Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPA CITY 5 4 2nk 21 31 1nk 1¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.00 2.85  
FAN CLUB 4 1 1nk 11 11 2nk 2¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 10.68  
TWO BY TWO 2 6 6 53 43 4 3 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 19% 4.30 1.77 S
CONTACT TRACING 6 5 3½ 3 21 32 43 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 15.74  
WHISKEY DOUBLE 1 2 5 6 5 5 511¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 13% 6.80 5.63  
GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 3 3 41 4 6 610¾ 6100 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 35% 1.80 2.36  
 
CD-2   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:114 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL'S SECRET 2 3 3 3 2 2½ 1½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 29% 2.40 0.62 W
GRAYSONSMACHO GAL 3 1 12 1 1 1½ 2½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 41% 1.50 3.93 P
CANDY RAID 4 4 4 48 4 3 35 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 3.50 2.95 S
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 1 2 22 2 3 411 418½ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 6.02  
SCR  REPUBLIQUE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-3   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER BOY 6 6 67 6 3½ 1 17 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 9.26  
IRONSIDES 1 4 4 4 41 2 27 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 12.35  
PRINCE OF ROSES 5 2 22 3 1½ 3 311 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 1.21 S
LED TASSO 7 7 7 75 52 4 413¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 3.21  
OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 5 55 53 7 614 520 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 12.19  
TALKSCHEAP 2 1 33 21 2½ 510 621 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 30% 2.40 3.43  
RANSAM PAYNTER 3 3 12 11 6 717½ 736¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 19.38  
SCR  EIGHT STRAIGHT               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
CD-4   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME CANDY 2 2 21 2½ 1½ 12 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 10.70  
LANTERN'S CANDY 3 3 42 3 31 22 2 (schultz lindsay)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 3.61 P
HAL'S DREAM 4 8 6 64 43 34 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 15% 5.70 6.33 S
WICKED WONDER 5 7 7 85 76 46 4 (peitz)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00 3.13  
MONOCACY 7 5 8 7 65 6 513½ (king l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 10.69  
SHIP IT 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 5 614¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 55% 0.80 1.63  
INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 6 4 54 53 5 710 716 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.23  
INSPEIGHTFUL 8 6 32 4 87 815½ 822¾ (wiggins lo)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 36.14  
 
CD-5   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP STATE 4 10 910½ 99 7 31 1 (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 20% 3.90 3.38 W
10  COASTAL CHAOS 10 8 5 5 4 4 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9.68  
CONSPIRACY FACT 7 4 32 3 2½ 2½ 3 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5.51 S
BEYBLADER 1 6 1012½ 1012½ 9 64 44 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 19% 4.20 8.01  
MR CREED 3 5 89 78 6 5 54 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 30% 2.30 2.96  
ONE COOL DUDE 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 1½ 6 (sanner e)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.84  
ALEXIS N NIKO 2 2 78 68 10 7 7 (thurman r)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 37.88  
FORT DEFIANCE 8 9 66 8 87 8 8 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.44  
LORD CAPTAIN 5 7 4 43 5 99 917¼ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 10.95  
PAID IN FULL 9 3 11 1½ 32 10 1021¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 120 10.00 20.52  
 
CD-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:214 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN SUE 4 1 4 11   14 14 (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 35% 1.80 1.19 W
LILY'S CREED 9 7 8 6   4 24 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 40% 1.50 3.97 P
SENSE OF HEART 6 5 7 78   6 3 (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 30.46 S
TIMBAVATI 7 2 2nk 21   24 4 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 32.75  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 5 8 9 9   711 5 (leonard geor)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 30.44  
SINGING EMMA 2 9 3.2 31   3 69 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 3.73  
SLOAN STREET 8 6 6 55   57 710½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 15.32  
10  CATHERINE BLAZE 10 10 1010¼ 1010½   913 814 (leonard g)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 41.97  
LADY STRUM 3 3 1nk 44   812 919½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6.83  
CLASSIC FAREWELL 1 4 5 89   1014½ 1023 (schultz lindsay)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 24.59  
 
