Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Middleburg
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MID-1   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROWHEART Jan02         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   ★    
2  GOLD (FR)         (fout dougl)DALTON BERNARD 150   ★    
3  THAI TERRIER Aug01         (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154   ★    
4  POTUS Jul26 Jun04       (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
5  SEISMIC WAVE Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jun29 (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   76% 0.30    
6  MACHENBANK (GER) Aug08 Jul18 May14     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   ★    
7  SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE)         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
8  R S ONE (IRE)         (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 147      
 
MID-2   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELSHMAN Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 May14   (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   66% 0.50    
2  LEAR AVIA         (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 139      
3  TELEGRAM         (voss elizabet)GERAGHTY ROSS 155   ★    
4  YANKEE DOODLE BOY         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 156   9% 10.20    
5  QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) May14         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
6  MR. BRIDGER Aug22 Aug08       (george laird)GARNER THOMAS 156   ★    
7  MOLLY FANTASY (GER)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140      
8  TWENTY YEARS ON (GB) Jul18         (fisher r)NO RIDER 156      
 
MID-3   10/08/2022 17160ft TURF RC2 SOFT nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL RUSE Mar27         (neilson san)HENDRIKS PARKER 160   23% 3.40    
2  BOUTONNIERE         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 155   ★    
3  MYSTIC STRIKE         (mckenna tod)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   36% 1.80    
4  CRACKER FACTORY (GB)         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 155      
5  STORM TEAM         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 160   ★    
6  FLAMING SWORD (IRE)         (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 150   18% 4.50    
 
MID-4   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP BRASS (GB) Sep19 May07 Mar31 Mar24 Feb26 (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   6% 16.30    
2  MARKET BUBBLE Aug01         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   25% 3.00    
3  LOWCOUNTRY Oct02 Jul18 Apr30     (boucher lilith)NO RIDER 150      
4  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Sep22 Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 (smith lawren)DALTON BERNARD 154      
5  FASHION LINE Jul12         (neilson kathy)NO RIDER 154      
6  HAIL TO THE CHIEF Apr21 Feb17 Jan14     (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
7  QUALITY CHOICE Oct02 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11   (beecher mark)FOLEY BARRY 154   30% 2.30    
8  DOGWOODS COSBY         (mille)GILLIGAN FRANCIS 145   6% 16.30    
9  MISSION BRIEF Jun08         (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150   6% 16.30    
 
MID-5   10/08/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBERT'S LUXURY Sep05 Aug17 Aug08 Jul27 Jun20 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   61% 0.60    
2  MERKABA Jun21 Jun01       (dowling will)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
3  LEFT BLANK Sep09 Aug05 Jul18 Jun25   (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145      
4  ALWAYS COOL Apr30         (boucher lili)DALTON BERNARD 154      
SCR  ROYALE Sep05 Aug01 Mar20 Jan16   (kings)GILLIGAN FRANCIS 149   18% 4.50    
6  FEMINISTA Sep05 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 135      
7  PURRAGEOUS DYNA Aug27 Jul28 Jul13 Jun24 May19 (cullinane b)CULLINANE BRYAN 147      
8  CATCHER'S MITT Sep21         (miller zach)NO RIDER 150   ★    
9  HEY TEACHER (GB) Oct02         (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 150   ★    
10  HERO'S RETURN         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
 
MID-6   10/08/2022 15840ft TURF RC1 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN CRUSADER May14         (hendriks j)NO RIDER 165      
2  JACKSON S         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 165   ★    
3  LONELY WEEKEND         (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160   ★    
4  COURT RULER (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 165      
SCR  SHOOTIN THE BREEZE         (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 165   ★    
SCR  MR. FINE THREADS         (murphy alic)HENDRIKS PARKER 165   26% 2.90    
7  LUCKY SOUL Mar27         (dowling willi)BATOFF JUSTIN 158      
8  STOOSHIE (IRE) Mar27         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 165   53% 0.90    
 
MID-7   10/08/2022 13860ft TURF RC0 SOFT Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP TO JUNEAU Oct02         (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   30% 2.30    
2  DUC DE MERAN (FR)         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 160   ★    
3  BODES WELL (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 160   34% 1.90    
4  GAYE BREEZE (IRE) Apr30         (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160   12% 7.40    
5  NATHANIELHAWTHORNE (GB)         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 160   ★    
 
MID-8   10/08/2022 6600ft TURF RC0 Allowance Purse ($.001K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE BE DA BOMB Jun11         (young lesli)GALLIGAN GERARD 150      
2  LUMBERJACK         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 155   12% 7.50    
3  MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Jun19 May21 May12 Apr22 Mar18 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 155   46% 1.20    
4  OLD WEST PRINCESS (IRE)         (brion keri)NO RIDER 147      
5  QUIDDITCH Sep18         (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 140      
6  REWIND (GB)         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 150      
7  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Apr30         (kingsley ar)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 150   20% 3.90    
8  GRUNION         (yovanovich )WOODSON MICHAEL 145      
9  ECONOMIC POLICY         (bourk)GILLIGAN FRANCIS 150   ★    
10  BLUE NILE Jun29         (valentine ri)DALTON BERNARD 145   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.