Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND TWIST 7 7 43 3 3 11 1 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 8.00 8.05  
10  GRAY HOPE 10 11 119 8 54 6 2 (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 116 15.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
TEXAS GANO 5 8 10 9 9 8 3 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 8.00 6.06  
STEWARDS RULES 9 10 8 6 6 5 4 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.50 4.84  
TALLESTOFTHETALL 3 4 55 5 7 7 54 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 5.62  
HERE COMES DOC 8 6 2 2nk 1nk 4 64 (hammond k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 5.00 9.68  
ESTILO PELIGROSO 2 2 9 10 106 9 7 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 5.00 7% 13.40 4.58  
TORNADO BOY 6 5 33 4 43 21 8 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00 65.53  
SEMINOLE JUSTICE 4 3 1 1nk 2nk 3 95 (west m)RAMOS D 123 6.00 5.34  
11  HERE COMES TREY 11 9 6 7 8 10 10 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 123 15.00 44.67  
RUDIGER 1 1 77 11 116 11 118 (sanner e)MCKEE J 123 8.00 62% 0.60 10.26  
 
TP-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 4 4 1½ 12   13 1 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.60 0.62  
EVERYOTHERWON 5 2 2½ 22   3 2 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 7.74  
AIDANIKE 2 5 42 33   23 3 (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 120 12.00 14.73  
CLEVER TALE 3 7 7 7   57 4 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 5% 18.20 13.42  
YOGURT 6 3 5 44   4 5 (short derrick )MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 8.40  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 1 6 6 66   67 613¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 20.59  
10  NANA'S GRAY 7 1 32 5   79 713¾ (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 10.00 4.03  
SCR  HABOBANERO               (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  LOOKIN ROYAL               (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
SCR  ROGUE TOO               (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
TP-3   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMECOMING QUEEN 7 6 86 8 5 54 1¾ (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 42% 1.40 2.79 W
ALWAYS LAUGHING 2 2 43 43 4 4 2¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 8% 11.00 2.41 P
IGUAZU FALLS 3 4 3 32 3 1nk 3¾ (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00 24.60  
LILY'S HOME 1 1 1 1 1 2nk 4¾ (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.72  
CINDERELLA STORY 6 7 75 54 65 32 5 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 5% 18.00 7.23  
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 4 3 65 7 8 7 6 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00 34.18  
BAMBEROOSKI 5 5 2 2 2 6 7 (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 9.48  
LIGHTER KNOT 8 8 97 9 7 8 813¾ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.50 2.79  
BEVERLY DREAMING 9 9 5 64 923½ 943¼ 979 (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 119 20.00 65.88  
 
TP-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT LASS 5 4 4 2nk   12 1¼ (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60 1.47 W
10  ALMADRINA (GB) 10 8 7 6   4 2¼ (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 14% 5.90 4.16 P
DEEP DISH 7 5 5 3½   22 3 (richardville ti)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 8.26  
DIFFERENTBUTOK 3 9 6 5   3 4 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 7% 13.90 10.21  
MERRY OF SOUL 9 1 8 8   66 5 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 48.32  
PELLETIER 6 11 9 10   8 6 (watkins m)FELIX E 118 10.00 27.48  
STORMY WAGER 2 3 1nk 1nk   54 7 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 11% 8.40 9.68  
LAKE BARKLEY 4 10 10 9   7 8 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 120 30.00 39.83  
JOY ENAMORADA 8 2 2nk 41   911 916½ (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 78.37  
MISS GETTY UP 1 6 32 7   1012 1016¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 15% 5.80 5.02  
11  SMILE AT THE STORM 11 7 11 1112¼   1119 1125¾ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 14.32  
 
