The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 24, 2022
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CD-1   11/24/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
:232 :471 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVERYOTHERWON 4 1 2nk 1nk   11½ 12¾ (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 ★ 5.17  
3  FUNNYBET 3 5 52¼ 52½   43½ 22¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 12% 7.20 0.94 P
6  AIDANIKE 6 2 41¼ 3½   21½ 32¾ (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.33 S
2  LOOKIN ROYAL 2 4 31 42   33½ 43¼ (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 ★ 10.47  
1  ESPECIALLY YOU 1 3 1nk 2nk   55 511 (shifflett cheryl)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 22.90 DH
5  LA TOURISTA 5 6 62¾ 63½   67½ 511 (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00 ★ 21.26 DH
7  ANCIENT BROWN 7 7 72¾ 78½   721 732 (humphries thomas)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 15.06  
 
CD-2   11/24/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT-11:58
:233 :471 1:123 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FREE SPIRITED 5 6 41½ 42½ 32 22 1nk (ortiz alexander)DIAZ RENE 114 6.00 5% 19.00 9.56 W
6  GOODBETTERBEST 4 4 1½ 11½ 11 12 2nk (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.50 20% 4.00 1.16 P
9  FROSTY DIVA 6 5 2½ 21½ 21 32 32 (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00 13.18  
1  LADY ENVOY 1 3 63½ 54 43½ 44 42½ (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 10.00 ★ 11.62  
10  RIGHT NOW 7 7 73¾ 76 55 54½ 54¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 6.43  
2  TRIBAL SPIRIT 2 1 52½ 65 66 66½ 65½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5.16  
4  SIMPERING SMILE 3 2 31½ 31½ 76 78½ 712¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 48% 1.10 3.80  
SCR  ROYAL DAME               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  SURE ENOUGH               (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE               (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/24/2022 6270ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
:242 :49 1:131 1:374   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FULL CHARGE 7 4 41½ 33 22 1½ 1hd (west w)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 ★ 6.72  
6  GO EMI 6 3 74¼ 76½ 66 31½ 2hd (gonzalez lilia)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 12.75  
5  BANDIT SWANSON 5 2 31½ 43 55 64 33¾ (hernandez armando)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 ★ 6.38 S
1  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 1 5 52½ 54 43½ 42½ 43¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.74  
2  SILVER DUST 2 7 1½ 12 12 2½ 54¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 2.00 63% 0.60 2.52  
4  HUGE BIGLY 4 1 2½ 22 32½ 53½ 65¾ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 3.62  
3  MAX EXPRESS 3 6 64 65½ 76½ 79 712¼ (lauer michael)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 9% 10.00 8.25  
 
CD-4   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
:231 :461 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVE FOR FUN 1 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 1¾ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 7% 13.40 1.85 W
5  MIACOMET 5 5 52½ 52¼   31½ 2¾ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 ★ 3.45 P
3  FRENCH COMPOSER 3 4 42 41¾   42½ 35½ (evans ii)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 4.50 ★ 11.27 S
4  CHASING RAINBOWS 4 2 2½ 2nk   21½ 45½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 48% 1.10 3.51  
2  CARBONITE 2 6 31½ 31½   53½ 57 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.62  
6  CENTURION 6 3 68½ 610¼   68½ 611½ (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 19% 4.40 7.42  
SCR  BLUE NORTHER               (walden william)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:24
:213 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RUTHLESS RUA 5 2 2nk 11½   12 15¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 6% 15.20 2.76 W
2  D'ORO STREET 1 5 32½ 21½   22 25¾ (diodoro robertino)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 2.95  
8  BOARDWALK QUEEN 6 1 55¼ 45½   36½ 312 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 14% 6.20 4.22 S
6  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 4 4 45 59   49 415 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.55  
4  BADGELAND 2 6 67¾ 611   611 516 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 7.18  
5  SURE CAN 3 3 1nk 33   510½ 625¼ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 59% 0.70 2.20  
SCR  SHARP TAP               (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SUPER SPIRIT               (diodoro robertino)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 ★    
 
CD-6   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
:212 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STORY HOUR 2 3 32 21½   12½ 11¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 ★ 20.23  
1  VOW 1 7 53½ 44½   33 21¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 13% 6.80 1.86 P
7  DELIGHTOF THE NILE 6 2 11½ 11½   22½ 36½ (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 ★ 1.59 S
6  ITDOWHATITDO 5 5 21½ 33   44½ 410 (sims a)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 6.18  
4  MARKSWOMAN 4 4 65½ 57   58 513¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 59% 0.70 5.12  
3  BURNT MATCH 3 8 78 712   612 617 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 15.00 18.77  
8  MIDNIGHT TANGO 7 6 89 814   814½ 719¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 17.87  
9  BOW TO NONE 8 1 43 69   713½ 823¾ (navarrete anna)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00 40.28  
SCR  LITTLE SISTER SUE               (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 8.00 ★    
 
CD-7   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:214 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OLLIEMEISTER 3 7 73 75¼   42 11¾ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 ★ 2.03  
7  COLD AS HELL 7 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 21¾ (lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 9% 10.70 3.01 P
5  FLAGS UP 5 9 97½ 87¼   64 32 (baker james)LANERIE J 120 8.00 23% 3.30 11.68 S
9  BRAWNDO 9 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 42¼ (mejia delacruz)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 7.78  
4  LUCKY BOSS 4 1 41¼ 3.2   31 52½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 11% 8.20 5.18  
6  MONEY MIKE 6 3 62¾ 42¾   53 63 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 21.34  
8  RED LABEL 8 8 85½ 54¼   75½ 75¼ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 11.76  
1  STONEVICIOUS 1 6 31 97½   97½ 85¼ (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 25.39  
2  UPSTRIKER 2 5 51¼ 65¼   86½ 95½ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 25% 3.10 7.47  
 
