Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:122 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REWIRE 1 3 3 21 2nk 2½ 1½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 1.40 58% 0.70 0.86 W
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 2 1nk 11 1nk 1½ 2½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 16% 5.30 1.25 P
AWAY FROM HOME 2 1 2nk 31 32 33 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.00 4.23 S
WORKINFROMHOME 3 4 4 4 4 4 418¾ (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 23.55  
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK               (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED SOME MONEY 5 5 43 42 1nk 1 1 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 3.91  
BEST SELLER 2 4 21 2½ 2nk 2 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 1.69 P
KEY TO SUCCESS 3 6 6 5 3 3 37 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 21% 3.80 2.30 S
HIGH FASHION LADY 1 1 3 32 55 4 415 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 4.62  
FAIR FOLLY 4 3 5 64 69 612 521 (wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 8% 11.10 31.40  
FABULOSITY 6 2 11 1½ 43 511½ 635 (sharp joe)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 27% 2.70 6.88  
SCR  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
CD-3   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITA MINUTE HAYES 6 5 3 3½ 3 1nk 1 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 118 10.00 17% 4.90 17.87 W
SIMOVITCH 1 3 1½ 1nk 11 2nk 2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 2.59 P
SAQEEL 5 4 55 5 65 3 3 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 15% 5.60 6.54 S
MUGSY MALONE 3 2 2½ 2nk 21 44 4 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 32% 2.10 3.27  
NEVER CHANGE 4 6 66 4 4 5 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 1.60  
ENDLESS SUNSET 2 1 44 6 5 6 611¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 6.65  
 
CD-4   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTAIL (GB) 3 6 2½ 1nk   1 1 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 1.60 27% 2.70 2.04 W
MONOCACY 9 1 7 4   34 2 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.69  
JOAN'S WAY 2 5 1½ 2nk   2 3 (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.87 S
MRS. NUSHI 5 9 9 5   4 47 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.85  
ECLIPSED 6 2 63 7   6 5 (fletcher ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7% 12.90 11.31  
SWEET FRAULEIN 1 7 52 6   5 68 (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 40.00  
FRIEND 4 8 85 9   78 710 (hernandez javie)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 50.03  
JUMAKAN BOURBON 8 4 42 32   8 817¼ (minnock wayne)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 10% 9.20 11.57  
BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB 7 3 3 8   912 921 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 10.00 11.15  
 
CD-5   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLINONABUDJET 1 1 75 7 5 1 1 (lovell mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 2.02  
MEAN MACHINE 2 2 88 8 8 43 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 4.50 3.16 P
KING'S MISCHIEF 4 3 3 3 3½ 2 312¼ (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5.04  
PATRIOT DRIVE 3 6 53 5 6 65 412¼ (radosevich j)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 55% 0.80 5.81  
EAGLE PASS 8 8 4 4 2½ 33 513 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 23.40  
MAKABIM 5 7 64 6 7 8 614½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 25.23  
ON A SPREE 7 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 5 714¾ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 18% 4.40 5.33  
JOHN'S ROCK 6 5 1½ 1½ 4 7 815 (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 9.86  
 
CD-6   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPA 7 7 7 43   2 1½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 18% 4.70 3.28 W
A. P. LADY 1 3 11 1   1 2½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 2.08 P
NANCY SPAIN 2 6 31 2   3 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.29  
JENNY LIND 6 2 6 7   4 4 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 3.31  
TABOR TIME 5 1 4 5   58 512¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5.59  
BRYLEE 4 4 21 3   6 614¼ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 33.01  
LEIPZIG 3 5 53 64   7 714¼ (mott william )PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 17.93  
SCR  KLASSY BRIDGETTE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
CD-7   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S DUET 3 4 43 4 5 3 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 1.95  
COASTAL CHARM 5 3 32 31 3.2 1 2nk (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 5.56 P
MY GOOD FORTUNE 4 6 7 76 6 54 3 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 8% 11.60 10.24 S
MEJTHAAM 6 5 65 65 7 6 42 (corrigan jim)LANERIE J 123 2.50 42% 1.40 4.21  
PARIS KENTUCKY 2 1 2 21 2nk 2 5 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 16% 5.30 3.33  
WAYWARDNESS 7 7 5 5 4 44 6 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 7% 12.70 7.10  
CONDIMENT GIRL 1 2 1 11 1nk 7 7 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 10.58  
 
CD-8   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITANO SUNSET 9 2 32 31   11 1 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 49% 1.00 0.80 W
KID'S LAST LAUGH 8 6 5 6   31 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 12.31  
ROMAN GODDESS 2 1 2½ 2nk   21 35 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 4.99 S
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 6 3 43 4   4 4 (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 7.07  
WISH IT 3 8 7 5   5 5 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 9.47  
HUGHES CLUES 1 4 1½ 1nk   6 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 12.54  
ORIGAMI GIRL 4 5 6 84   7 712¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 23.86  
BROKEN HEARTS BAY 7 9 87 7   8 816¾ (arnett jon )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 29% 2.40 13.43  
HIGH END VIXEN 5 7 98 98   915¾ 922½ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 67.13  
 
CD-9   11/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:141 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BAY STREET MONEY 9 4 5 6 7 1nk 1 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 7.30  
10  POINT ME BY 7 6 6 53 6 31 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 12% 7.40 8.47 P
13  BULLSEYE BUN 10 7 4 42 4 2nk 3 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 31.31  
ALEX JOON 5 10 10 10 10 8 4 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 4.66  
RISK MANAGER 6 9 7 7 5 4 5 (gutierrez faust)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 9.74  
STRAIGHT ANSWER (GB) 3 8 8 8 8 7 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 28% 2.60 1.98  
BIZZEE CHANNEL 2 2 3 32 3 5 75 (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 8% 11.80 12.43  
CURRENT 1 5 9 9 9 9 8 (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 5.77  
11  MONITION 8 3 21 2½ 2½ 6 96 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
SUPER DESIGN 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 10 1018¾ (mejia dela)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 55.46  
SCR  BE HERE               (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  CARMICHAEL               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY               (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.00    
SCR  MILITARIST               (vaccarezza ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50    
SCR  RUPP N READY               (pitts helen)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  SUGOI               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 12.00    
 
CD-10   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:21 :45 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARENTS PRIDE 3 5 2 12   1 1½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.73 W
TALES OF HOME 8 2 6 4   33 2½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 7.17 P
WAITING ON WENDY 7 1 33 22   2 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 9.81  
BAINBRIDGE DANCER 2 9 910 79   57 48 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 46.99  
CRIMALDI 1 6 56 3   45 5 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 9.19  
AMARYLLIS KISS 6 7 88 6   67 612¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 26% 2.80 4.47  
SWEETS MAKER 9 8 78 8   89 712¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 23.69  
TERRANOVA 5 4 1 56   7 820 (williamson bria)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 14.92  
SWEET BABY RAY 4 3 44 914¼   918 932¼ (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 64.69  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.