The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 30, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 F PT-12:35
:23 :473 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DISRUPTION 11 6 31½ 2nk   12½ 12½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★ 1.65  
5  WEEKEND RAGS 5 4 2½ 42   33 22½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 10.90  
10  CENTRAL SPEED 10 12 73½ 3½   22½ 34½ (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 23% 3.30 3.15 S
7  NAUGHTY NAN 7 7 84 63½   44½ 45¼ (russell t)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 14.00  
9  LAVON 9 8 106½ 86   66½ 57 (coffey marialice)DAVIS A 119 12.00 10% 9.00 29.00  
6  BUSTIN HOT 6 2 52½ 74   87¼ 67¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 23% 3.40 6.90  
3  LA CONQUISTADORA 3 5 96 96½   97¼ 78¼ (breen j)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.10  
2  QUEENS OVER THREES 2 10 118 107   77 89 (rodriguez r)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 22.00  
8  MA MI JO DREAMS 8 3 1½ 1nk   54½ 911½ (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 12.50  
12  DASHING DELLA 12 11 42 52½   1010¾ 1019½ (rodriguez gustavo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 57.50  
1  SUPER SLIDE 1 1 63 118½   1112¾ 1122¼ (baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 13.10  
4  FOREVER AMY 4 9 1217½ 12100   12100 12100 (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 47.25  
SCR  CLOVER STREET               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  LADY QUINN               (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  VAX               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/30/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
:213 :44 :554     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FRANK'S ART 4 5 74¾ 74¼   4¾ 1½ (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 51% 0.90 1.70 W
6  ATHENRY 6 6 62¾ 52¼   2½ 2½ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 4.90  
5  WAR TERMINATOR 5 4 52½ 63¼   61¾ 32 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 ★ 6.70 S
8  SANDRONE 8 7 31 31   1½ 42½ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.40  
1  MISTER CHAIRMAN 1 9 107½ 85¼   71¾ 53 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 21% 3.90 4.30  
12  EDDIE THE GREAT 12 12 118 117¼   93¾ 63½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 22.40  
3  AGILITY 3 10 97¼ 106¾   104 74¾ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 16.20  
7  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 7 1 1½ 2nk   3½ 84¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 12.00 17.10  
9  TOMMY THE TORCH 9 3 41 41¼   82¼ 95 (tebbutt john)DAVIS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
2  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT 2 8 84¾ 95¾   114½ 106¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00 58.75  
10  TWO DOWN 10 11 1212½ 1212¼   128 117¼ (englehart s)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 40.25  
11  HUDSON OVERPASS 11 2 2½ 1nk   51¼ 127½ (grossman r)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 30.00 87.00  
SCR  CONSTANT KNIGHT               (black c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:224 :461 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MY BOY TATE 6 4 31½ 31   12 12 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60 W
3  WHO HOO THATS ME 3 6 42 42   43 22 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 3.00  
5  PERFECT MUNNINGS 5 3 2½ 2½   32 32½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 9% 10.20 2.05 S
2  WUDDA U THINK NOW 2 1 1½ 1½   22 43½ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50 33% 2.10 1.75  
4  BIG ENGINE 4 2 63½ 53   53¼ 58½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 14.00  
1  FAST N FEARIOUS 1 5 53 66½   618¼ 634¾ (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 16.10  
SCR  BANKIT               (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  REGGAE MUSIC MAN               (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 ★    
 
BAQ-4   10/30/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:24 :482 1:124 1:381   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DR. BLUTE 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 1¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 ★ 3.20  
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 2 35 43 45 44½ 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5.00  
2  BARESE 2 6 56 33 32½ 33½ 31 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 9% 10.70 2.25 S
3  SEA FOAM 3 4 21 2½ 2½ 21½ 41½ (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 61% 0.60 4.50  
7  BROOKLYN STRONG 7 5 66½ 55 58 512½ 512¾ (barboza jr)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 5.90  
6  BIG BOBBY 6 7 710½ 712½ 715 619½ 618½ (mott i)LUZZI J 122 12.00 6% 15.60 16.70  
1  MONTEBELLO 1 3 46 68 614½ 733½ 790½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★ 8.80  
 
BAQ-5   10/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:241 :492 1:13 1:36   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY MAN 1 7 32½ 32 31 2nk 12½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.20 23% 3.40 0.45 W
2  COLD HARD CASH 2 5 21½ 21 2½ 3½ 22½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
6  SANCTUARY CITY 5 3 54½ 53½ 52 51¼ 32¾ (ferraro w)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.90  
7  RINALDI 6 1 11½ 11 1½ 1nk 42¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 8% 11.00 11.90  
3  OCALA DREAM 3 4 43 42½ 41 41 53¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00 19.90  
8  THERAPIST 7 2 76 76 63 63¼ 65½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 12% 7.40 15.60  
4  KINGDOM ON PAWS 4 6 65½ 64 73¼ 77¼ 714¼ (mc john)CASTILLO AMIN 118 50.00 62.75  
SCR  JERRY THE NIPPER               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
BAQ-6   10/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:222 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOVEMBER REIN 4 4 32 32   11 11¼ (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 19.00  
6  BANK STING 6 5 53 42½   42 21¼ (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 45% 1.20 2.05 P
2  SECRET LOVE 2 3 2½ 21½   32 31¾ (kimmel c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 12.00 ★ 17.10 S
7  BETSY BLUE 7 7 74¼ 63½   53 41¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 23% 3.40 1.90  
1  LEELOO 1 1 1½ 11½   21 53¾ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 ★ 23.20  
5  VENTI VALENTINE 5 8 84¾ 84½   86¼ 64¾ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 4.90  
3  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 3 2 42 74   76 75 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 20.00 29.50  
8  MOSIENKO 8 6 63¼ 52½   64 87¼ (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 8% 10.80 4.50  
 