TP-5   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SHORTLIST 11 11 9 9 94 5 11 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00 8.85  
TWO BIRDS 9 5 53 8 4 2nk 21 (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 4.50 13% 6.50 3.90 P
HALOO 4 2 1½ 1½ 1 1nk 3 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 12.00 7% 12.40 20.31 S
NATHAN DETROIT 2 6 74 3 2 3.2 4 (cash nor)RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00 4.86  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 4 3 5 3 4 5 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 10.09  
CRUMP 7 10 8 7 10 8 6 (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 43% 1.30 1.90  
12  NO SLO MO 12 12 12 115 8 7 7 (puhich mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 11.86  
VISKI JONES 3 9 118 12 117 9 8 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 15.00 81.60  
10  ROUGHIN THE CITY 10 8 64 4 5 6 96 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00 96.53  
SPRINKLEHEAD 1 7 107 10 7 10 1010½ (salas felipe)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 86.08  
WAKE SURF 6 3 42 6 129 1112¾ 1117¼ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 7.00  
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 5 1 2½ 2½ 6 1215¾ 1222¼ (vein)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 52.56  
SCR  QUANTUM LEAP               (campbell joel)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  SPECTACULAR GEM               (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVELLA 8 5 1nk 11 1½ 1 13 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 4.64  
ROSIA BAY 4 2 4 6 3 2 23 (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 4.00 4.80  
FIDDLE 1 4 6 7 10 6 33 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 28% 2.60 4.42 S
13  AWESOME ALLY VEE 11 12 116 11 9 34 43 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 121 30.00 15.30  
11  SWEETS MAKER 10 6 105 9 6 5 5 (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 44.79  
OFF THE CHARTS 6 10 95 10 11 78 6 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 10.79  
14  REVERB 12 8 31 21 2½ 44 7 (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00 80.96  
10  MEGAN'S NOEL 9 11 12 12 1211¾ 1110¾ 811 (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00 78.90  
SUCH SOUNDS 2 1 2nk 3 5 8 911¼ (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50 2.87  
SPIRIT DANCE 7 9 83 5 4 99 1011½ (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 12.46  
MY SWEETNESS 5 7 7 84 7 10 1112¼ (baker james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00 21.22  
ANYQUIST 3 3 5 42 8 1213¼ 1221¾ (walsh p)ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 35% 1.90 8.22  
SCR  BLESSING THE FLAG               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  VIEWERS DISCRETION               (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 6% 15.10    
 
TP-7   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:213 :451 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERED SHOT 7 10 10 9   1½ 1 (foley greg)RAMOS D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.52 W
RIDE THE PLAN 6 7 8 5   3½ 2 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00 5% 17.70 8.37 P
MISS T TOO 3 6 3 2   2½ 3 (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 50% 1.00 3.24 S
BROADWAY BLAZE 2 8 7 43   5 45 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 45.37  
THUNDER LOVE (GB) 8 11 9 7   8 5 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 15% 5.50 2.35  
LET'S BE CLEAR 4 9 6 65   6 6 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 118 12.00 9.40  
12  TILTINGATWINDMILLS 12 1 117 11   10 7 (gerteisen a)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00 5% 19.00 49.20  
ARTOS (IRE) 9 4 5 8   7 8 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 4.44  
TWIRLING RUTH 5 5 2 3   93 9 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 30.00 ######  
10  VARTON 10 3 1 1   4¾ 10 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 20.01  
BUCKEYE BLING 1 12 129 1210¾   11 1112½ (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 75.55  
11  OFF WE GO 11 2 43 10   128 1213 (garcia genaro)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 20.11  
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE               (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
SCR  DISCREET KITTY               (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SEIZE THE MARQUET 9 4 9 7   4 13 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 2.98  
KLIMT'S MUSE 5 9 5 6   31 23 (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 20.43  
ROLLESTON 1 7 1nk 1nk   11 3 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 10.55  
CLAIRARIFIC 3 5 31 3½   21 4 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 8.52  
12  DEAR BEAU (IRE) 11 2 10 8   6 5 (mora lean)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.00 11% 7.90 2.24  
GIRLS HOUSE 6 3 7 104   7 6 (cano muno)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 14.26  
HONEYCOMB 2 6 4 5   53 7 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 21% 3.80 8.70  
PUGLIA 8 10 8 9   98 8 (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 7.35  
11  TIME FOR CUPID 10 1 2nk 2nk   86 910½ (mejia dela)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 42% 1.40 14.55  
SHE'S A KEEPER 7 8 6 4   10 1011¼ (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 118 20.00 47.64  
QUIET PRETTY KITTY 4 11 11 1113   1122¼ 1137 (hancock dana)FELIX E 122 20.00 23.02  
SCR  BURNT MATCH               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 15.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY               (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
SCR  MISS BRIGHTSIDE               (stidham michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.