Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3/4)-(7/2/6/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-3-4 $23.90 $5.90 33%
    SFT (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3/4)-(7/2/6/3/4)-(7/2/6/3/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-3-4-6 $12.49 $5.29 73%
MVR-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $6.60 $2.60 65%
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00  4-3 $25.60 $9.60 60%
    DD (8/10/4/6)-(4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00  8-4 $17.60 $1.60 10%
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(8/10/4/6)-(4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-8-4 $17.20 $5.20 43%
MVR-8   EXA (8/2/3/7/9)-(8/2/3/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-3 $65.20 $25.20 63%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:15 1:292   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ESTILO ELEGANTE 7 3 55½ 46 35 34½ 11½ (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 ★ 2.30  
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS 2 4 33 32 2½ 1½ 21½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.60 3.20 P
4  MUSICAL RIDE 4 1 11 11½ 1½ 2½ 36¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.10 S
1  PEACH BELLINI 1 6 710 712½ 511½ 47 48 (norris stephan)DIAZ I 124 12.00 40.80  
5  LADY MECHANIC 5 2 21 21½ 47½ 59½ 513 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 26.40  
6  PRINCESS MORO 6 7 68 68½ 711¾ 611½ 618½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 ★ 9.90  
3  HALOFIED 3 5 45½ 56½ 611½ 713 723½ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 ★ 12.50  
 
MVR-2   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:15 1:29   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INCESSANT 6 4 42 31½ 31 1nk 11¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70 W
4  POLISHED GEM 4 2 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 21¼ (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★ 5.40 P
1  STARSHIP MACYS 1 5 31 41½ 41½ 3½ 35 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 1.80 22% 3.50 2.90 S
2  FLAXEN 2 6 69 611 611 610 411¾ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 ★ 11.20  
5  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 5 1 21 2½ 2nk 44 512 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 8.60  
3  WICKED ECSTASY 3 3 53 53 55½ 57 614 (medina tomas)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 9% 9.70 13.50  
 
MVR-3   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:144 1:284   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAINT GOAR 1 4 2nk 21½ 1nk 13½ 1¾ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 48% 1.10 0.70 W
7  CUMBER 7 1 1nk 11½ 2nk 23½ 2¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00 P
1A  IWILLPERSEVERE 5 3 44½ 66 66¼ 65¾ 34¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 6.80  
6  YOUVESAIDITALL 6 2 55½ 45 43 34½ 44¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.60 10.50  
5  LAUTREC 4 7 68 55½ 53¼ 45½ 59¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 2.50 ★ 5.30  
4  BACK ALLEY CAT 3 6 710 712 711¼ 710¾ 610¼ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 17% 4.80 7.90  
3  HEZA HANDFUL 2 5 33½ 33 32½ 55½ 711½ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 12.40  
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHACO SPIRIT 5 2 53½ 32   12½ 18¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 43% 1.30 2.80 W
3  AIN'T STRAIGHT 2 4 21 21   22½ 28¼ (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 2.10 P
4  NOT A GAME 3 3 41½ 52¼   32½ 39¼ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 ★ 7.70 S
6  MASTER 4 1 31½ 42   55½ 422 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 3.00 16% 5.40 4.80  
2  ICON 1 5 11 11   45 522¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 17% 5.00 1.80  
SCR  FAMOUS N FLASHY               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
SCR  WAR NOVEL               (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MONTAUK COVE 6 1 32½ 31½   12 15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.00 54% 0.90 1.00 W
5  GIO SAMMY 4 2 44½ 54¾   43½ 25 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★ 11.80 P
10  COLOMBARD 8 3 55 44½   55½ 37¾ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 5.90 5.80 S
1  GET HAMMERED 1 6 2nk 21½   32 48¼ (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 12.80  
3  THE COOKIE MAN 2 5 1nk 11½   22 510¼ (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 19.60  
4  HIDDEN RULER 3 7 65½ 78¾   79 611¼ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 9% 10.40 3.40  
7  MOON LAUNCH 5 8 99½ 911¾   811 711½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 31.30  
9  WISE KHOZAN 7 9 77 68¼   68½ 815 (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00 40.90  
11  KEYED ON TOP 9 4 87½ 89¾   911½ 916½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 8.70  
SCR  OUT FOR JUSTICE               (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY SUNRISE               (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOMUCHSUGAR 5 4 42½ 21½   2nk 14½ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.30 W
3  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 4 3 11½ 11½   1nk 24½ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 116 6.00 ★ 2.90 P
2  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 1 7 52¾ 34   34½ 38¼ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 3.00 ★ 3.50 S
1A  SUSHI Q 3 6 75¼ 68½   46½ 49¾ (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 9.50  
1  SENORA PANQUEQUES 2 5 62¾ 57½   512½ 527¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 9.50  
7  DISCREET ENERGY 7 1 32½ 79   717½ 633½ (syed riaz)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 28.60  
6  BODE'S ROSE 6 2 21½ 44½   616½ 733½ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 2.00 31% 2.30 2.10  
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW               (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNTAPPED ENERGY 5 3 31½ 2½   1½ 12 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 12.90  
7  SPEAK LIGHTLY 6 2 76¾ 64¼   65 22 (ruberto v)DIAZ R 124 5.00 2.70  
1A  ORBITING THE SKY 4 6 45 53¾   32 32¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 51% 1.00 0.90 S
1  ROSE RING 1 7 65¾ 43½   54 43 (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 124 1.60 0.90  
3  MISS OVER THERE 2 5 1nk 1½   2½ 53½ (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 7% 13.50 3.60  
8  LEADING INDICATOR 7 1 55¼ 74¾   76 66¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
4  CATLIKE 3 4 2nk 3½   44 78½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 18.10  
SCR  LIL' SISTER LOU               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM               (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 121 4.00 5% 17.30    
 
MVR-8   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:142 1:283   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GILES 2 5 43 43 32 1½ 14¼ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 21% 3.80 2.90 W
3  SEMINOLE JUSTICE 3 4 2nk 3½ 21½ 2½ 24¼ (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 18% 4.50 5.50 P
1  KING OF THE RING 1 7 87 87 86¾ 83¾ 36½ (pappada a)REYES FRANK 126 10.00 27.90  
7  KLAATU 6 2 1nk 2½ 53 73½ 48 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 6% 14.50 7.50  
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE 5 3 65 64½ 43 42½ 511½ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 6.50  
8  DEBDURITE 7 6 54 54 75¾ 63 612½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 28% 2.60 4.00  
4  ADANO 4 8 76½ 75½ 65½ 52½ 713¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 19.50  
9  PROFESSIONAL 8 1 31 1½ 11½ 31½ 816¾ (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
SCR  JUSTENUFFTUFF               (poole m)BRACHO A 126 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.