Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYOTHERWON 4 1 2nk 1nk   1 1 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 5.17  
FUNNYBET 3 5 5 5   4 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 12% 7.20 0.94 P
AIDANIKE 6 2 4 3½   2 3 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.33 S
LOOKIN ROYAL 2 4 31 42   3 4 (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 10.47  
ESPECIALLY YOU 1 3 1nk 2nk   55 511 (shifflett cher)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 22.90 DH
LA TOURISTA 5 6 6 6   6 511 (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00 21.26 DH
ANCIENT BROWN 7 7 7 7   721 732 (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 15.06  
 
CD-2   11/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SPIRITED 5 6 4 4 32 22 1nk (ortiz alexande)DIAZ RENE 114 6.00 5% 19.00 9.56 W
GOODBETTERBEST 4 4 1½ 1 11 12 2nk (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.50 20% 4.00 1.16 P
FROSTY DIVA 6 5 2½ 2 21 32 32 (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00 13.18  
LADY ENVOY 1 3 6 54 4 44 4 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 10.00 11.62  
10  RIGHT NOW 7 7 7 76 55 5 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 6.43  
TRIBAL SPIRIT 2 1 5 65 66 6 6 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5.16  
SIMPERING SMILE 3 2 3 3 76 7 712¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 48% 1.10 3.80  
SCR  ROYAL DAME               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  SURE ENOUGH               (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE               (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/24/2022 6270ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:131 1:374   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL CHARGE 7 4 4 33 22 1½ 1hd (west w)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 6.72  
GO EMI 6 3 7 7 66 3 2hd (gonzalez lilia)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 12.75  
BANDIT SWANSON 5 2 3 43 55 64 3 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 6.38 S
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 1 5 5 54 4 4 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.74  
SILVER DUST 2 7 1½ 12 12 2½ 5 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 2.00 63% 0.60 2.52  
HUGE BIGLY 4 1 2½ 22 3 5 6 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 3.62  
MAX EXPRESS 3 6 64 6 7 79 712¼ (lauer)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 9% 10.00 8.25  
 
CD-4   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVE FOR FUN 1 1 1½ 1nk   1 1¾ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 7% 13.40 1.85 W
MIACOMET 5 5 5 5   3 2¾ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 3.45 P
FRENCH COMPOSER 3 4 42 4   4 3 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 4.50 11.27 S
CHASING RAINBOWS 4 2 2½ 2nk   2 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 48% 1.10 3.51  
CARBONITE 2 6 3 3   5 57 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.62  
CENTURION 6 3 6 610¼   6 611½ (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 19% 4.40 7.42  
SCR  BLUE NORTHER               (walden wil)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:213 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUTHLESS RUA 5 2 2nk 1   12 1 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 6% 15.20 2.76 W
D'ORO STREET 1 5 3 2   22 2 (diodo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 2.95  
BOARDWALK QUEEN 6 1 5 4   3 312 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 14% 6.20 4.22 S
AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 4 4 45 59   49 415 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.55  
BADGELAND 2 6 6 611   611 516 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 7.18  
SURE CAN 3 3 1nk 33   510½ 625¼ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 59% 0.70 2.20  
SCR  SHARP TAP               (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  SUPER SPIRIT               (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-6   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
See original race card.
:212 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORY HOUR 2 3 32 2   1 1 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 20.23  
VOW 1 7 5 4   33 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 13% 6.80 1.86 P
DELIGHTOF THE NILE 6 2 1 1   2 3 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 1.59 S
ITDOWHATITDO 5 5 2 33   4 410 (sims philip )CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 6.18  
MARKSWOMAN 4 4 6 57   58 513¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 59% 0.70 5.12  
BURNT MATCH 3 8 78 712   612 617 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 15.00 18.77  
MIDNIGHT TANGO 7 6 89 814   814½ 719¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 17.87  
BOW TO NONE 8 1 43 69   713½ 823¾ (navarrete anna)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00 40.28  
SCR  LITTLE SISTER SUE               (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIEMEISTER 3 7 73 7   42 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 2.03  
COLD AS HELL 7 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 9% 10.70 3.01 P
FLAGS UP 5 9 9 8   64 32 (baker james)LANERIE J 120 8.00 23% 3.30 11.68 S
BRAWNDO 9 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (mejia dela)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 7.78  
LUCKY BOSS 4 1 4 3.2   31 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 11% 8.20 5.18  
MONEY MIKE 6 3 6 4   53 63 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 21.34  
RED LABEL 8 8 8 5   7 7 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 11.76  
STONEVICIOUS 1 6 31 9   9 8 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 25.39  
UPSTRIKER 2 5 5 6   8 9 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 25% 3.10 7.47  
 
