Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPA CITY 5 4 2nk 21 31 1nk 1¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.00 ★ 2.85  
4  FAN CLUB 4 1 1nk 11 11 2nk 2¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 10.68  
2  TWO BY TWO 2 6 62¾ 53 43 42¼ 32¼ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 19% 4.30 1.77 S
6  CONTACT TRACING 6 5 3½ 31½ 21 32 43 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 ★ 15.74  
1  WHISKEY DOUBLE 1 2 52½ 63¼ 53½ 55¾ 511¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 13% 6.80 5.63  
3  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 3 3 41 41½ 63¾ 610¾ 6100 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 35% 1.80 2.36  
 
CD-2   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:114 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILL'S SECRET 2 3 33½ 32½ 21½ 2½ 1½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 29% 2.40 0.62 W
3  GRAYSONSMACHO GAL 3 1 12 12½ 11½ 1½ 2½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 41% 1.50 3.93 P
5  CANDY RAID 4 4 45½ 48 46½ 33½ 35 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 3.50 ★ 2.95 S
1  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 1 2 22 22½ 34½ 411 418½ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 ★ 6.02  
SCR  REPUBLIQUE               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★    
 
CD-3   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIVER BOY 6 6 67 64½ 3½ 13½ 17 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 9.26  
1  IRONSIDES 1 4 43½ 42½ 41 23½ 27 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 12.35  
6  PRINCE OF ROSES 5 2 22 31½ 1½ 34½ 311 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 ★ 1.21 S
8  LED TASSO 7 7 78½ 75 52 45½ 413¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★ 3.21  
5  OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 5 55 53 74½ 614 520 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 ★ 12.19  
2  TALKSCHEAP 2 1 33 21 2½ 510 621 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 30% 2.40 3.43  
4  RANSAM PAYNTER 3 3 12 11 62½ 717½ 736¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 19.38  
SCR  EIGHT STRAIGHT               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
CD-4   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIMME CANDY 2 2 21 2½ 1½ 12 13¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 ★ 10.70  
3  LANTERN'S CANDY 3 3 42 31½ 31 22 23¾ (schultz lindsa)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 ★ 3.61 P
4  HAL'S DREAM 4 8 64½ 64 43 34 33¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 15% 5.70 6.33 S
5  WICKED WONDER 5 7 75½ 85 76 46 46¼ (pei)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00 3.13  
7  MONOCACY 7 5 88½ 74½ 65 69½ 513½ (king l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 10.69  
1  SHIP IT 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 56½ 614¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 55% 0.80 1.63  
6  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 6 4 54 53 54½ 710 716 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.23  
8  INSPEIGHTFUL 8 6 32 42½ 87 815½ 822¾ (wiggins )SANTANA JR 121 12.00 36.14  
 
CD-5   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEEP STATE 4 10 910½ 99 74½ 31 12½ (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 20% 3.90 3.38 W
10  COASTAL CHAOS 10 8 53½ 53½ 42½ 41½ 22½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9.68  
7  CONSPIRACY FACT 7 4 32 31½ 2½ 2½ 33¼ (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 ★ 5.51 S
1  BEYBLADER 1 6 1012½ 1012½ 97½ 64 44 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 19% 4.20 8.01  
3  MR CREED 3 5 89 78 63½ 53½ 54 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 30% 2.30 2.96  
6  ONE COOL DUDE 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 1½ 65½ (sanner daniel)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 ★ 14.84  
2  ALEXIS N NIKO 2 2 78 68 108½ 77½ 77¾ (thurman)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 37.88  
8  FORT DEFIANCE 8 9 66 88½ 87 87½ 88½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.44  
5  LORD CAPTAIN 5 7 43½ 43 53½ 99 917¼ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 10.95  
9  PAID IN FULL 9 3 11 1½ 32 109½ 1021¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 120 10.00 20.52  
 
CD-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:214 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MEAN SUE 4 1 42¼ 11   14 14 (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 35% 1.80 1.19 W
9  LILY'S CREED 9 7 87¾ 65½   45½ 24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 40% 1.50 3.97 P
6  SENSE OF HEART 6 5 77¼ 78   69½ 37¼ (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 ★ 30.46 S
7  TIMBAVATI 7 2 2nk 21   24 47½ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 ★ 32.75  
5  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 5 8 99¼ 99½   711 58½ (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 30.44  
2  SINGING EMMA 2 9 3.2 31   34½ 69 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 3.73  
8  SLOAN STREET 8 6 64¾ 55   57 710½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 15.32  
10  CATHERINE BLAZE 10 10 1010¼ 1010½   913 814 (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 41.97  
3  LADY STRUM 3 3 1nk 44   812 919½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★ 6.83  
1  CLASSIC FAREWELL 1 4 53¾ 89   1014½ 1023 (schultz lindsa)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 24.59  
 
CD-7   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 8 5 54¾ 52½   2nk 13 (von don)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 6% 17.00 4.07 W
5  ONCOMING TRAIN 5 1 42¼ 31   1nk 23 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00 5.55  
4  HOMETOWN HERO 4 8 86¾ 74½   33½ 35¾ (wong jon)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.83 S
1  TIGER MOON 1 9 1010¾ 99½   56½ 45¾ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 14.82  
3  NINETIES COUNTRY 3 7 64¾ 63½   45 59 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.27  
7  EL FRANCO 7 6 97¼ 85   67½ 69¾ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 37.72  
6  TRIGGER HAPPY 6 3 2nk 2½   88½ 716½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 10.66  
10  OUT WORK'N 10 10 32 41½   99 817¾ (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 125 20.00 42.60  
2  SPEED BOAT 2 2 75¼ 109½   1014½ 920 (hug)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
9  ATRAS 9 4 1nk 1½   78 1021 (barkley ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 12% 7.40 4.15  
 
