The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:232 :462 1:112 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT A COUNTRY 2 1 41½ 43 32 1½ 11¾ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.00 29% 2.40 1.41 W
5  MOTAGALLY 5 2 2nk 11 11½ 2½ 21¾ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 19% 4.30 3.85 P
1  CELERITY 1 4 67 68½ 66½ 45 33¾ (cundiff waylon)CANNON DECLAN 111 5.00 8.37  
4  MAKE NOISE 4 6 3½ 32 21½ 33 45 (van thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 2.50 15% 5.70 1.62  
7  SUBDUED 6 3 1nk 21 45 57½ 515½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 11% 7.90 10.99  
3  BOLD ADVENTURE 3 5 54 56 56 69 615½ (peterson annette)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 46.76  
SCR  KING CAIRO               (alvarado diane)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 ★    
 
CD-2   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:214 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN 4 2 1½ 11½   13 14¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 1.66  
2  ZMUDA 2 1 31½ 43   43¼ 24¾ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00 4.24 P
6  WHY BEHAVE 5 4 42 21½   33 36¼ (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.43 S
8  FOREVER HOME 7 6 74½ 32   23 49¼ (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50 ★ 3.23  
7  SUPORB 6 5 2½ 55½   57¼ 513¼ (edwards william)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 56.68  
3  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 3 3 64 78   68¾ 614½ (mckeever andrew)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 13.75  
1  LUCKY LAUREN 1 7 54 68   711¾ 726½ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 7% 12.70 28.85  
SCR  DANCE ON OVER               (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 15% 5.70    
 
CD-3   11/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:233 :464 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUMMER SPLASH 5 2 21 2nk   13 14½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 11% 8.40 1.30 W
1  COST BASIS 1 4 31½ 31   34 24½ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 19% 4.40 1.95 P
5  BELFAST BOY 4 3 43 52½   44 34¾ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 120 10.00 7.60  
2  THAT KHENNY 2 1 11 1nk   23 45¾ (becker scott)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 21% 3.80 3.27  
3  BOLDISH 3 5 54 41½   57½ 510¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 10.08  
SCR  AIN'T WASTING TIME               (alvarado diane)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS               (cano munoz)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
CD-4   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:23 :46 1:104 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG BAD DIVA 5 7 43 42 42½ 21½ 11¼ (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 20% 4.00 2.97 W
4  GIANNA'S GIFT 4 1 1nk 1½ 12 11½ 21¼ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 ★ 2.54 P
2  TILTINGATWINDMILLS 2 6 75¼ 75¾ 64¾ 63¾ 33½ (gerteisen adam)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 46% 1.20 9.79 S
7  GOOD PENNY 7 4 53¼ 63¾ 52¾ 33½ 43½ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.50 ★ 4.19  
3  XTREMA 3 5 63¾ 53½ 76¼ 74¼ 54¾ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 ★ 9.48  
6  WATERS OF MEROM 6 3 3½ 32 32 43½ 65 (vasquez sr)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 14.58  
1  ENCHANTED NILE 1 2 2nk 2½ 22 53¾ 78½ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.26  
 
CD-5   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:23 :452 1:101 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 7 7 43 41¾ 3.2 12 15¾ (williamson brian)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 ★ 4.20  
3  SLIM MAN 3 3 54 52¼ 4¾ 32½ 25¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 44% 1.30 2.61 P
4  IGNITIS 4 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 22 38 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.58  
1  BUTTON BOY 1 5 75½ 74¾ 74¼ 65½ 49 (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 ★ 2.19  
2  AMERICAN ICON 2 4 65 63¾ 62¼ 55½ 59 (vasquez sr)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 29% 2.40 7.97  
5  ARABIAN PRINCE 5 2 32 31½ 52¼ 44 69¼ (stewart dallas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★ 9.85  
6  SCHMOOZIN 6 6 1nk 2nk 2nk 76½ 734½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 12.33  
 