CD-8   11/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWDER RIVER 1 1 1 11 1nk 2nk 1¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 2.97  
ILLIOGAMI 6 8 43 52 4 3 2¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.03 P
TEMPER TIME 2 3 2 21 2nk 1nk 3 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 17.96  
MISTY VEIL 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 5.62  
JAG WARRIOR 8 5 7 73 6 5 5 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 3.33  
TAP DANCING LADY 3 6 9 6 8 68 6 (kahles ronald)LEON SONNY 118 10.00 9.44  
DOROTHEA 4 2 53 42 5 7 710 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 8.43  
MICROCAP 7 9 8 8 7 810¾ 817½ (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 19.17  
10  PRINCESS OF CAIRO 9 7 64 9 9 913¾ 921 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 64% 0.60 12.16  
SCR  LADY FROSTED               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:212 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVULNERABLE 1 1 1½ 1   1½ 1nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.73  
13  COMMERCE COMET 12 6 31 2   2½ 2nk (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 16.31 P
UNCLE REG 2 4 42 53   5 3¾ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 6.76  
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 3 10 109 10   9 4 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 41% 1.50 1.46  
ONASA 8 2 2½ 3   4 52 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 7.27  
10  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS 9 3 76 7   75 6 (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00 40.16  
12  BRAZEN BOY 11 5 63 4   3 7 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 26% 2.80 11.62  
STUCK N SNOW 5 8 86 8   86 8 (von donnie)ROCCO S 119 12.00 44.26  
DAKOTA RUN 6 7 5 6   64 95 (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 10% 9.30 6.97  
STRAY CAT 4 11 1112 1110¾   1110 107 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 30.40  
11  AERATOR 10 9 9 9   10 11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.29  
CRAVENSWORTH 7 12 1226 1236¾   1247½ 12100 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 12.17  
SCR  NOT SO HOLY               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  TRACK SHOT               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  WINGER               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/24/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:361   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYED HARD 4 1 1½ 1 1 12 11 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 0.80 43% 1.30 0.45 W
BELLAMORE 2 3 42 43 2 22 21 (callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 10.06 P
SHE'S ALL WOLFE 6 5 6 6 65 4 36 (von donnie)ROCCO S 121 6.00 17.26  
MOON SWAG 3 6 53 5 42 35 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 8.70  
LEADER OF THE BAND 1 2 31 2 3 511 515¼ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 32% 2.10 3.19  
AVA'S GRACE 5 4 2½ 3 5 620 645½ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 26.50  
 
CD-11   11/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DALIKA (GER) 5 2 1 1 11 12 1 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 37% 1.70 1.86 W
PERSEVERANCIA 3 3 79 710 78 33 2 (devaux cher)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 12.69  
ADVENTURING 6 1 2 32 32 22 33 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 20% 4.10 1.72 S
SUNNY ONE 7 7 4 46 44 44 45 (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 8.00 7.46  
LAKE LUCERNE 4 6 5 68 6 5 57 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 30.00 5% 19.00 17.45  
FLIPPANT 8 9 68 57 5 77 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 18% 4.70 24.92  
PASS THE PLATE 1 8 913 915 89 6 7 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00 6.96  
CURLY RUTH 9 5 32 2 21 89 819¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 14.63  
DISAPPEARING ACT 2 4 811 812½ 911 911½ 921¼ (santamaria carlos)LANERIE J 121 30.00 44.79  
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00    
 
CD-12   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET STATEMENT 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 1½ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.24 W
ICICLES 6 6 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 18.66  
EYES OF GOLD 7 3 4 3   3 3 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 2.47 S
LADY WITH A CAUSE 4 1 9 9   56 49 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00 24.34  
TITUBA 2 9 8 7   4 59 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 21% 3.80 6.12  
RING TWICE 3 7 7 8   7 613½ (von donnie)ROCCO S 119 8.00 24.87  
MISCHIEVOUS GAL 1 5 3 4   68 719 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 24% 3.30 6.86  
PERFECT ROSE 8 4 5 5   911 819½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 30.00 42.55  
GRAY VIXEN 9 8 6 6   810 920¼ (ewing michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
SCR  MOR HAPPY HOURS               (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.