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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/10/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($68K)			3		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	RED KNOBS									(diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						1.60		53%		0.90		0.73	W
5	MUGSY MALONE									(d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		★				4.35	P
4	TEST PILOT									(padilla tim)COURT K 120						6.00		15%		5.70		9.35	S
2	TOTALIZER									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50		★				2.05
6	READY PURSUIT									(antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 118						15.00		★				36.68
SCR	MAXIMUM IMPACT									(cash l)BEJARANO R 118						6.00

CD-2			11/10/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			2		F		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MS HAYLEY									(hiles rick)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						6.00		52%		0.90		3.44	W
9	ESSER FUND									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						15.00		★				9.42	P
3	LADY ENVOY									(lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119						5.00		6%		16.60		8.53	S
8	SMOOTH LIKE ICE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00						2.55
5	CANARY NATION									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00						3.74
7	TWELVE SHARP									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00						12.68
11	PRANA									(hiles a)LANERIE J 119						10.00						11.15
12	SHE HAS THE LOOK									(romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						15.00						11.57
4	RALLYING HEART									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119						15.00						57.29
1	BOGEY FREE									(lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00						22.69
SCR	ANN KOR									(waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00
SCR	GLO GIRL GLO									(sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						8.00
SCR	LILY'S HOME									(elliott)DE CRUZ 119						5.00		7%		12.80
SCR	LUCKSME									(diodoro robe)JORDAN R 119						6.00		14%		6.00
SCR	MO'S ROYAL FLUSH									(reed r)BEJARANO R 119						8.00
SCR	ONTOTHENEXT									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119						8.00

CD-3			11/10/2022		5940ft	TURF	RC1	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SWEET LADY IVANKA									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121						3.50		30%		2.30		2.17	W
8	PARTYLINE									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						2.50		39%		1.60		2.69	P
5	WHAT'S TO DO									(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						10.00		★				6.66	S
2	SUNROOF									(santamaria carl)LANERIE J 121						3.50		★				3.87
1	TWENTYTWENTY HOAX									(king l)CASTANON L 124						20.00						24.90
3	APPLE EVER AFTER									(leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121						12.00						11.71
7	TIFFANY'S MO									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121						3.00		6%		14.70		4.75
SCR	QUICK ROMANCE									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						10.00

CD-4			11/10/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	DEUS EX MACHINA									(ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122						5.00						8.76
2	NORGAY									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122						3.50		16%		5.30		3.16	P
10	BOURBON ON FIRE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00		★				2.30	S
4	MY FAVORITE UNCLE									(capps a)BEJARANO R 124						12.00		10%		9.40		16.30
8	SCRATCHOFF									(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122						4.50		14%		6.00		4.87
5	CLIQUER									(mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 122						12.00						12.93
6	C J ALL THE WAY									(lovell mic)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.00		38%		1.70		3.54
7	DIVISION STREET									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122						15.00						37.42
9	STRICKLAND									(brennan terry)RIQUELME J 122						30.00						######
3	GRASSROOTS									(shifflett ch)ARAGON ROLANDO 122						20.00						77.61

CD-5			11/10/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MEDWAY QUEEN									(silva h)BEJARANO R 118						12.00						6.83
8	SOCIAL MANDATE									(cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118						5.00		★				4.04	P
10	EXPECT THE BOSS									(miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00		17%		4.80		27.72	S
4	ARLYNE'S CROWN									(hiles a)LANERIE J 118						3.00		33%		2.00		1.39
11	PONTIFFANY									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118						8.00						7.24
7	KAIYAS SONG									(faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 108						30.00						85.44
3	INSPEIGHTFUL									(wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						10.00						17.83
5	COOL CAROL									(green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118						8.00						10.37
6	EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER									(jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 118						30.00						17.10
9	DILMUNIA									(catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118						6.00						18.24
1	MISS MARPLE									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118						8.00		21%		3.80		31.59
12	SIS BOOM BOB									(gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118						15.00		6%		16.60		44.16

CD-6			11/10/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	UNIFYING									(mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.50		9%		10.30		1.45	W
1	SECRET STATEMENT									(baker jam)LEPAROUX R 119						12.00						5.94
2	BE HERE NOW									(hiles a)LANERIE J 119						10.00						16.49
5	RING TWICE									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						6.00		★				11.09
3	TITLED LADY									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00						16.31
7	HAPPYSECRET									(wohlers lau)PETERSON FERRIN 119						4.00		44%		1.30		8.24
6	TAMARA'S WAY									(demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119						8.00		25%		3.00		8.56
4	SIRIUS LIGHT									(moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.50		★				3.56
10	FOR THE BISCUIT									(hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00						31.42
SCR	SAVAGE DARLING									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						8.00

CD-7			11/10/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	THOUGHT									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		18%		4.60		1.73	W
7	TRIGGER HAPPY									(rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118						2.50		23%		3.30		4.16	P
6	MOON DOG									(glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118						4.00		16%		5.10		2.99	S
5	MILITARY FORCE									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121						12.00						20.86
4	MUNDO MIX									(caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 118						8.00						17.16
1	OFFICIAL BUSINESS									(sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121						12.00						9.18
9	MARK THE MOOSE									(radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00		8%		11.20		13.53
2	COMMANDER COMPTON									(kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 118						10.00						33.96
3	HORSE DADDY									(ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						15.00		7%		13.80		8.45

CD-8			11/10/2022		3300ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ARI OAKLEY									(asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		7%		14.10		2.85	W
12	PERFECT HAPPINESS									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						15.00						10.63
6	MISS T TOO									(mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 120						10.00		5%		18.00		3.99	S
2	MINUTE WALTZ									(bauer a)BEJARANO R 122						4.50						4.13
1	LADY GOLDSTART									(cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 120						12.00		5%		19.00		10.18
5	AVA'S GRACE									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120						4.50		27%		2.60		9.86
3	ALTERED SHOT									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.00		35%		1.90		4.66
7	READY FOR CHANGE									(pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120						15.00						37.83
9	MAYBE I WILL									(morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 120						20.00						13.33
8	QUOTABELLE									(sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 118						20.00						53.06
SCR	ALBERTA SUN									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120						15.00
SCR	HAZY COMMAND									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00

CD-9			11/10/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CHARLEE MAE									(mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119						6.00		24%		3.20		8.96	W
6	GRAY VIXEN									(ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						10.00						14.44
7	LADAN									(bogle fergus)CASTANON L 119						15.00						20.69
8	MOR HAPPY HOURS									(vance r)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						62.42
3	KING'S MISTRESS									(ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		★				8.13
2	NURSEKRINGLEDANCES									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						1.60		35%		1.80		1.38
10	PERFECTLY GOLDEN									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00						6.78
9	OUR LILY ROBIN									(combs bentley)RIQUELME J 119						20.00		★				67.88
1	LADY OCEAN									(delgado gus)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						8.00						12.64
4	CRAZY FACE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00		19%		4.30		3.14



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.