CD-7   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 8 5 5 5   2nk 13 (von donni)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 6% 17.00 4.07 W
ONCOMING TRAIN 5 1 4 31   1nk 23 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00 5.55  
HOMETOWN HERO 4 8 8 7   3 3 (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.83 S
TIGER MOON 1 9 1010¾ 9   5 4 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 14.82  
NINETIES COUNTRY 3 7 6 6   45 59 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.27  
EL FRANCO 7 6 9 85   6 6 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 37.72  
TRIGGER HAPPY 6 3 2nk 2½   8 716½ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 10.66  
10  OUT WORK'N 10 10 32 4   99 817¾ (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 125 20.00 42.60  
SPEED BOAT 2 2 7 10   1014½ 920 (hugo )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
ATRAS 9 4 1nk 1½   78 1021 (barkley jaso)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 12% 7.40 4.15  
 
CD-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 1 2 1 11   1½ 1 (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 11% 8.00 1.82 W
SOLID TUNE 6 1 2 21   2½ 2 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.42 P
SAINT EROS GIRL 4 3 32 31   31 3 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 15% 5.70 2.71 S
WATERS OF MEROM 2 5 7 6   6 46 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 18.97  
LEGERITY 5 6 54 4   45 5 (west w)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5.94  
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 3 4 4 5   5 6 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 4.92  
10  CANT BE TOUCHED 7 7 67 7   715½ 726 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 13.21  
SCR  HONEY RUN               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50    
SCR  STRONG SILENT               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SUPER CAT LADY               (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBLE ROCK 4 2 1 11 11 1 1 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 1.66  
11  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 10 1 3 21 21 2 2 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 34.71  
TAKE A STAND 1 3 2 3 3 3 3 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 38.53  
LOVELY PRINCESS 7 5 5 54 53 44 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 16% 5.10 6.20  
10  QUALITY STAR 9 8 6 65 64 5 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 18% 4.60 10.31  
SHE'S GONE 2 10 9 99 9 86 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 10.95  
LADY PUCHI 3 6 77 77 75 7 7 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11.03  
FANCY MARTINI 8 9 4 43 4 65 8 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.84  
CALIFORNIA ANGEL 6 4 8 87 85 9 9 (leonard geor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70 2.68  
SWEET LADY IVANKA 5 7 1013½ 1016½ 1013½ 1014¼ 1012¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 15.00 20.73  
SCR  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE)               (delgado gustav)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  SEAL BEACH 11 7 2½ 2½   1 1 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.99  
ANGKOR 5 1 4 31   2 2 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 18.72 P
KUPUNA 2 9 10 6   35 3 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 10.72  
10  MILLIKEN 8 8 115 11   58 45 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 19% 4.30 3.69  
GULFSTREAM WAY 1 2 31 5   46 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.40  
DR. PERRY 4 4 9 106   811½ 618¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
CALL ME FAST 6 12 7 42   711 718¾ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 28% 2.60 5.12  
LEGENDARY LORE 7 5 127 128   1115 819 (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 47.99  
12  ZIPPIN GIGI 10 6 1½ 1½   610½ 920 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 21.74  
11  SPARTAN ARMY 9 11 62 84   1013 1020½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 14.68  
APPEAL DENIED 3 3 83 74   912½ 1124½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 48.14  
15  MAC'S TIME 12 10 52 95   1221½ 1249½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 20.00 49.38  
SCR  AMERICAN ICON               (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MOMENT               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  EMPERADOR               (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
SCR  GRAPHIC DETAIL               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
CD-11   11/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:364   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROXY 1 1 21 21 21 2½ 1¾ (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 12% 7.00 2.54 W
WEST WILL POWER 6 3 11 11 11 1½ 2¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50 32% 2.20 1.78 P
FULSOME 4 4 65 6 6 44 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 26% 2.90 7.23 S
LAST SAMURAI 5 6 43 5 32 3 47 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 20.61  
INJUNCTION 2 2 32 32 4 5 58 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 7.86  
RICH STRIKE 3 5 54 44 53 67 6 (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 6% 15.20 2.44  
SCR  TRADEMARK               (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/25/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:24
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 5 4 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 3.89  
SHADY ROAD 7 5 2nk 2½   2½ 21 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.60 53% 0.90 0.75 P
SWEET CURALINA 3 6 8 8   47 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 10.54  
AWESOME ALLY VEE 9 9 4 53   3 411¼ (lauer)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 33.82  
MO HAPPY 6 7 6 6   58 513 (thompson boyd)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00 53.75  
STAR TABLE 2 3 5 42   610 617 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 19% 4.10 5.67  
BROADBAND 1 2 7 7   812½ 717½ (taylor brent)COURT K 122 15.00 40.63  
OFF THE CHARTS 8 8 3½ 32   711 819¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 14.25  
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 4 1 9100 9100   9100 9100 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 14.14  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.