Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/7/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/7/6/3)-(4/2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/1/3)-(2/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4/2)-(6/1/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/4/6/7)-(7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7/5)-(2/4/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/7)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/7)-(7/2/6)-(8/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/3/4)-(7/2/6/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(8/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(8/10/4)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/4)-(8/10/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/10/4)-(8/10/4/5)-(8/10/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/10/4)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4)-(4/6)-(1/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/3/8)-(8/2/3/7/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/8)-(8/2/3/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7/9)-(8/2/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7/9)-(8/2/3/7/9)-(8/2/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACH BELLINI Dec05 Nov28 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 (norris stephan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS Nov30 Oct19 Oct05 Jul18 Jun27 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
3  HALOFIED Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 ★    
4  MUSICAL RIDE Oct11 Sep15 Aug13 Jul17 Jul03 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
5  LADY MECHANIC Dec11 Nov09 Nov01 Oct09 Sep25 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
6  PRINCESS MORO Dec15 Dec05 Nov15 Oct11 Sep19 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 ★    
7  ESTILO ELEGANTE Dec15 Sep27 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-2   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP MACYS Dec15 Nov15 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
2  FLAXEN Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 Oct18 Oct04 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 ★    
3  WICKED ECSTASY Dec21 Nov16 Oct25 Sep06 Aug02 (medina tomas)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 9% 9.70    
4  POLISHED GEM Nov04 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 Aug24 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
5  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Dec12 Nov30 Jun13 May23 Apr06 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
6  INCESSANT Dec19 Nov15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  IWILLPERSEVERE Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep25 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
2  SAINT GOAR Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Oct18 Oct03 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  HEZA HANDFUL Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 May24   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
4  BACK ALLEY CAT Dec11 Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 Sep04 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  LAUTREC Dec05 Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 2.50 ★    
6  YOUVESAIDITALL Nov28 Nov08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.60    
7  CUMBER Dec20 Nov08 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAMOUS N FLASHY Dec05         (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
2  ICON Dec20 Dec05 Nov10 Nov03 Sep16 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  AIN'T STRAIGHT Dec14 Nov16 Oct05 Aug11 Jul21 (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
4  NOT A GAME Dec19 Nov21 Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
6  MASTER Dec19 Dec05 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  CHACO SPIRIT Dec13 Nov14 Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-5   01/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET HAMMERED Dec14 Dec08 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
SCR  OUT FOR JUSTICE Dec21 Dec14 Nov27 Nov13 Nov07 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
3  THE COOKIE MAN Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 Oct23 Sep28 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
4  HIDDEN RULER Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Sep25 Sep03 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
5  GIO SAMMY Dec21 Nov19 Nov02 Oct14 Aug29 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  WHISKEY SUNRISE Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 Oct30 Mar20 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOON LAUNCH Dec07 Nov22 Nov13 Oct26 Oct16 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
8  MONTAUK COVE Dec15 Nov08 Sep15 Aug22 Jul14 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
9  WISE KHOZAN Nov14 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep12 (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00    
10  COLOMBARD Dec21 Nov17 Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
11  KEYED ON TOP Dec21 Nov17 Nov02 Oct22 Sep12 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORA PANQUEQUES Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Aug03 Jul12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
1A  SUSHI Q Oct05 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 May20 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
2  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 Oct05 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 3.00 ★    
3  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Nov15 Oct29 Oct05 Sep01   (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 116 6.00 ★    
4  SOMUCHSUGAR Dec03 Apr12 Mar26 Mar10   (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DIAMONDS N DEW Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 Jan05   (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 ★    
6  BODE'S ROSE Nov28 Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 Aug16 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
7  DISCREET ENERGY Nov19 Sep12 Aug25 Aug10 Jul05 (syed riaz)MUSARRO JOE 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE RING Dec08 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep24 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60    
1A  ORBITING THE SKY Nov14 Oct31 Jul21 Mar01 Feb22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Oct01 Sep10 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 121 4.00 5% 17.30    
3  MISS OVER THERE Dec08 Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 Jul13 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
4  CATLIKE Dec20 Dec05 Oct23 Oct12 Oct03 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
SCR  LIL' SISTER LOU Dec13 Jul06 May31 May13 Apr15 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
6  UNTAPPED ENERGY Dec22 Dec05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
7  SPEAK LIGHTLY Dec05 Oct11 Sep01 Aug01 Jun28 (ruberto v)DIAZ R 124 5.00    
8  LEADING INDICATOR Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF THE RING Dec15 Dec03 Aug08 Jun08 May25 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 10.00    
2  GILES Nov14 Nov08 Nov02 Oct25 Oct12 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Dec15 Oct26 Oct13 Aug31 Jul21 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  ADANO Dec03 Nov16 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE Dec05 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
SCR  JUSTENUFFTUFF Dec03 Nov16 Oct24 May21 Apr27 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 12.00    
7  KLAATU Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 Oct13 Sep20 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 6% 14.50    
8  DEBDURITE Dec03 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 Sep19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
9  PROFESSIONAL Dec28 Dec12 Nov08 Oct12 Oct04 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.