The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 06, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   11/06/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:00
:251 :492 1:143 1:412   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FABULOSITY 3 1 11½ 12½ 13 16½ 15¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 ★ 2.50  
6  PEACEFUL MOMENT 5 2 21½ 34 36 26½ 25¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 ★ 2.67 P
4  SPUNK 4 3 32 22½ 23 39½ 313¼ (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 ★ 1.25 S
1  QUEEN TAPITURE 1 4 53½ 56½ 49½ 412 416¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 33% 2.00 5.70  
7  YOU'RE A DANDY 6 6 65 68½ 510½ 515 523½ (jazdzewski jon)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 22.78  
2  GAMBI 2 5 43 46½ 614½ 621 634 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 46.37  
SCR  JOB'S NOT FINISHED               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
CD-2   11/06/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:231 :462 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 2 22½ 2½   13 13¼ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00 ★ 4.05  
4  A GIRL LIKE ME 3 6 56 43   33½ 23¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 2.99  
2  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 1 12½ 1½   23 35 (abreu r)LANERIE J 118 1.60 53% 0.90 0.72 S
6  AIDANIKE 5 3 33½ 32½   45½ 47¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 ★ 9.58  
5  PRINCESSTAPITURE 4 5 66½ 67   611½ 518¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 20.02  
1  LA TOURISTA 1 4 45½ 57   510½ 619¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 22.18  
SCR  MAGICAL PEAPOD               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
 
CD-3   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:212 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TUMBARUMBA 5 1 1½ 1½   11 1nk (lynch a)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 4.15  
1  BABY BILLY 1 4 31 33   21 2nk (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.37 P
6  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 6 7 85 69½   49 313¼ (davis christopher)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 ★ 4.45 S
2  JOEY FRESHWATER 2 5 2½ 2½   34 415½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 19.66  
3  ITWASTHISBIG 3 3 63½ 812½   813 520 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 15.60  
8  IRISH ACES 8 6 42 46½   510 620½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 30% 2.30 5.17  
4  BLANTON 4 8 74½ 710½   612½ 721¼ (ortiz alexander)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 30.18  
7  SMART PRIZE 7 2 52 58½   712½ 822¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 18% 4.70 8.01  
 
CD-4   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:221 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOUCH CODE 4 2 1nk 2½   1nk 11½ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 11% 7.90 10.48 W
4  CYCLONE 2 5 34 33   31½ 21½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 28% 2.50 0.37 P
7  ALLO ENRY 5 1 2nk 1½   2nk 34 (deville j)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 3.88  
8  WORKINFROMHOME 6 3 510½ 413   413½ 414 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 19.75  
2  ISLAND MISCHIEF 1 6 614½ 619½   521½ 522¾ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 11.81  
5  MUD PUDDLE 3 4 47 516½   622½ 624¾ (brumley s)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00 13.81  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)COURT K 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  VERITABLE               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
 
CD-5   11/06/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:234 :481 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULBERRY STREET 1 6 44½ 32½ 11 14½ 15¾ (humphries thomas)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 18% 4.60 1.98 W
4  FATHER PATRICK 4 7 79½ 87½ 74¼ 46 25¾ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 13.67  
9  KISS PRINCIPAL 9 5 66½ 64½ 63¼ 56¼ 35¾ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 8.00 5.88  
8  JACKS FIRE BALLS 8 3 55½ 53½ 41½ 34½ 47 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.27  
7  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 7 9 810½ 75 31 24½ 57¼ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00 ★ 29.98  
2  KING OF STING 2 1 2nk 11 51¾ 710¾ 617 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.45  
5  STORM'S REFLECTION 5 2 32 43 21 67¼ 717¾ (padilla tim)COURT K 123 6.00 5.73  
3  T J MUNNINGS 3 8 913 911 816¼ 825¾ 844 (bogle fergus)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 8% 12.10 20.25  
6  PRESTONSBIRD 6 4 1nk 21 920¼ 933¾ 961 (richardson tim)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 45.70  
 
CD-6   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
:224 :453 1:11 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ONE TIME MO 2 5 77¾ 77 54 41½ 11 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 2.50 20% 3.90 2.13 W
8  SHADY ROAD 8 7 32 42½ 2nk 1½ 21 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.00 25% 2.90 6.48 P
5  ANKYRAH 5 2 55 32 43 52 33 (morey e)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.41 S
4  MAGICAL ACT 4 1 2nk 11½ 3½ 2½ 43¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 28% 2.50 1.33  
1  LADY COMMANDER 1 6 67½ 65½ 66 64½ 58½ (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00 15.05  
6  MARKSWOMAN 6 4 1nk 21½ 1nk 31 69½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 5.06  
7  MIDNIGHT TANGO 7 3 44 54½ 76¼ 76½ 713¼ (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 43.51  
3  KEEN CONTENDER 3 8 812¾ 814 814¼ 810½ 814¼ (anderson l)JORDAN R 121 15.00 ★ 61.00  
 
CD-7   11/06/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:224 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PORTILLA 5 2 31½ 3½   1½ 12½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 20% 4.00 1.30 W
8  SHE'S ALL CLASS 6 1 2½ 1½   2½ 22½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 15% 5.60 4.44 P
2  CODE FOR SUCCESS 2 6 54 43   44 34¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9.26  
1  FAST AND FLIRTY 1 5 43 56   56½ 45¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.36  
3  CANCEL THIS 3 3 1½ 2½   32½ 56 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 3.39  
4  IN MY OPINION 4 4 64½ 66½   68½ 612¼ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 8% 11.90 23.70  
SCR  AMERICAN PYRAMID               (catalano m)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  SEND FOR ME               (thomas jonathan)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-8   11/06/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:23 :46 1:102     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHARLIE'S PENNY 2 2 42½ 42   2½ 11½ (block chris)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.20 W
4  LOVEMESOMEME 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 21½ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 14% 6.20 2.40 P
5  SARAH HARPER 5 6 3½ 3½   33 39½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★ 2.85 S
3  BE LIKE WATER 3 3 54½ 53½   45½ 410¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 7.58  
6  RECODED 6 1 2nk 2½   56½ 511¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 ★ 30.28  
1  LOFTHOUSE 1 5 65½ 63¾   68 616 (greenhill jeff)LANERIE J 120 8.00 16.62  
SCR  AMUSING ANTICS               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 ★    
 
CD-9   11/06/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:233 :48 1:124 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOCTOR NASH 4 1 21½ 21 21 1½ 11¼ (tomlinson a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 8.03  
1  TWO BIRDS 1 3 11½ 11 11 2½ 21¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00 6.71  
10  EXTRAVAGATE 10 6 75 76¼ 74¾ 53½ 32¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 30% 2.40 3.37 S
7  FREEZE POP 7 2 42½ 42½ 42½ 33 45 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 5% 17.60 8.78  
6  COOL RAGS 6 8 65 64¾ 84¾ 64½ 56 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 5% 19.00 9.74  
9  COUSIN LARRY 9 10 96½ 96½ 53 43 67 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.00 11% 8.40 5.74  
5  KEEPCALMCARRYON 5 9 106¾ 107½ 107¼ 710½ 79¾ (margolis r)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 10.08  
8  DECLARE THE MOON 8 7 85½ 86¼ 96¾ 811 813½ (hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15.71  
2  EL AHIJADO 2 4 32 32½ 64½ 1017½ 924 (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 50.00 64.96  
3  MIACOMET 3 5 53½ 54½ 32½ 914½ 1027¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.80 3.26  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.