The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - December 19, 2022

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MVR-1   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:241 :474 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCESSANT 3 3 21 22 2nk 11(galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.30  
SPECIAL BEACH 1 1 11 12 1nk 22(mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50  
AFERDITA 2 6 32 32 3½ 334 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00 2.50 S
ANNMARIA 6 5 4 43 4¾ 42 45 (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 21% 3.70 2.00  
1A  BLAZING ZENNA 5 2 5 54 5¾ 55(mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.00 1.50  
CHARITY STRIPE 4 4 6 611 6 610¼ 618 (hendriks j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9% 9.80 13.00  
SCR  HAPPY BEE               (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-2   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:224 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COACHMAN 1 3 1 11   17 110¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 125 2.00 48% 1.10 1.30 W
BROADWAY SKY 3 2 2 21   27 210¼ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.50 1.40 P
SILVER MATT 2 6 32 32   37 310¾ (langley joshua)PILARES P 125 6.00 6.10 S
MR. LUCKY 5 1 5 56   510¼ 413 (flores christian)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00 21.20  
MR. COMMISH 4 5 6 67   610¼ 513¼ (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 4.00 9.40  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 6 4 42 45   410 613¼ (hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 15% 5.90 7.60  
 
MVR-3   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:222 :454 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 3 5 65 5   3½ 12 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 17% 4.90 0.80 W
MASTER 6 1 1nk 1½   1nk 22 (casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00 5.90  
GRAND DEAL 5 6 5 43   433 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 7% 13.30 24.00 S
NOT A GAME 2 4 33 33   54(bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 5.00 6.70  
TEMPLE TITAN 1 3 2nk 2½   2nk 5(wolochuk david)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
THISPOINTINTIME 4 7 79 7   711¾ 612¼ (morelos mateo)DIAZ I 123 10.00 38.50  
UNCLEJACKOMO 7 2 4 6   6712½ (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 8.00  
 
MVR-4   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:23 :471 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BOOK OF RUTH 5 2 13 14   17 110¾ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 1.90  
PATTI LOU 1 3 23 24   27 210¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 3.50 13% 6.80 0.60 P
OH EYE SEE 3 5 34 36   312 319¾ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00 35.00  
MARIANA 4 1 58 5   517½ 420 (maddox rachael)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 12.00 13% 6.80 24.00  
BIKINI SO TEENY 2 4 44 4   412½ 521½ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR VICTOR 125 4.50 12.30  
MISS IRISH ZIP 6 6 618 618½   626½ 631¼ (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 125 10.00 12% 7.70 6.20  
SCR  MUSIC CITY DANCER               (fadlovich megan)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
:221 :454 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA DARLING 4 6 23 11   15 1(gorostieta cirilo)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 7.60  
ORFANO 7 1 45 4   25 2(fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.40 0.30 P
SWING STATE 1 7 56 5   37 3(gorham m)CORREA L 122 3.00 6.40 S
SLICK EDDIE 6 2 34 3   47 412¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 44% 1.30 11.50  
HARSH TRUTH 8 10 1016½ 916¼   917¼ 523 (skerrett jeffrey)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 ######  
TIER ONE 5 8 710½ 712   714¼ 623¾ (fletcher jeff)HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 10.00 71.70  
ROUGE TU RICHES 9 4 911½ 812¼   816¼ 726¾ (faulkner c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 26.90  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 3 3 13 21   511 827 (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 10.70  
10  CONSTITUTION COAL 10 5 67 67   614 927½ (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 ######  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 2 9 810½ 1016¼   1026¼ 1045½ (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-6   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:223 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 6 4 22 2½   112 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.40 0.80 W
BLUSHING BETTY 5 5 3 3½   222 (trevino g)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 22% 3.60 1.60 P
KAY BEE GEE 2 2 12 1½   32 3(cline c)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 8.90 S
GRAND PRIZE 4 3 55 6   46 4(radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.90 19.60  
SPICE IT UP 1 6 6 55   65(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 6.40  
MAJESTIC CLIMB 3 1 4 44   56 6(bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 66.90  
 
MVR-7   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIMMERGLASS 7 2 1 12   1½ 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 1.40 9% 9.70 1.10 W
SHADY BABY 5 1 2 22   2½ 21 (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 11.60 P
WAR MOON 3 3 3 33   35 3(doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 15.50  
LADY FORTUNE 4 4 44 44   448 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 3.50 38% 1.60 1.70  
VAL'S RIPTIDE 2 5 55 5   57 510¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 2.50 24% 3.10 4.90  
WELLOILEDCAT 1 6 710½ 79   711½ 611¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
ALL THE BEST 6 7 66 66   6712¾ (trevino g)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 28.20  
 
MVR-8   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:224 :454 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO STRONG 1 1 1 12   11(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 33% 2.00 1.10 W
INTO GOLD 2 7 5 22   22(diehl candace)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 9% 10.40 5.40 P
KINGDOM DIAMOND 6 4 6 46   43(meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 6% 16.00 1.40 S
DERBY INCLUDED 5 6 42 3   35 4(cline c)HALDAR J 124 6.00 15.50  
DANCE MOVES 7 5 7 710   714½ 516¼ (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 56.50  
LINO'S KID 3 2 3 6   612½ 616½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 5.00 28% 2.50 12.90  
MIXTER JENSEN 4 3 2 56   511½ 717¼ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 125 8.00 20.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.