CD-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 1 2 11½ 11   1½ 11¼ (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 11% 8.00 1.82 W
7  SOLID TUNE 6 1 21½ 21   2½ 21¼ (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.42 P
5  SAINT EROS GIRL 4 3 32 31   31 32¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 15% 5.70 2.71 S
3  WATERS OF MEROM 2 5 77½ 67½   68½ 46 (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 18.97  
6  LEGERITY 5 6 54 43½   45 56¾ (west w)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5.94  
4  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 3 4 43½ 54½   57½ 67½ (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 4.92  
10  CANT BE TOUCHED 7 7 67 79½   715½ 726 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 13.21  
SCR  HONEY RUN               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50    
SCR  STRONG SILENT               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SUPER CAT LADY               (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUBBLE ROCK 4 2 12½ 11 11 12½ 11¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 ★ 1.66  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
11  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 10 1 32½ 21 21 22½ 21¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 34.71  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GONE THEATRICAL by THEATRICAL)
1  TAKE A STAND 1 3 22½ 32½ 31½ 32½ 32¾ (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 20.00 38.53  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  LOVELY PRINCESS 7 5 54½ 54 53 44 42¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 16% 5.10 6.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  QUALITY STAR 9 8 65½ 65 64 54½ 53¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 18% 4.60 10.31  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
2  SHE'S GONE 2 10 99½ 99 96½ 86 63½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 ★ 10.95  
  (by CURLIN out of SHE'S NOT HERE by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  LADY PUCHI 3 6 77 77 75 75½ 74¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11.03  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANNABIRD by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  FANCY MARTINI 8 9 43½ 43 42½ 65 86¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.84  
  (by KLIMT out of MISS CANADA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  CALIFORNIA ANGEL 6 4 87½ 87 85 96¼ 96¾ (leonard ge)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70 2.68  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  SWEET LADY IVANKA 5 7 1013½ 1016½ 1013½ 1014¼ 1012¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 15.00 20.73  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LADY SERENA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE)               (delgado gust)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
  (by ADAAY out of BLACK MEYEDEN by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
 
CD-10   11/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  SEAL BEACH 11 7 2½ 2½   12½ 13¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.99  
7  ANGKOR 5 1 41½ 31   22½ 23¼ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 ★ 18.72 P
3  KUPUNA 2 9 104½ 63½   35 34¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 10.72  
10  MILLIKEN 8 8 115 117½   58 45 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 19% 4.30 3.69  
1  GULFSTREAM WAY 1 2 31 52½   46 57½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.40  
5  DR. PERRY 4 4 93½ 106   811½ 618¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
8  CALL ME FAST 6 12 72½ 42   711 718¾ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 28% 2.60 5.12  
9  LEGENDARY LORE 7 5 127 128   1115 819 (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 47.99  
12  ZIPPIN GIGI 10 6 1½ 1½   610½ 920 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 21.74  
11  SPARTAN ARMY 9 11 62 84   1013 1020½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 14.68  
4  APPEAL DENIED 3 3 83 74   912½ 1124½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 48.14  
15  MAC'S TIME 12 10 52 95   1221½ 1249½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 20.00 49.38  
SCR  AMERICAN ICON               (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MOMENT               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  EMPERADOR               (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
SCR  GRAPHIC DETAIL               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
CD-11   11/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:364   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROXY 1 1 21 21 21 2½ 1¾ (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 12% 7.00 2.54 W
  (by TAPIT out of PANTY RAID by INCLUDE)
7  WEST WILL POWER 6 3 11 11 11 1½ 2¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50 32% 2.20 1.78 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of WILD PROMISES by WILD EVENT)
5  FULSOME 4 4 65 66½ 64½ 44 33¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 26% 2.90 7.23 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOURISH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  LAST SAMURAI 5 6 43 54½ 32 33½ 47 (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 20.61  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  INJUNCTION 2 2 32 32 42½ 55½ 58 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 ★ 7.86  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of VALID VALENCIA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  RICH STRIKE 3 5 54 44 53 67 68¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 6% 15.20 2.44  
  (by KEEN ICE out of GOLD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TRADEMARK               (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
CD-12   11/25/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:24
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 5 4 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 ★ 3.89  
7  SHADY ROAD 7 5 2nk 2½   2½ 21 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.60 53% 0.90 0.75 P
3  SWEET CURALINA 3 6 88¼ 88¾   47 38¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 10.54  
9  AWESOME ALLY VEE 9 9 41½ 53   35½ 411¼ (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 33.82  
6  MO HAPPY 6 7 62¼ 63¼   58 513 (thompson bo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00 53.75  
2  STAR TABLE 2 3 51¾ 42   610 617 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 19% 4.10 5.67  
1  BROADBAND 1 2 73¼ 76¼   812½ 717½ (taylor brent)COURT K 122 15.00 40.63  
8  OFF THE CHARTS 8 8 3½ 32   711 819¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 ★ 14.25  
4  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 4 1 9100 9100   9100 9100 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 ★ 14.14  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.