CD-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 3:31
:22 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GOLDBLOODED 9 1 31½ 2nk   12½ 13½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 ★ 3.37  
8  BLAME DAY 7 8 66½ 45   53½ 23½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 7.08  
2  VALIANT PRAISE 2 5 54½ 55½   33 34 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 3.50 35% 1.80 1.99 S
5  GRAPES FOR ELOISE 5 6 42 32½   43½ 46 (de cruz)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.41  
3  INDIAN IRISH 3 3 11 1nk   22½ 56½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 ★ 7.63  
1  SINGING EMMA 1 9 88½ 712½   610½ 613½ (stall m)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 8.49  
4  ALL THE ENVY 4 2 21 69½   711½ 720¼ (catalano m)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 ★ 34.64  
9  ENGLISH CHARM 8 7 910½ 915¾   814 821 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 36.51  
6  STORY CHANNEL 6 4 76½ 815½   917 931¼ (pinzon maria)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 41.05  
SCR  LADY BARON               (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
CD-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:223 :451 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUMAYAZ 6 4 44 42½   3½ 1nk (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 ★ 6.63  
1  CEES GET DEGREES 1 2 32 31½   1nk 2nk (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 65% 0.50 2.31 P
4  MORNING CUP 4 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 33 (stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 11.15  
5  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 5 6 55 54   53¾ 43¼ (asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 ★ 1.96  
3  COLD AS HELL 3 1 1½ 1nk   4¾ 55 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★ 2.77  
2  SPEND BENJAMINS 2 7 65 65½   67¼ 610¾ (gonzalez e)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 19.09  
7  B D VALESKI 7 5 710 79   710¾ 719¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★ 21.08  
 
CD-8   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:33
:214 :454 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DAZZLING BLUE 8 3 11 11½   12 14½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 24% 3.20 0.74 W
7  WORK OF FICTION 6 1 21 31½   22 24½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 46.23  
2  MOMENT TO SHINE 2 5 42 54½   43½ 36¼ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 ★ 4.03 S
8  FLYIN BESSIE 7 8 74¼ 43   33½ 46¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 49% 1.00 4.12  
6  DAGMAR 5 2 62¼ 66½   65½ 511¾ (catalano m)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 64.52  
10  CECILE 9 6 32 21½   54 613 (schultz lindsay)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 ★ 37.52  
4  COLLECTED GLORY 3 4 85¾ 88   77½ 715¼ (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 14.93  
1  CORNER KICK 1 9 96¾ 77½   89 819 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 9.78  
5  JU JU VIP 4 7 52¼ 99½   911½ 921¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 37.48  
SCR  AUNT MISCHIEF               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-9   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:223 :451 1:102 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRAVERSE 3 3 51¾ 52¼ 31 1½ 12 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 19% 4.30 11.35 W
1  CUSTOMER DRIVEN 1 4 62¼ 31 41¼ 2½ 22 (arnold r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 15% 5.70 1.77 P
6  SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 6 75¼ 75¾ 52¼ 32 32¼ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 ★ 8.42 S
7  BRAGANZA 7 7 31 41¼ 2nk 43 47 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 6% 15.30 3.39  
4  PISTOL 4 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 53 57¾ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 9.99  
2  CASA DE GOAT 2 1 1nk 1nk 63¼ 66½ 615½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 31% 2.30 3.34  
5  ROMANCE NOVEL 5 5 41¼ 63¼ 75¾ 713½ 727½ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 7.64  
 
CD-10   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
:241 :49 1:144 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RECKER POINT 9 6 64 63½ 41½ 12 13½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 21% 3.80 2.48 W
6  WINTERS LION 6 5 42½ 32 2½ 22 23½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20 3.00 P
8  ACCIDENT 8 11 107 117¼ 73 32½ 33½ (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7.89  
7  HUNTER'S DRIVE 7 7 74½ 73¾ 62 65 47¾ (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 18.30 6.00  
4  EIGHT STRAIGHT 4 1 21 21 1½ 43½ 58½ (mcpeek g)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 11.78  
10  PERFECT UPSTART 10 9 96½ 96¼ 117¾ 77½ 611¾ (medina robert)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 13.45  
5  DR. HYDE 5 8 85½ 85¼ 51½ 55 715 (stall m)ROCCO S 119 12.00 30.69  
1  RISKY CHOICE 1 2 32 52½ 84½ 810 815¾ (spicer t)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 58.63  
11  KLIMTOMANIAC 11 10 118½ 106¼ 107½ 912½ 918 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 26.46  
3  MOTOWN COLLECTION 3 3 53½ 42½ 96½ 1017½ 1028½ (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00 19% 4.20 10.77  
2  RANSEUR 2 4 11 11 31 1124½ 1145¾ (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 8.67  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.