BAQ-7   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:47
:232 :464 1:114     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LES BON TEMPS 3 1 31½ 31½ 22 2nk 11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 13.50  
8  MIRACLE 8 2 1½ 11 12 1nk 21 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 31% 2.20 4.40 P
9  SILVER SKILLET 9 7 42 42 44½ 46¾ 314½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 7.30  
5  GAMBLING GIRL 5 6 74½ 85 58 59¾ 415¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 40% 1.50 1.80  
2  SECURITY CODE 2 4 53 53½ 711 611¼ 516½ (serpe m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★ 11.50  
10  BANTERRA 10 3 2½ 21 33 36½ 618½ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★ 19.00  
1  DREAM ON CARA 1 8 106 108 914 713¼ 723 (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 40.75  
4  LITTLE LINZEE 4 10 85½ 75 68½ 913½ 832¾ (schettino a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 20.00  
7  RECOGNIZE 7 5 63½ 64½ 1019 1019½ 933¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 15.60  
6  IM JUST KIDDIN 6 9 95½ 97 812½ 813¼ 1034¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★ 3.95  
 
BAQ-8   10/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:234 :49 1:123 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUNAWAY RUMOUR 5 7 64 64½ 64½ 42½ 1nk (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 8% 12.10 3.60 W
4  FINEST WORK 4 5 53½ 54 53½ 1½ 2nk (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 20% 4.10 3.05 P
10  SPUNGIE 10 1 42½ 43 43 32 3½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 7% 13.20 7.40 S
7  MARVELOUS MAUDE 7 4 75½ 76 85½ 53 41¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 34% 1.90 1.80  
8  MASHNEE GIRL 8 2 11 11½ 11½ 2½ 52 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 58.50  
9  GIACOSA 9 3 86½ 86 75 74½ 65¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 11% 8.50 6.80  
3  OUT OF SIGHT 3 9 97½ 98½ 107½ 95¼ 77 (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 20.00 31.00  
1  PURE BODE 1 10 31½ 32 21½ 63 88 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 42.00  
2  DAKOTA DANCER 2 8 21 21½ 31½ 84¾ 99 (rice kevin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 34.50  
6  DREAM CENTRAL 6 6 109 109 97 107¾ 109¾ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 29.25  
 
BAQ-9   10/30/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
:251 :50 1:14 1:39   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LET HER INSPIRE U 8 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 12½ 12¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 18% 4.70 2.05 W
1  SHARP STARR 1 6 86½ 87½ 86¾ 22½ 22¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 ★ 8.90 P
5  ICE PRINCESS 5 3 31 31 3½ 32½ 34½ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 ★ 3.55 S
3  CARAGATE 3 7 62½ 42½ 42 45 48¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 9.50  
4  SWEET MYSTERY 4 5 73½ 75½ 75¼ 55¼ 59¼ (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★ 9.70  
7  BRATTLE HOUSE 7 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 66¼ 619 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 56% 0.80 3.50  
6  FROST ME 6 4 41½ 63 54½ 78¾ 728 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 38.50  
2  SUNSET LOUISE 2 8 52 52½ 65 814¾ 830¾ (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 7.60  
 
BAQ-10   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
:233 :48 1:131     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC ARROGANCE 1 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 11 14½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 14% 6.00 5.00 W
9  QUICK TO ACCUSE 9 5 51½ 3½ 3½ 31½ 24½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 7.80  
5  STARQUIST 5 1 3½ 2nk 1nk 21 35¾ (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★ 7.50 S
3  DONEGAL SURGES 3 6 41 51¼ 42½ 44 48 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 22% 3.60 5.60  
7  JACKSON HEIGHTS 7 10 108¼ 104¼ 75¼ 56 58¾ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 3.85  
6  SHADOW DRAGON 6 8 72½ 61¾ 54½ 68 615½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 19% 4.30 7.70  
4  BLAME IT ON DADDY 4 7 62 82¼ 97¼ 912½ 719 (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 25.00  
8  THTWASTHENTHISISNW 8 9 94¾ 93¼ 64¾ 711 820 (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 29.25  
2  CANARSIE 2 3 2½ 41 86¼ 812½ 921¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.30  
10  WITH KNOW NAME 10 4 82¾ 72¼ 1011¼ 1020½ 1041¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00 45.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.