Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
 
The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT A COUNTRY   (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.00 29% 2.40 1.41 W
5  MOTAGALLY   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 19% 4.30 3.85 P
1  CELERITY   (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 111 5.00 8.37  
4  MAKE NOISE   (van t)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 2.50 15% 5.70 1.62  
7  SUBDUED   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 11% 7.90 10.99  
3  BOLD ADVENTURE   (peterson annet)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 46.76  
SCR  KING CAIRO   (alvarado diane)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 ★    
 
CD-2   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN   (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 1.66  
2  ZMUDA   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00 4.24 P
6  WHY BEHAVE   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.43 S
8  FOREVER HOME   (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50 ★ 3.23  
7  SUPORB   (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 56.68  
3  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI   (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 13.75  
1  LUCKY LAUREN   (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 7% 12.70 28.85  
SCR  DANCE ON OVER   (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 15% 5.70    
 
CD-3   11/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUMMER SPLASH   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 11% 8.40 1.30 W
1  COST BASIS   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 19% 4.40 1.95 P
5  BELFAST BOY   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 10.00 7.60  
2  THAT KHENNY   (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 21% 3.80 3.27  
3  BOLDISH   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 10.08  
SCR  AIN'T WASTING TIME   (alvarado diane)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS   (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
CD-4   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG BAD DIVA   (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 20% 4.00 2.97 W
4  GIANNA'S GIFT   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 5.00 ★ 2.54 P
2  TILTINGATWINDMILLS   (gerteisen adam)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 46% 1.20 9.79 S
7  GOOD PENNY   (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.50 ★ 4.19  
3  XTREMA   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 ★ 9.48  
6  WATERS OF MEROM   (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 14.58  
1  ENCHANTED NILE   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.26  
 
CD-5   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRITAIN'S KITTEN   (williamso)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 ★ 4.20  
3  SLIM MAN   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 44% 1.30 2.61 P
4  IGNITIS   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.58  
1  BUTTON BOY   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 ★ 2.19  
2  AMERICAN ICON   (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 29% 2.40 7.97  
5  ARABIAN PRINCE   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★ 9.85  
6  SCHMOOZIN   (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 12.33  
 
CD-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GOLDBLOODED   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 ★ 3.37  
8  BLAME DAY   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 7.08  
2  VALIANT PRAISE   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 3.50 35% 1.80 1.99 S
5  GRAPES FOR ELOISE   (de cruz)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.41  
3  INDIAN IRISH   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 ★ 7.63  
1  SINGING EMMA   (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 8.49  
4  ALL THE ENVY   (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 ★ 34.64  
9  ENGLISH CHARM   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 36.51  
6  STORY CHANNEL   (pinzon maria)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 41.05  
SCR  LADY BARON   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
CD-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUMAYAZ   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 ★ 6.63  
1  CEES GET DEGREES   (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 65% 0.50 2.31 P
4  MORNING CUP   (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 11.15  
5  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 ★ 1.96  
3  COLD AS HELL   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★ 2.77  
2  SPEND BENJAMINS   (gonzalez reina )COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 19.09  
7  B D VALESKI   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★ 21.08  
 
CD-8   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DAZZLING BLUE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 24% 3.20 0.74 W
7  WORK OF FICTION   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 46.23  
2  MOMENT TO SHINE   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 ★ 4.03 S
8  FLYIN BESSIE   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 49% 1.00 4.12  
6  DAGMAR   (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 64.52  
10  CECILE (IRE)   (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 ★ 37.52  
4  COLLECTED GLORY   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 14.93  
1  CORNER KICK   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 9.78  
5  JU JU VIP   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 37.48  
SCR  AUNT MISCHIEF   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRAVERSE   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 19% 4.30 11.35 W
1  CUSTOMER DRIVEN   (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 15% 5.70 1.77 P
6  SUNNY ISLE BEACH   (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 ★ 8.42 S
7  BRAGANZA   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 6% 15.30 3.39  
4  PISTOL   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 9.99  
2  CASA DE GOAT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 31% 2.30 3.34  
5  ROMANCE NOVEL   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 7.64  
 
CD-10   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RECKER POINT   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 21% 3.80 2.48 W
6  WINTERS LION   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20 3.00 P
8  ACCIDENT   (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7.89  
7  HUNTER'S DRIVE   (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 18.30 6.00  
4  EIGHT STRAIGHT   (mcpeek ken)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 11.78  
10  PERFECT UPSTART   (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 13.45  
5  DR. HYDE   (stall m)ROCCO S 119 12.00 30.69  
1  RISKY CHOICE   (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 58.63  
11  KLIMTOMANIAC   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 26.46  
3  MOTOWN COLLECTION   (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00 19% 4.20 10.77  
2  RANSEUR   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 8.67  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.