The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 07, 2022

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MVR-1   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
:242 :482 1:141 1:281   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO'S DREAM 2 4 1½ 12 1 16 1(skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 5.00 25% 2.90 4.30 W
SWELTER 3 5 43 57 3 26 2(hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 5.80 P
WARHORSE WEST 6 1 3 22 2 3314¾ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 19.80  
TEMPO CRESCENDO 1 3 2½ 3 5 411½ 417 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 7% 12.60 2.50  
MOTOWN COLLECTION 4 6 53 4 4 511½ 517 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 0.90  
TEAM EURO STEP 5 2 6 613 613½ 616½ 628½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 18.20  
SCR  SILVERY               (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 8.00    
 
MVR-2   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:251 :492 1:151 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMIRIN 6 2 6 6 4 311 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 5.30  
GONE ROGUE 4 6 4 3 2nk 1nk 21 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 1.80 P
STRIKE A BEAT 5 1 32 2nk 1nk 2nk 3(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00 66% 0.50 1.20 S
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 2 3 21 1nk 3½ 44 411 (morales m)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00 4.80  
FLYING GUILLOTINE 3 4 5 5 6 511 520¼ (bailey ricardo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 40.20  
ATLANTIC RULER 1 5 11 4 5 611½ 621¼ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
 
MVR-3   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 1:41
:231 :48 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNESCORTED 1 4 4 22   1nk 1½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 21% 3.70 3.80 W
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 7 3 1nk 12   2nk 2½ (langley joshua)PILARES P 122 6.00 7.60 P
TABOO HOO 4 7 7 43   33(anderson l)BRACHO A 122 10.00 21% 3.70 7.20 S
ANN KOR 8 8 8 7   64(waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 6 2 5 5   55(faulkner c)CORREA L 122 8.00 28.30  
SKI SLOPE 2 1 2nk 32   4610¼ (platt noah)DIAZ I 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40  
SISTER CODE 5 6 6 85   711½ 716 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 23.00  
GRACIE DANCE 3 5 31 6   813½ 818½ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50 8.40  
 
MVR-4   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:233 :48 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA HOOT 6 1 41 4   43 1½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 6.00 9.90  
PRINCESS HALIME 4 7 5 1nk   1nk 2½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70 2.10 P
TOY TIGER 7 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 3¾ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 118 2.50 1.20 S
HIGH MEADOWS 1 2 1½ 3.2   344 (morelos mateo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00 35.50  
TUFFIAN 2 6 6 7   55(sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 13.90  
KEYPIT 3 5 31 6   6612¾ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 10% 9.10 11.30  
BLUE SAGE 5 4 7 5   7713 (skerrett jeffrey)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 4.40  
 
MVR-5   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:231 :48 1:012     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIXTER JENSEN 7 1 2½ 13   15 1(haehn r)HOUGHTON D 125 6.00 13.80  
ORLEANS STORM 9 2 4 23   35 2(lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 3.50 5.80  
GRANDE RED 4 8 77 5   434 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 125 15.00 29.10  
MY TICKET 5 6 3 4   25 4(cline c)PAUCAR E 126 5.00 23% 3.40 3.10  
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 6 3 67 6   610¾ 59 (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 125 20.00 70.20  
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 1 4 1½ 33   569 (maddox rachael)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
10  NOSEY POWER 10 9 99 811¼   814¾ 715¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 37.00  
PLAYING BALL 2 11 5 710¼   713¾ 816¾ (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 125 2.50 24% 3.10 3.20  
RED HEAD KID 3 5 88 911¾   916¾ 924¼ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 125 12.00 14% 6.10 6.70  
ATILANO'S THUNDER 8 7 10 1012¾   1026¾ 1041¾ (brown t)BRACHO A 125 20.00 59.60  
11  TEAM LUCKYTOBALIVE 11 10 11 1119¾   1136¾ 1149¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 125 10.00 14% 6.40 3.70  
 
MVR-6   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:23 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEVICHE 6 1 44 21   12 1(casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 4.00 2.40  
QUARANTINA 4 4 68 6   32 2(casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 17.60  
SILVER STICK STAIR 5 2 23 31   22 3(acevedo israel)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 10% 8.60 2.00 S
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 1 5 34 5   44(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 3.00  
ANDIAMA 3 6 57 4   55(huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 8.60  
SABELLE 2 3 13 11   6612 (castro a)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 4.10  
SCR  J L'S ROCKETTE               (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.80 63% 0.60    
 
MVR-7   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:233 :483 1:013     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPER ETIQUETTE 1       13 12 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 8.00 4.00  
DEB'S ALL OUT 7       422 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 4.10  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 2       23 3(zielinski richard)STANLEY O 124 8.00 16% 5.40 19.20 S
EASTER PRIDE 4       34(mahan p)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 68.70  
SASSY POWER 8       559 (radosevich s)BRACHO A 123 4.00 23% 3.40 12.20  
ST PATTY'S SONG 3       6610 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 20% 4.10 20.80  
10  BAREFOOT BEACH 10       7712¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 7% 13.90 1.50  
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 5       8814 (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 11% 7.80 5.20  
11  PRICEY APPEAL 11       9914½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 10.00 12.40  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 6       1011¾ 1015½ (vickers t)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 ######  
CARLY'S FLIGHT 9       1114¾ 1117¼ (faulkner c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 94.40  
 
MVR-8   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 5 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 125 1.20 74% 0.40 0.10 W
PACIFIC COAST 1 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2½ (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 9.10 P
INDY PRINCESS KOKO 7 1 66 5   43(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 5.00 22.70 S
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 6 3 56 4   34(bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 11.00  
BEAV'S BOO 4 6 4 36   558 (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 124 8.00 13.00  
CAUSE OF LOVE 3 7 7 711¼   715½ 617¾ (haehn r)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 37.70  
SPEEDY FIRE 2 5 3 6   612½ 722 (urieta johanna)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 35.30  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL               (bernardini p)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.