The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 20, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   11/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:233 :47 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COACH JER'S JOY 2 5 31½ 31 2½ 12 11 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 32% 2.10 0.86 W
5  MOHAYLADY 5 1 41½ 52¼ 32½ 22 21 (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 4.00 5.48  
7  SOUTHERN SKY 6 6 65½ 64¼ 56½ 45 34¾ (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00 14.15  
3  NANA'S GRAY 3 4 52½ 41¼ 45 56 49¼ (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 4.00 19% 4.30 4.20  
4  NOSTALGIA 4 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 33 514 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 ★ 3.37  
1  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL 1 3 1½ 1nk 68½ 612½ 623¾ (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00 7% 12.50 26.65  
SCR  UNDECODED               (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
CD-2   11/20/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:30
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LADY OCEAN 7 7 1nk 11   2nk 1¼ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8.39  
8  MIDSUMMER SOIREE 8 8 31 21   1nk 2¼ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.50 17% 5.00 1.31 P
6  THREE SPORT COATS 6 6 2nk 33½   31½ 32½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 11.57  
5  ICY STARE 5 1 42 43½   41¾ 42¾ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 12% 7.30 9.83  
4  SMOOTH LIKE ICE 4 4 52¼ 55   54¼ 55¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 ★ 14.22  
1  TIMELY SECRET 1 2 64¼ 67½   65¾ 66½ (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 6.00 28.19  
3  PROUD PERFORMER 3 5 85¼ 77¾   76¾ 79¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 43% 1.30 2.36  
2  WILD ROSEY 2 3 74¼ 89¾   89¾ 814 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 ★ 8.53  
 
CD-3   11/20/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:231 :46 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TAKE THE CHARGE 3 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 1½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 6.00 ★ 5.57  
5  OVERLY D'ORO 4 1 31½ 3½   1½ 2½ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00 ★ 13.48 P
3  BACK BEAT 2 5 42½ 53½   53 32¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 1.98 S
7  STEELE MONEY 6 3 53 41½   42½ 43¾ (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 10.77  
6  I'M WIDE AWAKE 5 2 1nk 1nk   31 55 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 120 3.50 2.23  
2  SPECIAL OPERATOR 1 6 66½ 64½   63 66 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
SCR  BIG BEEMSTER               (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
 
CD-4   11/20/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:23 :462 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY 6 1 21 2nk   11 11 (martinez r)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 12.78  
3  PEYTON'S COLLEGE 3 7 63¾ 41¾   32½ 21 (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 22% 3.50 1.85 P
8  LOLLYGAG 8 3 42 3.2   21 32 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 41% 1.40 3.03 S
1  BIDOFHONEY 1 6 53½ 64¼   66½ 46¾ (catalano m)MCKEE J 122 5.00 7% 14.30 4.70  
7  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 7 9 75¼ 51¾   56½ 56¾ (taylor brent)COURT K 122 10.00 10.73  
4  UNDERCOVER LADY 4 4 11 1nk   44½ 68 (shirer a)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 6.30  
2  GIN N SIN 2 2 32 74½   79 711½ (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 7% 14.20 8.02  
5  LIL RED CLOUD 5 8 96¾ 87   811½ 814½ (forston roy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00 45.76  
9  PACIFIC GROVE 9 5 85¼ 97   914½ 918½ (gonzalez alejandro)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00 ★ 83.66  
 
CD-5   11/20/2022 6600ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:241 :482 1:124 1:372   2:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MUSIC STREET 4 41 52½ 53 31½ 12 14 (beckman whitworth)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 4.11  
1  INVENTING 1 2½ 21½ 2½ 2½ 33 24 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 37% 1.70 0.82 P
3  HIGH FASHION 3 31 42½ 41½ 41½ 44½ 34½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 ★ 5.97 S
5  SHE'S KEEN 5 1½ 11½ 1½ 1½ 22 46¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 4.70  
2  TAKE CARE 2 52½ 32 31½ 52 510 520¼ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 16% 5.50 5.68  
SCR  PARK ON THE NILE               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  UNDER ONE SKY               (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 ★    
 
