Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOT PASTRAMI   (mejia de)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 ★ 2.90  
3  WEST WARPATH   (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 32.94  
2  LAKE TAHOE   (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.68 S
4  PLEMMONSTON   (leonard g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 15.04  
1  DESOTO'S WAR   (forster grant)GILLIGAN JACK 120 1.80 20% 4.00 0.95  
5  CHASIN CHARLIE   (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 7% 13.20 33.52  
7  DUDLEY   (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 118 12.00 20% 4.10 8.02  
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES   (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SEIVER   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 58% 0.70 2.81 W
2  JACKIE'S LOVE   (olivo dai)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 ★ 13.84 P
3  SWEET TRUFFLES   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 124 2.50 8% 12.00 2.40 S
1  VERDANDI   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 9% 10.60 1.50  
8  LA CHAPEAU   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 12.72  
9  SWEET VALERIA   (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 12.00 ★ 13.12  
4  ISABEL DE CLARE   (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 50.41  
7  DOGWOODS BECCA   (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 ######  
5  JAMS TOP SHELF   (jennings jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 30.00 58.31  
 
CD-3   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H. T. XENA   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 ★ 3.98  
6  ARGUMENTAL   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 28% 2.60 1.81 P
2  MY MY MUNNY   (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 27% 2.70 8.28 S
5  LOVE OF MY LIFE   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 6.86  
3  SHANIAH   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 2.00 ★ 1.76  
4  MY DAMS ATITUDE   (hernandez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 15% 5.70 15.57  
 
CD-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GETTIN PAID   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 9.08  
4  RATE CONFIRMATION   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 6.75  
3  BOUDIN   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.18 S
5  VIOLENT RIVER   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 ★ 4.30  
8  BRILLIANT COLORS   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 ★ 7.52  
7  FEELING   (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 19.35  
1  WHOOP GONE   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 1.99  
2  GOLDEN SIMMS   (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 16.75  
SCR  RETAINED   (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.60 49% 1.00    
 
CD-5   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAMP DAVID   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 2.46  
4  IBERVILLE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 11% 8.50 1.65 P
5  GORMLEYS GOT GAME   (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 3.76  
7  CAMINERO   (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 38% 1.60 4.33  
1  LIGHTNING STRUCK   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 12.52  
3  ATTA BOY ANTHONY   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00 ★ 12.25  
SCR  CLASSIC KING   (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  DOUBLE THUNDER   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 10% 9.00    
 
CD-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASH FLAT   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 ★ 1.66  
6  TANGO CHARLIE   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 18% 4.50 2.60 P
7  GRAY ATTEMPT   (corrigan jim)LANERIE J 120 4.00 43% 1.30 5.66 S
5  SPANKHURST   (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 4.59  
3  SHADOW MATTER   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 ★ 5.22  
4  POWELL   (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00 9% 9.80 44.33  
2  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT   (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 19.70  
 
CD-7   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELEASE MCCRAKEN   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 18% 4.50 2.63 W
4  GLOBAL SURPRISE   (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00 P
10  SIR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★ 20.51 S
9  FIRST CLASS HARLOW   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 30.39  
3  SEAS OF NORMANDY   (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.69  
5  FIGHT FIERCELY   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 25% 3.10 4.74  
2  PAYNTED BLUE   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 37.92  
6  WESTERN COMMAND   (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 39.64  
7  TAP DANCE TANGO   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5.59  
SCR  CHLOE'S DREAM   (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PIONEER OF MEDINA   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.94 W
6  WARRIOR JOHNY   (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.40 0.47  
4  DROPPIN G'S   (antonuik jerr)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 7.37 S
1  AWESOME AARON   (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 9% 9.90 8.34  
5  MIDNIGHT J J   (brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.76  
SCR  GUNTON ROE   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
CD-9   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILLTORUN   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 28.92  
5  SKELLY   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 44% 1.30 0.61 P
9  B SUDD   (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 31% 2.20 5.18 S
2  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 ★ 8.72  
1  SEIZE THE NIGHT   (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 20.00 14.51  
7  SPARTY SENSE   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 25.25  
3  LET MY PEOPLE GO   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 11.14  
8  BACK TO NORMAL   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★ 23.14  
11  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY   (veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 57.46  
6  DARK TIMBER   (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 24.05  
10  FIRST CROWNED   (sanchez emma )CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 90.66  
 
CD-10   11/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFINING PURPOSE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 19% 4.10 1.33 W
7  BIG DIG   (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 6% 15.80 4.09 P
5  GONNA CUT IT   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 11.49  
4  THESTRAL   (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 8% 11.00 3.71  
3  PERFECT ROSE   (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 15.00 36.48  
6  LADAN   (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 37.68  
2  TEQUILA EMPIRE   (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.60  
9  ROCKABILLIE   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 14.67  
SCR  STAGE BELL   (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.