Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Nov03 Oct04 Aug16 Aug03 Jun30 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
1A  BLAZING ZENNA Nov09 Oct04 Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  HAPPY BEE Nov19 Aug09 Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
3  AFERDITA Nov09 Oct14 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00 ★    
4  INCESSANT Nov15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 Aug10 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
5  CHARITY STRIPE Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 (hendriks rich)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  ANNMARIA Nov30 Nov14 Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-2   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COACHMAN Dec04 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun03 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  SILVER MATT Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 (langley)PILARES P 125 6.00 ★    
3  BROADWAY SKY Oct22 Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 Jun04 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.50 ★    
4  MR. COMMISH Oct21 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 4.00    
5  MR. LUCKY Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 Sep13 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00 ★    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Nov17 Nov02 Oct10 Aug17   (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
MVR-3   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE TITAN Nov17 Oct03 Sep15 Aug31 Aug15 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  NOT A GAME Nov21 Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 5.00    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  THISPOINTINTIME Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Sep23 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 123 10.00 ★    
5  GRAND DEAL Sep21 Aug16 Jul05 Jun22 May16 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
6  MASTER Dec05 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00    
7  UNCLEJACKOMO Dec05 Nov16 Oct27 Oct03 Sep15 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTI LOU         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  BIKINI SO TEENY Dec08 Nov16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 (rive)SALAZAR VICTOR 125 4.50    
3  OH EYE SEE Nov16 Jul05 Jun13     (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00    
SCR  MUSIC CITY DANCER Nov23 Nov08       (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  MARIANA (FR)         (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 12.00 13% 6.80    
6  THE BOOK OF RUTH Dec08 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04   (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 ★    
7  MISS IRISH ZIP         (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 125 10.00 12% 7.70    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING STATE Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 Aug03 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00 ★    
2  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Dec03         (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00    
3  BAD BOY BOOGIE Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
4  MEDIA DARLING         (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 ★    
5  TIER ONE         (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 10.00 ★    
6  SLICK EDDIE Dec03         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
7  ORFANO Nov16 Oct10       (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  HARSH TRUTH Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Sep06 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
9  ROUGE TU RICHES Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 Jul22 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
10  CONSTITUTION COAL Nov01 Oct12       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE IT UP Nov15 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 ★    
2  KAY BEE GEE Nov09 Sep09 Aug30 Jun24 Jun08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 ★    
3  MAJESTIC CLIMB Nov09 Jun16 May23 May07 Apr26 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
4  GRAND PRIZE Nov14 Sep13 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
5  BLUSHING BETTY Dec08 Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  RENO TOUCH Nov19 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.40    
 
MVR-7   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Oct24 Sep27 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VAL'S RIPTIDE Oct25 Sep20 Sep07 Jul26 Jun27 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  WAR MOON Dec12 Nov16 Oct24 Oct06 Sep21 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
4  LADY FORTUNE Dec12 Nov28 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  SHADY BABY Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 Aug31 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 ★    
6  ALL THE BEST Aug04 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May17 (trevino steph)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
7  GLIMMERGLASS Dec06 Nov07 Aug09 Jul07 May30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 1.40 9% 9.70    
 
MVR-8   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO STRONG Dec01 Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  INTO GOLD Dec01 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 9% 10.40    
3  LINO'S KID Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 5.00 28% 2.50    
4  MIXTER JENSEN Dec07 Nov09 Oct10     (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 125 8.00    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Dec01 Jul27 Jul01     (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 6.00 ★    
6  KINGDOM DIAMOND Dec01 Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 Sep29 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 6% 16.00    
7  DANCE MOVES Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.