dowling willia)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
7  PURRAGEOUS DYNA 6 33½ 53 75 78¼ 957½ 981 (cullinane bry)CULLINANE BRYAN 147      
SCR  ROYALE               (kingsley archib)GILLIGAN JACK 149   18% 4.50    
 
MID-6   10/08/2022 15840ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
6:002         6:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STOOSHIE (IRE) 6 610 57½ 12½ 18 11 1½ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 165   53% 0.90   W
3  LONELY WEEKEND 3 58½ 69 311½ 318 21 2½ (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160   ★   P
4  COURT RULER (IRE) 4 13½ 14 22½ 28 33 35¼ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 165      
1  WESTERN CRUSADER 1 47 45½ 515½ 446 451 478 (hendriks richa)WATTERS GRAHAM 165      
7  LUCKY SOUL 5 23½ 24 412½ 553 559 587¼ (dowling william)BATOFF JUSTIN 158      
2  JACKSON S 2 35½ 34 619½ 6100 6100 6100 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 165   ★    
SCR  MR. FINE THREADS               (murphy alicia)HENDRIKS PARKER 165   26% 2.90    
SCR  SHOOTIN THE BREEZE               (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 165   ★    
 
MID-7   10/08/2022 13860ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
5:20         5:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DUC DE MERAN (FR) 2 23 23 22½ 22 21 1½ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 160   ★    
3  BODES WELL (IRE) 3 13 13 12½ 12 11 2½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 160   34% 1.90   P
4  GAYE BREEZE (IRE) 4 37 38 36 37 39 314¼ (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160   12% 7.40   S
5  NATHANIELHAWTHORNE (GB) 5 513 511½ 512 410 416 427 (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 160   ★    
1  JUMP TO JUNEAU 1 48 410 411 540 5100 5100 (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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