Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:143 1:412   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOSITY 3 1 1 1 13 1 1 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 2.50  
PEACEFUL MOMENT 5 2 2 34 36 2 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 2.67 P
SPUNK 4 3 32 2 23 3 313¼ (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 1.25 S
QUEEN TAPITURE 1 4 5 5 4 412 416¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 33% 2.00 5.70  
YOU'RE A DANDY 6 6 65 6 510½ 515 523½ (jazdzewski jon)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 22.78  
GAMBI 2 5 43 4 614½ 621 634 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 46.37  
SCR  JOB'S NOT FINISHED               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
CD-2   11/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 2 2 2½   13 1 (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00 4.05  
A GIRL LIKE ME 3 6 56 43   3 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 2.99  
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 1 1 1½   23 35 (abreu r)LANERIE J 118 1.60 53% 0.90 0.72 S
AIDANIKE 5 3 3 3   4 4 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 9.58  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 4 5 6 67   611½ 518¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 20.02  
LA TOURISTA 1 4 4 57   510½ 619¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 22.18  
SCR  MAGICAL PEAPOD               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
 
CD-3   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:212 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMBARUMBA 5 1 1½ 1½   11 1nk (lynch brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 4.15  
BABY BILLY 1 4 31 33   21 2nk (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.37 P
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 6 7 85 6   49 313¼ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 4.45 S
JOEY FRESHWATER 2 5 2½ 2½   34 415½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 19.66  
ITWASTHISBIG 3 3 6 812½   813 520 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 15.60  
IRISH ACES 8 6 42 4   510 620½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 30% 2.30 5.17  
BLANTON 4 8 7 710½   612½ 721¼ (ortiz a)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 30.18  
SMART PRIZE 7 2 52 5   712½ 822¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 18% 4.70 8.01  
 
CD-4   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH CODE 4 2 1nk 2½   1nk 1 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 11% 7.90 10.48 W
CYCLONE 2 5 34 33   3 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 28% 2.50 0.37 P
ALLO ENRY 5 1 2nk 1½   2nk 34 (deville j)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 3.88  
WORKINFROMHOME 6 3 510½ 413   413½ 414 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 19.75  
ISLAND MISCHIEF 1 6 614½ 619½   521½ 522¾ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 11.81  
MUD PUDDLE 3 4 47 516½   622½ 624¾ (brumley william )ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00 13.81  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)COURT K 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  VERITABLE               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
 
CD-5   11/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULBERRY STREET 1 6 4 3 11 1 1 (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 18% 4.60 1.98 W
FATHER PATRICK 4 7 7 8 7 46 2 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 13.67  
KISS PRINCIPAL 9 5 6 6 6 5 3 (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 8.00 5.88  
JACKS FIRE BALLS 8 3 5 5 4 3 47 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.27  
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 7 9 810½ 75 31 2 5 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00 29.98  
KING OF STING 2 1 2nk 11 5 710¾ 617 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 31% 2.20 3.45  
STORM'S REFLECTION 5 2 32 43 21 6 717¾ (padilla tim)COURT K 123 6.00 5.73  
T J MUNNINGS 3 8 913 911 816¼ 825¾ 844 (bogle fergus)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 8% 12.10 20.25  
PRESTONSBIRD 6 4 1nk 21 920¼ 933¾ 961 (richardson tim)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 45.70  
 
CD-6   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:11 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIME MO 2 5 7 77 54 4 11 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 2.50 20% 3.90 2.13 W
SHADY ROAD 8 7 32 4 2nk 1½ 21 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.00 25% 2.90 6.48 P
ANKYRAH 5 2 55 32 43 52 33 (morey willi)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.41 S
MAGICAL ACT 4 1 2nk 1 3½ 2½ 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 28% 2.50 1.33  
LADY COMMANDER 1 6 6 6 66 6 5 (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00 15.05  
MARKSWOMAN 6 4 1nk 2 1nk 31 6 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 5.06  
MIDNIGHT TANGO 7 3 44 5 7 7 713¼ (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 43.51  
KEEN CONTENDER 3 8 812¾ 814 814¼ 810½ 814¼ (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 15.00 61.00  
 
CD-7   11/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTILLA 5 2 3 3½   1½ 1 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 20% 4.00 1.30 W
SHE'S ALL CLASS 6 1 2½ 1½   2½ 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 15% 5.60 4.44 P
CODE FOR SUCCESS 2 6 54 43   44 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9.26  
FAST AND FLIRTY 1 5 43 56   5 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.36  
CANCEL THIS 3 3 1½ 2½   3 56 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 3.39  
IN MY OPINION 4 4 6 6   6 612¼ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 8% 11.90 23.70  
SCR  AMERICAN PYRAMID               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  SEND FOR ME               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-8   11/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S PENNY 2 2 4 42   2½ 1 (block chris)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.20 W
LOVEMESOMEME 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 2 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 14% 6.20 2.40 P
SARAH HARPER 5 6 3½ 3½   33 3 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 2.85 S
BE LIKE WATER 3 3 5 5   4 410¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 7.58  
RECODED 6 1 2nk 2½   5 511¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 30.28  
LOFTHOUSE 1 5 6 6   68 616 (greenhill jeff)LANERIE J 120 8.00 16.62  
SCR  AMUSING ANTICS               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/06/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:124 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR NASH 4 1 2 21 21 1½ 1 (tomlinson m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 8.03  
TWO BIRDS 1 3 1 11 11 2½ 2 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00 6.71  
10  EXTRAVAGATE 10 6 75 7 7 5 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 30% 2.40 3.37 S
FREEZE POP 7 2 4 4 4 33 45 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 5% 17.60 8.78  
COOL RAGS 6 8 65 6 8 6 56 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 5% 19.00 9.74  
COUSIN LARRY 9 10 9 9 53 43 67 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.00 11% 8.40 5.74  
KEEPCALMCARRYON 5 9 10 10 10 710½ 7 (margolis r)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 10.08  
DECLARE THE MOON 8 7 8 8 9 811 813½ (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15.71  
EL AHIJADO 2 4 32 3 6 1017½ 924 (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 50.00 64.96  
MIACOMET 3 5 5 5 3 914½ 1027¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.80 3.26  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.