CD-8   11/24/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
:234 :473 1:12 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWDER RIVER 1 1 11½ 11 1nk 2nk 1¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 ★ 2.97  
6  ILLIOGAMI 6 8 43 52 41¾ 31½ 2¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.03 P
2  TEMPER TIME 2 3 21½ 21 2nk 1nk 32½ (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 17.96  
5  MISTY VEIL 5 4 32½ 31½ 31½ 42½ 45¼ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 ★ 5.62  
9  JAG WARRIOR 8 5 74¼ 73 62¾ 55½ 58¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 3.33  
3  TAP DANCING LADY 3 6 94¾ 62½ 85¼ 68 69½ (kahles ronald)LEON SONNY 118 10.00 ★ 9.44  
4  DOROTHEA 4 2 53 42 52¼ 78¼ 710 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 8.43  
7  MICROCAP 7 9 84¼ 83¼ 74¾ 810¾ 817½ (forster t)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 19.17  
10  PRINCESS OF CAIRO 9 7 64 93¼ 96¾ 913¾ 921 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 64% 0.60 12.16  
SCR  LADY FROSTED               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
:212 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVULNERABLE 1 1 1½ 11½   1½ 1nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.73  
13  COMMERCE COMET 12 6 31 21½   2½ 2nk (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 ★ 16.31 P
2  UNCLE REG 2 4 42 53   53½ 3¾ (mccarthy w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 6.76  
3  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 3 10 109 108¼   96½ 41½ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 41% 1.50 1.46  
9  ONASA 8 2 2½ 31½   42½ 52 (rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 7.27  
10  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS 9 3 76 75¼   75 62¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00 40.16  
12  BRAZEN BOY 11 5 63 42½   31½ 72½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 26% 2.80 11.62  
5  STUCK N SNOW 5 8 86 86¾   86 84¾ (von donnie)ROCCO S 119 12.00 44.26  
6  DAKOTA RUN 6 7 52½ 63¼   64 95 (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 5.00 10% 9.30 6.97  
4  STRAY CAT 4 11 1112 1110¾   1110 107 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 30.40  
11  AERATOR 10 9 97½ 97¾   108½ 117¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.29  
7  CRAVENSWORTH 7 12 1226 1236¾   1247½ 12100 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★ 12.17  
SCR  NOT SO HOLY               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  TRACK SHOT               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  WINGER               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/24/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
:234 :472 1:112 1:361   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PLAYED HARD 4 1 1½ 11½ 11½ 12 11 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 0.80 43% 1.30 0.45 W
2  BELLAMORE 2 3 42 43 21½ 22 21 (callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 ★ 10.06 P
6  SHE'S ALL WOLFE 6 5 63½ 65¼ 65 45½ 36 (von donnie)ROCCO S 121 6.00 17.26  
3  MOON SWAG 3 6 53 53¼ 42 35 48¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 ★ 8.70  
1  LEADER OF THE BAND 1 2 31 21½ 31½ 511 515¼ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 32% 2.10 3.19  
5  AVA'S GRACE 5 4 2½ 31½ 54½ 620 645½ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 ★ 26.50  
 
CD-11   11/24/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:242 :49 1:133 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DALIKA (GER) 5 2 11½ 11½ 11 12 11¾ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 37% 1.70 1.86 W
3  PERSEVERANCIA 3 3 79 710 78 33 21¾ (devaux cherie)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 12.69  
6  ADVENTURING 6 1 21½ 32 32 22 33 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 20% 4.10 1.72 S
7  SUNNY ONE 7 7 45½ 46 44 44 45 (murphy conor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 8.00 ★ 7.46  
4  LAKE LUCERNE 4 6 57½ 68 66½ 54½ 57 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 30.00 5% 19.00 17.45  
8  FLIPPANT 8 9 68 57 54½ 77 69½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 18% 4.70 24.92  
1  PASS THE PLATE 1 8 913 915 89 66½ 79½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00 6.96  
9  CURLY RUTH 9 5 32 21½ 21 89 819¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 14.63  
2  DISAPPEARING ACT 2 4 811 812½ 911 911½ 921¼ (santamaria carlos)LANERIE J 121 30.00 44.79  
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS               (hernandez armando)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00    
 
CD-12   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:50
:232 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SECRET STATEMENT 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 1½ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.24 W
6  ICICLES 6 6 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 18.66  
7  EYES OF GOLD 7 3 41½ 31½   31½ 32¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 ★ 2.47 S
4  LADY WITH A CAUSE 4 1 95¼ 96¼   56 49 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00 24.34  
2  TITUBA 2 9 84¾ 72¾   44½ 59 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 21% 3.80 6.12  
3  RING TWICE 3 7 73¼ 84¼   78½ 613½ (von donnie)ROCCO S 119 8.00 24.87  
1  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 1 5 31½ 41½   68 719 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 24% 3.30 6.86  
8  PERFECT ROSE 8 4 51¾ 52½   911 819½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 30.00 42.55  
9  GRAY VIXEN 9 8 62¼ 62¾   810 920¼ (ewing ann)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
SCR  MOR HAPPY HOURS               (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.