Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Middleburg
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MID-1   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWHEART Jan02         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150      
GOLD (FR)         (fout douglas)DALTON BERNARD 150      
THAI TERRIER Aug01         (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154      
POTUS Jul26 Jun04       (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
SEISMIC WAVE Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jun29 (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   76% 0.30    
MACHENBANK (GER) Aug08 Jul18 May14     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE)         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
R S ONE (IRE)         (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 147      
 
MID-2   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELSHMAN Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 May14   (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   66% 0.50    
LEAR AVIA         (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 139      
TELEGRAM         (voss elizabeth)GERAGHTY ROSS 155      
YANKEE DOODLE BOY         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 156   9% 10.20    
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) May14         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
MR. BRIDGER Aug22 Aug08       (george laird)GARNER THOMAS 156      
MOLLY FANTASY (GER)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140      
TWENTY YEARS ON (GB) Jul18         (fisher r)NO RIDER 156      
 
MID-3   10/08/2022 17160ft TURF RC2 SOFT nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL RUSE Mar27         (neilson sanna)HENDRIKS PARKER 160   23% 3.40    
BOUTONNIERE         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 155      
MYSTIC STRIKE         (mckenna todd)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   36% 1.80    
CRACKER FACTORY (GB)         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 155      
STORM TEAM         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 160      
FLAMING SWORD (IRE)         (valentine richard)FOLEY BARRY 150   18% 4.50    
 
MID-4   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP BRASS (GB) Sep19 May07 Mar31 Mar24 Feb26 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150   6% 16.30    
MARKET BUBBLE Aug01         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   25% 3.00    
LOWCOUNTRY Oct02 Jul18 Apr30     (boucher lilith)NO RIDER 150      
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Sep22 Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 (smith lawrence)DALTON BERNARD 154      
FASHION LINE Jul12         (neilson kathy)NO RIDER 154      
HAIL TO THE CHIEF Apr21 Feb17 Jan14     (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
QUALITY CHOICE Oct02 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11   (beecher mark)FOLEY BARRY 154   30% 2.30    
DOGWOODS COSBY         (miller )GILLIGAN FRANCIS 145   6% 16.30    
MISSION BRIEF Jun08         (hodsdon daniell)GERAGHTY ROSS 150   6% 16.30    
 
MID-5   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBERT'S LUXURY Sep05 Aug17 Aug08 Jul27 Jun20 (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   61% 0.60    
MERKABA Jun21 Jun01       (dowling willia)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
LEFT BLANK Sep09 Aug05 Jul18 Jun25   (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145      
ALWAYS COOL Apr30         (boucher lilith)DALTON BERNARD 154      
SCR  ROYALE Sep05 Aug01 Mar20 Jan16   (kingsle)GILLIGAN FRANCIS 149   18% 4.50    
FEMINISTA Sep05 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 135      
PURRAGEOUS DYNA Aug27 Jul28 Jul13 Jun24 May19 (cullinane bry)CULLINANE BRYAN 147      
CATCHER'S MITT Sep21         (miller zach)NO RIDER 150      
HEY TEACHER (GB) Oct02         (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 150      
10  HERO'S RETURN         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
 
MID-6   10/08/2022 15840ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN CRUSADER May14         (hendriks j)NO RIDER 165      
JACKSON S         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 165      
LONELY WEEKEND         (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160      
COURT RULER (IRE)         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 165      
SCR  SHOOTIN THE BREEZE         (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 165      
SCR  MR. FINE THREADS         (murphy alicia)HENDRIKS PARKER 165   26% 2.90    
LUCKY SOUL Mar27         (dowling william)BATOFF JUSTIN 158      
STOOSHIE (IRE) Mar27         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 165   53% 0.90    
 
MID-7   10/08/2022 13860ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP TO JUNEAU Oct02         (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   30% 2.30    
DUC DE MERAN (FR)         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 160      
BODES WELL (IRE)         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 160   34% 1.90    
GAYE BREEZE (IRE) Apr30         (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160   12% 7.40    
NATHANIELHAWTHORNE (GB)         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 160      
 
MID-8   10/08/2022 6600ft TURF RC0 Allowance Purse ($.001K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE BE DA BOMB Jun11         (young leslie )GALLIGAN GERARD 150      
LUMBERJACK         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 155   12% 7.50    
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Jun19 May21 May12 Apr22 Mar18 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 155   46% 1.20    
OLD WEST PRINCESS (IRE)         (brion keri)NO RIDER 147      
QUIDDITCH Sep18         (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 140      
REWIND (GB)         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 150      
HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Apr30         (kingsley arch)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 150   20% 3.90    
GRUNION         (yovanovich do)WOODSON MICHAEL 145      
ECONOMIC POLICY         (bourke )GILLIGAN FRANCIS 150      
10  BLUE NILE Jun29         (valentine rich)DALTON BERNARD 145      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.