Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDIGER Oct11 Aug19       (sanner e)MCKEE J 123 8.00 62% 0.60    
2  ESTILO PELIGROSO May05 Mar17 Mar02 Feb10   (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 5.00 7% 13.40    
3  TALLESTOFTHETALL Nov20 Nov06 Oct09 Sep30 Aug27 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00    
4  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Oct26 Oct13 Aug31 Jul21 Jun16 (west m)RAMOS D 123 6.00    
5  TEXAS GANO Oct04 Sep23 Aug17 Jul20 Jun24 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 8.00    
6  TORNADO BOY Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 Jun24 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
7  WIND TWIST Sep22 Sep13 Aug25 Jul13 Jun24 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 8.00 ★    
8  HERE COMES DOC Oct27 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 (hammond k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 5.00    
9  STEWARDS RULES Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 Aug25 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.50 ★    
10  GRAY HOPE Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 Jul14 Jun21 (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  HERE COMES TREY Oct24 Oct13 Oct04 Sep13 Aug03 (fonten)BAILON JADHIR 123 15.00    
 
TP-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSTAPITURE Nov30 Nov06 Oct04 Aug22 Feb25 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
2  AIDANIKE Nov24 Nov06 Sep24 Sep05 Jul21 (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
SCR  LOOKIN ROYAL Nov24 Nov17       (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
4  CLEVER TALE Nov30 Sep29 Aug22 Aug09 Jul05 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 5% 18.20    
5  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Nov30 Oct29 Oct23 Sep17 Sep05 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.60 ★    
SCR  ROGUE TOO Oct10 Aug03 Jul01 Jun01 Feb26 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  HABOBANERO Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 Sep01 Jul29 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
8  EVERYOTHERWON Nov24 Oct27 Sep29 Aug03 Jun29 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
9  YOGURT Nov30 Nov15 Oct04 Sep22 Aug22 (short derrick )MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 ★    
10  NANA'S GRAY Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 Jul24 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 10.00 ★    
 
TP-3   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S HOME Nov22 Nov10 Oct12 Oct04 Sep21 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALWAYS LAUGHING Oct13 Sep17 Aug14     (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 8% 11.00    
3  IGUAZU FALLS Nov30 Nov02       (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00    
4  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Nov30 Oct26 Oct10 Sep21 Sep09 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
5  BAMBEROOSKI         (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00    
6  CINDERELLA STORY         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 5% 18.00    
7  HOMECOMING QUEEN Nov02         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  LIGHTER KNOT Nov20 Nov02 Oct13 Aug26 Aug07 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
9  BEVERLY DREAMING Oct12         (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 119 20.00    
 
TP-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS GETTY UP Aug21 Jun28 May06 Apr19 Mar09 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  STORMY WAGER Dec01 Oct12 Sep20 Jul21 Jun30 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  DIFFERENTBUTOK Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 Mar31 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 7% 13.90    
4  LAKE BARKLEY Nov26 Nov09 Oct02 Aug12 Jul22 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
5  RED HOT LASS Sep24 Jul29 Jun24 Jun04 Mar11 (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  PELLETIER Oct10 Sep26 Aug24 Jun30 Jun04 (watkins m)FELIX E 118 10.00    
7  DEEP DISH Nov23 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 Aug31 (richardville ti)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
8  JOY ENAMORADA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00    
9  MERRY OF SOUL Oct11 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
10  ALMADRINA (GB) Dec01 Sep22 Sep14 Aug15 May11 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
11  SMILE AT THE STORM Oct13 Sep21 Apr28 Apr10 Mar05 (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
TP-5   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRINKLEHEAD Jun09 May13 May05 Apr14 Feb25 (salas felipe)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00    
2  NATHAN DETROIT Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 Sep25 Aug22 (cash nor)RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00    
3  VISKI JONES Nov15 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug09 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 15.00    
4  HALOO Oct26 Oct05 Sep28 Aug04 Jun20 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 12.00 7% 12.40    
5  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Nov17 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Jul22 (vein)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00    
6  WAKE SURF Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 Aug06 May18 (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
7  CRUMP Feb28 Feb03       (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Nov02 Oct20 Sep22 Aug05 Jul29 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
9  TWO BIRDS Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 Jul28 Jul01 (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
10  ROUGHIN THE CITY Nov02 Oct26 Sep08 Aug06 Jun30 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
11  SHORTLIST Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Apr22 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00    
12  NO SLO MO Oct26 Oct09 Sep03 Aug03 Jul17 (puhich mike)ROCCO S 121 4.00    
SCR  SPECTACULAR GEM Dec03 Oct15 May24 May05 Apr02 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUANTUM LEAP Nov20 Oct13 Sep25 Aug31 Aug14 (campbell joel)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 6% 16.30    
 