CD-6   11/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 3:31
:223 :453 1:102 1:232   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TAXED 7 5 11½ 11 12½ 12 12¾ (shirer a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 7% 13.00 2.78 W
3  AMBER CASCADE 3 2 32 32½ 32½ 22 22¾ (devaux cherie)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 10.06  
11  PSYCHEDELIC 9 7 75½ 68 714¼ 412 39½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 15.00 23.71  
6  LIGHTER KNOT 5 1 21½ 21 22½ 37½ 410½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★ 4.39  
10  INSPECTOR PENNY 8 8 912 810 614¼ 512½ 515¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 15.00 17.85  
2  LEXINGTON DIAMOND 2 3 54 56 514 613½ 616 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 25.54  
7  ELECTRIC SENSE 6 6 43 44 411 715½ 721¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 26% 2.80 4.77  
1  REVENUE TRAIN 1 4 64½ 78 821¼ 820½ 825¾ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 15% 5.50 1.89  
5  SPUNK 4 9 810 911½ 926¼ 928½ 941¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 114 30.00 44.96  
SCR  CERCHI               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JAYLA               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
SCR  KILMOREY               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:01
:242 :493 1:143 1:264   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SABALENKA 9 4 11 11 1½ 11½ 1¾ (beckman whitworth)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 16% 5.40 3.48 W
1  JET SETTING 1 3 42½ 32 41 31½ 2¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 18.10 9.24 P
4  SAFEEN 4 1 31½ 42 3½ 21½ 33 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 27% 2.70 1.67 S
5  CHA CHA TAP 5 9 95¾ 85¾ 64½ 54½ 43¾ (milosevic milan)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 24.32  
7  SOUTHLAWN 7 7 21 21 2½ 42½ 56½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 10.21  
6  UP TO SOMETHING 6 8 64 53½ 53 65 68½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 7.67  
3  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 3 5 52½ 63¾ 75 77½ 78¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 23% 3.40 3.04  
8  CHIQUITA MOSCA 8 6 84¼ 74¼ 87½ 89½ 811½ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 63.28  
2  MORIARTY 2 2 74¼ 97¾ 919½ 920½ 926½ (bogle fergus)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 92.22  
SCR  PEACOCK LASS               (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 9% 9.90    
 
CD-8   11/20/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:222 :452 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FIRE ON TIME 8 3 3½ 2nk   11½ 12¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 7% 13.90 9.03 W
3  HAZY COMMAND 3 9 83¼ 74   43½ 22¼ (mejia delacruz)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 22.00  
7  ZAINALARAB 6 4 51¼ 41¾   54 33½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.86 S
10  REPEALING 9 8 61¾ 51¾   32½ 44¼ (stall m)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 12% 7.00 3.35 DH
8  ALTERED SHOT 7 1 2nk 1nk   21½ 44¼ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 11.12 DH
2  FLATTER ME SILLY 2 12 128½ 106   75½ 65¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 10.00 10.87  
4  ROOKERY 4 11 95¾ 116½   86½ 77¾ (catalano m)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 62.56  
5  MAGIC QUEST 5 2 1nk 3.2   64½ 89¾ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.18  
12  BOMBDIGGITY 11 7 106 96   97½ 910 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 23.79  
1  ANGITUDE 1 5 41 63¾   108½ 1010¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 47% 1.10 2.98  
11  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE 10 6 73¼ 84½   119 1111¼ (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13.71  
14  COMPELLING SMILE 12 10 117 127   1212½ 1215¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00 51.87  
SCR  EDGEE ANGEL               (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
SCR  GUANA CAY               (contreras cipriano)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/20/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:214 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOP GUN GIRL 4 1 1nk 12   12½ 13¼ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 61% 0.60 1.13 W
5  KANT BELIEVE IT 5 2 2nk 22   22½ 23¼ (divito p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 ★ 2.21 P
3  COMEDY ACT 3 4 42½ 32   32½ 35¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 8% 11.90 5.24 S
1  BACKYARD MONEY 1 3 31½ 44   44 45¾ (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 4.00 ★ 4.33  
8  NO DRAMA MOMMA 6 5 53 54½   56½ 59¾ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 17.29  
2  ICY RIVER 2 6 63¼ 64¾   68½ 613 (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00 30.97  
SCR  ROCK STAR PARKING               (contreras cipriano)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  VACCINE OF HOPE               (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5% 17.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.