Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SLIDE Sep02         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
2  QUEENS OVER THREES         (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
3  LA CONQUISTADORA Sep22         (breen kelly )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
4  FOREVER AMY         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
5  WEEKEND RAGS         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
6  BUSTIN HOT         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  NAUGHTY NAN         (russell britta)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
8  MA MI JO DREAMS Sep30 Sep02       (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
9  LAVON Sep02         (coffey m)DAVIS A 119 12.00 10% 9.00    
10  CENTRAL SPEED         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
11  DISRUPTION Sep22 Jul27       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
12  DASHING DELLA         (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS Oct01 Sep02       (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  VAX Oct01         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  CLOVER STREET Oct01         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  LADY QUINN Sep05 Aug04       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER CHAIRMAN Sep03 Jul30 May13     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 21% 3.90    
2  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT Feb11         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
3  AGILITY Jul08 May30 Apr15 Mar13 Jan09 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
4  FRANK'S ART Sep04 Aug10 Jul09     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
5  WAR TERMINATOR Oct01 Aug10       (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 ★    
6  ATHENRY Sep04 Jul17 Jun17 Apr24   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
7  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 12.00    
8  SANDRONE Aug25 May21 Apr23     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
9  TOMMY THE TORCH Aug27 Aug13 Jul26 Jul11 Jun29 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWO DOWN Oct01 Aug13 Jul17 May28 May13 (englehart jeffr)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
11  HUDSON OVERPASS Oct20 Sep04 Jul09 Jun12   (grossman b)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 30.00    
12  EDDIE THE GREAT Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 Jun24 Jun05 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  CONSTANT KNIGHT Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 (black ma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST N FEARIOUS Oct06 Aug13 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
2  WUDDA U THINK NOW Sep10 Aug12 Jun21 Feb19 Jan16 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  WHO HOO THATS ME Sep23 Aug26 Jul08 May30 Apr24 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
4  BIG ENGINE Sep23 Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 May21 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
5  PERFECT MUNNINGS Aug26 Jun10       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  MY BOY TATE Oct10 Aug12 Mar20 Feb19 Jan08 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BANKIT Aug26 Aug12 Feb19     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Aug12 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Mar19 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 ★    
 
BAQ-4   10/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEBELLO Sep24 Aug26 Jun30 May12   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★    
2  BARESE Aug26 Jul18 Jun25 Apr23 Apr09 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
3  SEA FOAM Sep24 Aug12       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  DR. BLUTE Sep18 Aug20 Jul31 May12   (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 ★    
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM Oct16 Oct06 Sep02 Aug06 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
6  BIG BOBBY Sep24 Aug26 Jul30 Jun16 Jan01 (mott i)LUZZI J 122 12.00 6% 15.60    
7  BROOKLYN STRONG Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 Jun02 Mar07 (barboza victor)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY MAN Sep24 Sep05 Jul15 May30 May07 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.20 23% 3.40    
2  COLD HARD CASH Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 Jul09   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★    
3  OCALA DREAM Sep29 Sep05 Jul31 Jul03 May30 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00    
4  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct06 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (mc john)JUAREZ NIK 118 50.00    
SCR  JERRY THE NIPPER Sep24 Aug26 Jul02 May15 Apr22 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
6  SANCTUARY CITY Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 (ferraro james)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
7  RINALDI Apr09         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
8  THERAPIST Sep29 Sep01 May30 Apr30 Apr09 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
BAQ-6   10/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEELOO Sep25 Aug26 Jul22 Mar18 Jan22 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 ★    
2  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Oct06 Aug12 Jul20 Jun26 May30 (kimmel c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 12.00 ★    
3  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Oct03 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 20.00    
4  NOVEMBER REIN Aug06 Jul09 May30     (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
5  VENTI VALENTINE Aug26 Jun25 May06 Apr09 Mar05 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
6  BANK STING Jun26 May30 May08 Mar06 Jan02 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
7  BETSY BLUE Sep16 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
8  MOSIENKO Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON CARA Aug18 Aug03 Jul04     (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
2  SECURITY CODE Sep23 Sep02 Aug10     (serpe m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★    
3  LES BON TEMPS Sep23 Aug26 Jul04 May26   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
4  LITTLE LINZEE Oct08 Jul28       (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
5  GAMBLING GIRL Sep23 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  IM JUST KIDDIN Oct01 Aug12 Jul15     (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★    
7  RECOGNIZE Oct07 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jun25 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
8  MIRACLE Sep23 Aug26 Jul27     (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
9  SILVER SKILLET Sep22 Jul27       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
10  BANTERRA Oct01 Sep02 Jul27     (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-8   10/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE BODE Sep30 Jul20 Jun24 May22   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
2  DAKOTA DANCER Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 (rice kevin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
3  OUT OF SIGHT Sep30 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May30 (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
4  FINEST WORK Sep30 Sep10 Jul30 Jun24 May14 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  RUNAWAY RUMOUR Sep30 Sep03 Jul12 May30 May14 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
6  DREAM CENTRAL Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 Jun19 May30 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
7  MARVELOUS MAUDE Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 Jun23 May22 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  MASHNEE GIRL Sep05 Aug12 Jul10 May30 Apr08 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
9  GIACOSA May30         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 11% 8.50    
10  SPUNGIE Sep25 Aug14       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
 
BAQ-9   10/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP STARR Sep16 Apr16 Mar06     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 ★    
2  SUNSET LOUISE Sep24 Aug17 Jun24 Jan06   (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
3  CARAGATE Sep24 Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May27 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
4  SWEET MYSTERY Oct09 Sep15 Aug13 Jul09 Jun16 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★    
5  ICE PRINCESS Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 Apr10 Feb18 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
6  FROST ME Oct02 Jul29 Jul10 Mar27 Feb18 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
7  BRATTLE HOUSE Oct01 Aug14 Jun12 May05   (mott william)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
8  LET HER INSPIRE U Sep24 Aug26 Jul22 Jun16   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
BAQ-10   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC ARROGANCE Sep29 Sep05       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  CANARSIE Sep29         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  DONEGAL SURGES Sep29 Aug26 Aug11     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  BLAME IT ON DADDY Sep29 Sep05 Aug11     (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
5  STARQUIST Oct09         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★    
6  SHADOW DRAGON Sep29         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
7  JACKSON HEIGHTS Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08   (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
8  THTWASTHENTHISISNW Oct08 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03   (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
9  QUICK TO ACCUSE Oct07 Aug26       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
10  WITH KNOW NAME Sep22 Aug26 Jul29     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.