TP-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIDDLE Oct28 Sep14 Aug27     (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  SUCH SOUNDS Oct21         (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50 ★    
3  ANYQUIST Oct30 Sep17 Jul23 Jul02   (walsh p)ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
4  ROSIA BAY Sep18 Jun17 Apr22     (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 4.00    
SCR  BLESSING THE FLAG Nov03 Sep05 Jul13 Jun22 May10 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
6  MY SWEETNESS Nov03 Oct10 Sep26 Aug18 Jun30 (baker james)ROCCO S 121 15.00    
7  OFF THE CHARTS Nov25 Feb27       (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
8  SPIRIT DANCE Jul21 Jul02       (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
9  RAVELLA Oct28         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50    
10  MEGAN'S NOEL Nov16 Jun22 May25 Apr27   (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
11  SWEETS MAKER Nov18 Apr10 Mar12     (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
SCR  VIEWERS DISCRETION Oct24 Oct06 Sep08 Aug09 Jun25 (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 6% 15.10    
13  AWESOME ALLY VEE Nov25 Oct26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 121 30.00    
14  REVERB Nov07 Sep30 Sep13 Aug25 Jul14 (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00    
 
TP-7   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE BLING Oct29 Sep29 Sep08 Jul28 Jun29 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
2  BROADWAY BLAZE Oct25 Sep09 Aug19 Jul11 Jun18 (pitts helen)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
3  MISS T TOO Nov10 Jan06       (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  LET'S BE CLEAR Nov13 Sep22 Jul31 Jun12 May19 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 118 12.00    
5  TWIRLING RUTH Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 May20 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 30.00    
6  RIDE THE PLAN Oct26 Sep13 Jul27 Jun03 Mar19 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00 5% 17.70    
7  ALTERED SHOT Nov20 Nov10 Sep25 Jul02 Jun12 (foley greg)RAMOS D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Oct22 Sep15 Aug15 Jun29 May29 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
9  ARTOS (IRE) Dec01 Oct22 Sep09 Aug11 Jul15 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
10  VARTON Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 May23 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
11  OFF WE GO Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 Jul31 Jul20 (garcia genaro)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
12  TILTINGATWINDMILLS Nov16 Oct23 Sep07 Aug02 Jun10 (gerteisen a)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 Aug26 Aug03 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
SCR  DISCREET KITTY Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 Jun07 (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLESTON Nov09 Sep28 Aug07 Jul10   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
2  HONEYCOMB Oct17 Sep16 Aug12 Jun22 Apr27 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  CLAIRARIFIC Dec01 Oct21 Sep29 Mar27   (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 ★    
4  QUIET PRETTY KITTY         (hancock dana)FELIX E 122 20.00    
SCR  BURNT MATCH Nov24 Aug10       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 15.00    
6  KLIMT'S MUSE Nov11 Oct13 Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
7  GIRLS HOUSE Nov11 Jan15       (cano muno)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
8  SHE'S A KEEPER         (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
9  PUGLIA Nov09         (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00    
10  SEIZE THE MARQUET Oct28         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
11  TIME FOR CUPID Nov11 Sep16 Aug27 Aug06   (mejia dela)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
12  DEAR BEAU (IRE) Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 Aug26 Jul31 (mora lean)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  MISS BRIGHTSIDE         (stidham michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY Oct07         (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.