Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCESSANT 3 3 21 22 2nk 1 1 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.30  
SPECIAL BEACH 1 1 11 12 1nk 2 2 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50  
AFERDITA 2 6 32 32 3½ 3 34 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00 2.50 S
ANNMARIA 6 5 4 43 4¾ 42 45 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 21% 3.70 2.00  
1A  BLAZING ZENNA 5 2 5 54 5¾ 5 5 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.00 1.50  
CHARITY STRIPE 4 4 6 611 6 610¼ 618 (hendriks rich)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9% 9.80 13.00  
SCR  HAPPY BEE               (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-2   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COACHMAN 1 3 1 11   17 110¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 125 2.00 48% 1.10 1.30 W
BROADWAY SKY 3 2 2 21   27 210¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.50 1.40 P
SILVER MATT 2 6 32 32   37 310¾ (langley)PILARES P 125 6.00 6.10 S
MR. LUCKY 5 1 5 56   510¼ 413 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00 21.20  
MR. COMMISH 4 5 6 67   610¼ 513¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 4.00 9.40  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 6 4 42 45   410 613¼ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 15% 5.90 7.60  
 
MVR-3   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 3 5 65 5   3½ 12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 17% 4.90 0.80 W
MASTER 6 1 1nk 1½   1nk 22 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00 5.90  
GRAND DEAL 5 6 5 43   4 33 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 7% 13.30 24.00 S
NOT A GAME 2 4 33 33   5 4 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 5.00 6.70  
TEMPLE TITAN 1 3 2nk 2½   2nk 5 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
THISPOINTINTIME 4 7 79 7   711¾ 612¼ (morelos mateo)DIAZ I 123 10.00 38.50  
UNCLEJACKOMO 7 2 4 6   6 712½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 8.00  
 
MVR-4   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BOOK OF RUTH 5 2 13 14   17 110¾ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 1.90  
PATTI LOU 1 3 23 24   27 210¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 3.50 13% 6.80 0.60 P
OH EYE SEE 3 5 34 36   312 319¾ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00 35.00  
MARIANA (FR) 4 1 58 5   517½ 420 (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 12.00 13% 6.80 24.00  
BIKINI SO TEENY 2 4 44 4   412½ 521½ (rive)SALAZAR VICTOR 125 4.50 12.30  
MISS IRISH ZIP 6 6 618 618½   626½ 631¼ (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 125 10.00 12% 7.70 6.20  
SCR  MUSIC CITY DANCER               (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA DARLING 4 6 23 11   15 1 (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 7.60  
ORFANO 7 1 45 4   25 2 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.40 0.30 P
SWING STATE 1 7 56 5   37 3 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00 6.40 S
SLICK EDDIE 6 2 34 3   47 412¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 44% 1.30 11.50  
HARSH TRUTH 8 10 1016½ 916¼   917¼ 523 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 ######  
TIER ONE 5 8 710½ 712   714¼ 623¾ (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 10.00 71.70  
ROUGE TU RICHES 9 4 911½ 812¼   816¼ 726¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 26.90  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 3 3 13 21   511 827 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 10.70  
10  CONSTITUTION COAL 10 5 67 67   614 927½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 ######  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 2 9 810½ 1016¼   1026¼ 1045½ (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-6   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 6 4 22 2½   1 12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.40 0.80 W
BLUSHING BETTY 5 5 3 3½   2 22 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 22% 3.60 1.60 P
KAY BEE GEE 2 2 12 1½   32 3 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 8.90 S
GRAND PRIZE 4 3 55 6   46 4 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.90 19.60  
SPICE IT UP 1 6 6 55   6 5 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 6.40  
MAJESTIC CLIMB 3 1 4 44   56 6 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 66.90  
 
MVR-7   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIMMERGLASS 7 2 1 12   1½ 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 1.40 9% 9.70 1.10 W
SHADY BABY 5 1 2 22   2½ 21 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 11.60 P
WAR MOON 3 3 3 33   35 3 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 15.50  
LADY FORTUNE 4 4 44 44   4 48 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 3.50 38% 1.60 1.70  
VAL'S RIPTIDE 2 5 55 5   57 510¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 2.50 24% 3.10 4.90  
WELLOILEDCAT 1 6 710½ 79   711½ 611¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
ALL THE BEST 6 7 66 66   6 712¾ (trevino steph)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 28.20  
 
MVR-8   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO STRONG 1 1 1 12   1 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 33% 2.00 1.10 W
INTO GOLD 2 7 5 22   2 2 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 9% 10.40 5.40 P
KINGDOM DIAMOND 6 4 6 46   4 3 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 6% 16.00 1.40 S
DERBY INCLUDED 5 6 42 3   35 4 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 6.00 15.50  
DANCE MOVES 7 5 7 710   714½ 516¼ (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 56.50  
LINO'S KID 3 2 3 6   612½ 616½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 5.00 28% 2.50 12.90  
MIXTER JENSEN 4 3 2 56   511½ 717¼ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 125 8.00 20.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.