Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCY JANE   (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 ★ 2.17  
4  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 15.00 27.47  
3  TIME FOR CUPID   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 73% 0.40 0.69 S
9  SHRIMPIE   (luce nichole)LANERIE J 122 6.00 ★ 8.65  
8  GIN N SIN   (roberson dennis)COURT K 122 5.00 ★ 10.30  
5  BODIEFUL   (wittek kary)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 ★ 39.61  
1  TIAN'AI ROAD   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 24.68  
7  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE   (scott anthony )MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 63.62  
SCR  MISS BOOTSY   (gorder kellyn)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALSANAH   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 ★ 2.74  
6  SHEZAPISTOL   (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 3.75  
5  KLIMT'S MUSE   (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 19% 4.40 3.92 S
2  GIRLS HOUSE   (shirer a)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 14% 6.10 0.96  
3  CORTADO   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00 40.59  
SCR  ROLLESTON   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  STORM HAVEN   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
CD-3   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE FURY   (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 1.20 32% 2.10 1.85 W
3  SHORTLY   (morse l)COURT K 119 6.00 19% 4.20 5.91 P
6  HENDRIX   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 ★ 2.30 S
2  MIDNIGHT DREAMING   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8.81  
5  M B'S MUNNING   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 8% 11.80 3.92  
8  SMALL SAILOR   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00 28.25  
7  UTOPIAN TREASURE   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 18% 4.50 12.15  
SCR  WICKED REVIEW   (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRAPNEL   (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 5% 19.00 1.13 W
1  HOLY CROSS   (galindo-to)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 ★ 7.71 P
7  DROP ANCHOR   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 ★ 3.76 S
9  BRONZE BEAST   (rouck l)RIQUELME J 120 12.00 24.52  
3  WE THANK YOU   (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 45.75  
10  JESUIT   (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 3.70  
6  MALIBU TIME   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.83  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 74% 0.30    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN   (norris mik)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
SCR  STEELY DANZA   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
 
CD-5   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUCKSME   (diodoro robe)JORDAN R 119 3.50 46% 1.20 8.41 W
7  SWEET SLEW   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50 8.05  
5  SURE ENOUGH   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 17.78  
3  DOOIT   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 ★ 4.27  
2  WILDCAT GIRL   (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 8.00 ★ 8.26  
9  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE   (nihei michell)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 37.52  
8  QUEEN OF CHILL   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 16% 5.20 1.05  
6  MIDNIGHT SOCIETY   (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 14% 6.30 9.64  
10  RAG TOWN   (sherman alan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 51.61  
1  LADY BRETT ASHLEY   (heitzman er)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 15.00 49.38  
 
CD-6   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IPSUM GRATUS   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 7% 12.70 7.60 W
9  SHELL SHOCK   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 3.67  
1  DIVINE HOPE   (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 8.00 6.45  
2  SHIP IT   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00 30% 2.30 3.73  
3  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 6% 15.10 16.62  
4  LOUELLA STREET   (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 6.31  
8  BEACH KITTEN   (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 18.57  
6  JE SUIS RAPIDE   (radcliffe rober)JOHNSON M 118 10.00 13% 6.90 25.58  
5  BALLYKEEN   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 20% 4.10 2.92  
 
CD-7   11/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY FINAL   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★ 3.01  
4  AIR COMBAT   (ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.52 P
2  MY MAN FLINTSTONE   (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 35.00  
6  EDGE TO EDGE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 10% 8.90 3.90  
3  TEMPT FATE   (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 6% 15.60 31.44  
5  FORE LEFT   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00 9.81  
7  FRANCATELLI   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 23% 3.40 3.73  
 
CD-8   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MR. WIRELESS   (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 4.00 ★ 2.55  
1  HERE MI SONG   (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 43% 1.30 2.68 P
6  SOUTH BEND   (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 10% 9.20 6.87 S
7  CHESS CHIEF   (stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00 8.26  
5  FIVE STAR GENERAL   (forster t)LANERIE J 121 5.00 ★ 4.89  
4  MYSTIC NIGHT   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 16% 5.40 2.92  
SCR  SILVER PROSPECTOR   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   11/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  TEN GAUGE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 17% 4.90 0.72 W
3  PUSH BUTTON   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 22% 3.60 3.79 P
7  QAADER   (trujillo elvis)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 48.25  
4  NASHOBA'S JOY   (morey william)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 9% 10.20 11.90  
2  VINTAGE YEAR   (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 6.96  
12  GOOD SOLDIER   (joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 7.10  
8  INBOUND   (rodriguez ge)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 20.35  
6  HABITUS (GB)   (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 58.47  
5  LOLAS BEAU   (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 70.74  
SCR  BLUE DEVIL   (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  CAROOM   (catalano )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL   (macias adolfo)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 15.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE   (hughes g)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  MUCHO MOJO   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.