Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED KNOBS 2 5 43 42 21 11½ 15¼ (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.60 53% 0.90 0.73 W
5  MUGSY MALONE 4 1 21½ 2½ 11 21½ 25¼ (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★ 4.35 P
4  TEST PILOT 3 3 11½ 1½ 31½ 34 35½ (padilla tim)COURT K 120 6.00 15% 5.70 9.35 S
2  TOTALIZER 1 4 32½ 31½ 44 45½ 46 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 ★ 2.05  
6  READY PURSUIT 5 2 55 53½ 59 518½ 531¼ (antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00 ★ 36.68  
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
 
CD-2   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:214 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MS HAYLEY 5 3 53¼ 2nk   12½ 16½ (hiles rick)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 52% 0.90 3.44 W
9  ESSER FUND 8 9 914¾ 810¼   58½ 26½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 15.00 ★ 9.42 P
3  LADY ENVOY 2 7 66¾ 54¼   35½ 36½ (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 6% 16.60 8.53 S
8  SMOOTH LIKE ICE 7 2 2nk 1nk   22½ 410½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 2.55  
5  CANARY NATION 4 8 88¼ 77¼   69½ 516¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 3.74  
7  TWELVE SHARP 6 5 43 4¼   47 617¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 12.68  
11  PRANA 9 6 76¾ 65¼   812½ 722¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 10.00 11.15  
12  SHE HAS THE LOOK 10 1 1nk 3.2   710 825¾ (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 11.57  
4  RALLYING HEART 3 10 1030¾ 940¼   947½ 951¾ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 57.29  
1  BOGEY FREE 1 4 32½ 10100   10100 10100 (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 22.69  
SCR  ANN KOR               (waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  GLO GIRL GLO               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
SCR  LILY'S HOME               (elliott)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  LUCKSME               (diodoro robe)JORDAN R 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  MO'S ROYAL FLUSH               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  ONTOTHENEXT               (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
CD-3   11/10/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:133 1:383   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEET LADY IVANKA 5 1 54 65½ 64½ 4¾ 12¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.17 W
8  PARTYLINE 7 7 76 77 75 51¾ 22¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.69 P
5  WHAT'S TO DO 4 6 65½ 55 53½ 2nk 33 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 ★ 6.66 S
2  SUNROOF 2 3 2½ 21½ 21½ 3½ 45¼ (santamaria carl)LANERIE J 121 3.50 ★ 3.87  
1  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 1 2 1½ 11½ 11½ 1nk 56¾ (king l)CASTANON L 124 20.00 24.90  
3  APPLE EVER AFTER 3 4 31½ 43½ 32 64¼ 67¾ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 11.71  
7  TIFFANY'S MO 6 5 43 33½ 42½ 75¾ 79 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.00 6% 14.70 4.75  
SCR  QUICK ROMANCE               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   11/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEUS EX MACHINA 1 5 1½ 1nk   13 15 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 8.76  
2  NORGAY 2 4 2½ 2nk   23 25 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 16% 5.30 3.16 P
10  BOURBON ON FIRE 10 2 65¼ 63½   36½ 35¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 ★ 2.30 S
4  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 4 6 88¾ 76   58 45¾ (capps a)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 10% 9.40 16.30  
8  SCRATCHOFF 8 3 42½ 42   48 510¼ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 14% 6.00 4.87  
5  CLIQUER 5 7 52¾ 52½   68½ 614½ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 12.93  
6  C J ALL THE WAY 6 1 3½ 31   79½ 715¾ (lovell mic)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 38% 1.70 3.54  
7  DIVISION STREET 7 10 913¾ 914   814½ 816 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 15.00 37.42  
9  STRICKLAND 9 9 1015¾ 1019   1017 917 (brennan terry)RIQUELME J 122 30.00 ######  
3  GRASSROOTS 3 8 76¼ 89½   915 1018¼ (shifflett ch)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00 77.61  
 
CD-5   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MEDWAY QUEEN 2 6 21½ 31½   12½ 12¾ (silva h)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 6.83  
8  SOCIAL MANDATE 8 9 32 21   22½ 22¾ (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 ★ 4.04 P
10  EXPECT THE BOSS 10 1 96¾ 66½   48 36¾ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 17% 4.80 27.72 S
4  ARLYNE'S CROWN 4 3 11½ 11   33 47½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 3.00 33% 2.00 1.39  
11  PONTIFFANY 11 2 74¼ 45½   59 514¼ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00 7.24  
7  KAIYAS SONG 7 12 109¾ 911   713 614¾ (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 30.00 85.44  
3  INSPEIGHTFUL 3 7 42½ 89½   914 716¼ (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 17.83  
5  COOL CAROL 5 8 54 55½   610½ 816¼ (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 10.37  
6  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER 6 4 1111¼ 1214   1115 916½ (jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 118 30.00 17.10  
9  DILMUNIA 9 11 1211¾ 1112½   1015 1017¼ (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 18.24  
1  MISS MARPLE 1 5 85¾ 1012   813½ 1117½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 21% 3.80 31.59  
12  SIS BOOM BOB 12 10 64 77   1218 1228¾ (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 6% 16.60 44.16  
 
CD-6   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:22 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNIFYING 8 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 11¾ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 9% 10.30 1.45 W
1  SECRET STATEMENT 1 8 73½ 52¼   42 21¾ (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5.94  
2  BE HERE NOW 2 6 2nk 2nk   2½ 32¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 10.00 16.49  
5  RING TWICE 5 7 63 4¾   31 43¾ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★ 11.09  
3  TITLED LADY 3 9 84½ 62¾   64½ 57 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 16.31  
7  HAPPYSECRET 7 2 52½ 83¼   76 68½ (wohlers lau)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 44% 1.30 8.24  
6  TAMARA'S WAY 6 5 97 95¾   88 711 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 25% 3.00 8.56  
4  SIRIUS LIGHT 4 3 41½ 3½   54 813 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 ★ 3.56  
10  FOR THE BISCUIT 9 1 3½ 72¾   911 921 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 31.42  
SCR  SAVAGE DARLING               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THOUGHT 8 6 43 33 31½ 2nk 1½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 18% 4.60 1.73 W
7  TRIGGER HAPPY 7 5 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 23% 3.30 4.16 P
6  MOON DOG 6 4 67½ 56½ 54 32 32 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 16% 5.10 2.99 S
5  MILITARY FORCE 5 9 713 79 43 54½ 47¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 12.00 20.86  
4  MUNDO MIX 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 43½ 510¼ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00 17.16  
1  OFFICIAL BUSINESS 1 3 54½ 67 68½ 614½ 619½ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 9.18  
9  MARK THE MOOSE 9 7 32½ 45 710½ 718½ 729½ (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8% 11.20 13.53  
2  COMMANDER COMPTON 2 2 921 927½ 828½ 833½ 870¾ (kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 118 10.00 33.96  
3  HORSE DADDY 3 8 814 812½ 933½ 9100 9100 (ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 7% 13.80 8.45  
 
CD-8   11/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARI OAKLEY 4 1 11½ 1½   11½ 1½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 7% 14.10 2.85 W
12  PERFECT HAPPINESS 10 8 63½ 42½   32 2½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 10.63  
6  MISS T TOO 6 3 21½ 2½   21½ 31¾ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 5% 18.00 3.99 S
2  MINUTE WALTZ 2 2 31½ 53½   53½ 42 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 4.13  
1  LADY GOLDSTART 1 4 53 65   65 52¼ (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.18  
5  AVA'S GRACE 5 5 42½ 32   43½ 62¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50 27% 2.60 9.86  
3  ALTERED SHOT 3 6 75 78   77 75¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 35% 1.90 4.66  
7  READY FOR CHANGE 7 9 98¼ 810½   89½ 87¾ (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 37.83  
9  MAYBE I WILL 9 10 108¾ 910½   910½ 99½ (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00 13.33  
8  QUOTABELLE 8 7 85¼ 1012   1015½ 1020¾ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 53.06  
SCR  ALBERTA SUN               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
SCR  HAZY COMMAND               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHARLEE MAE 5 2 2½ 13½   16 17¾ (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 24% 3.20 8.96 W
6  GRAY VIXEN 6 9 87¾ 511½   510 27¾ (ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 14.44  
7  LADAN 7 1 34 36½   26 38¼ (bogle fergus)CASTANON L 119 15.00 20.69  
8  MOR HAPPY HOURS 8 4 46 49   37½ 48¾ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 62.42  
3  KING'S MISTRESS 3 5 77½ 714   713½ 511¼ (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 8.13  
2  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 2 6 56 612   612 611¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 1.60 35% 1.80 1.38  
10  PERFECTLY GOLDEN 10 8 99¼ 915½   917 716¼ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 6.78  
9  OUR LILY ROBIN 9 3 109¼ 1018½   1019½ 816¼ (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 ★ 67.88  
1  LADY OCEAN 1 7 1½ 23½   48½ 916¼ (delgado gus)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 12.64  
4  CRAZY FACE 4 10 67 814   816½ 1020½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.14  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.