The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 22, 2022

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MVR-1   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
:233 :474 1:011     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE SHARP 2 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 10.40  
ANN KOR 7 1 6 3.2   1nk 2¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
SISTER CODE 1 3 2½ 2nk   32 3(vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00 43.40  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 4 2 52 5   54(faulkner c)CORREA L 122 6.00 12.10  
GRACIE MANSION 3 4 31 4¼   4511½ (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00  
DUDE'S MIST DATE 6 7 7 7   6613¾ (diehl candace)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
AUGURI 5 5 42 6   715¼ 726¾ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 7.20  
 
MVR-2   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:242 :484 1:154 1:294   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST PATTY'S SONG 1 4 3 36 2 1nk 1(bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14% 5.90 5.90 W
SPUN PRETTY 2 3 12 15 1 2nk 2(calderon ivan)BRACHO A 123 3.00 3.00  
EASTER PRIDE 5 5 5 4 3 31 3(mahan p)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 9.30 S
DEB'S ALL OUT 4 1 4 57 58 58 411¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 26% 2.80 1.40  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 2 22 25 47 47 513¼ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00  
SCR  LATE DATE               (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD               (vickers t)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
:232 :471 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 1nk 1   13 1(skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 3.50 3.30  
ROSE'S PEPINO 8 1 3 3   23 2(johnson a)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 5% 17.40 8.70 P
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 4 2nk 2   33 37 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 S
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 3 8 7 6   6410 (hayes leland)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 7.50  
1A  HOTROD BOBBY 4 3 4 44   45 510 (dacosta jason)CORREA L 122 2.00 0.70  
K KID 2 7 55 5   58 612¾ (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 8% 11.30 5.70  
BAYTOWN GET IT ON 7 5 66 7   713¼ 720 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 49.80  
CHASING A PAYDAY 5 6 810¼ 817½   819¼ 829¾ (pease harry)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 63.20  
 
MVR-4   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:24 :474 1:14 1:281   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD HERITAGE 3 5 65 3 1nk 1nk 1¼ (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 123 5.00 6.20  
DAWN WEST 6 2 3 6 3.2 2nk 2¼ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00 P
STAR ENTERTAINER 2 6 4 5 4 3½ 3½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 1.90 S
HAPPY CHARLIE 4 3 5 4 6 54(viands r)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 4 1nk 2nk 5 41 5(johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 4.10  
TOP HAT BLITZ 5 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 6620 (west m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 67% 0.50 2.20  
SCR  JOE BRRRR               (chapman k)CORREA L 123 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:23 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALIME 2 4 3 1nk   15 18 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70 1.10 W
TOY TIGER 5 3 11 2nk   25 28 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 9% 10.80 2.70 P
WILLYMAR 3 8 66 5   338 (rangel arnulfo)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.30 S
COURTED 1 7 811 8   64(langley joshua)PAUCAR E 126 12.00 44.60  
SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 7 2 4 4   4513 (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 8.00 7.50  
SABELLE 4 6 53 3   5615¼ (castro a)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 4.80  
TARA DAWN 6 5 77 7   711 719¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 16.30  
BLUE SAGE 8 1 21 6   815 836½ (skerrett jeffrey)CORREA L 124 10.00 12.40  
SCR  TEMPORARILY               (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00    
 
MVR-6   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY PRINCE 7 4 9 7   44 1(sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 40% 1.50 2.00 W
ALACRITOUS 8 1 31 3   33 2(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 6.50 P
DAVID'S GEM 4 5 2nk 1   1½ 3(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 2.10  
IRISH UNITY 3 3 1nk 2   2½ 4(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 16.10  
DARK VADER 5 9 8 4   55(radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60 6.20  
COMPLY 6 6 6 6   66(rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19% 4.30 10.20  
FLATTER ME PLEASE 9 2 7 5   77 79 (hayes leland)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 28.00  
CHIEF RANDEL 2 8 5 86   8813¾ (waite l)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 12.40  
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 1 7 42 911   919½ 945½ (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00 19.50  
 
MVR-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:241 :481 1:143 1:29   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE 3 8 811½ 811¼ 710½ 36 1nk (connelly teresa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 12.90  
PAO DE QUEIJO 8 1 4 35 2 22 2nk (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00 6% 15.00 1.10 P
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 4 6 66 6 49 46 3(calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 16% 5.10 7.60 S
TURN TO ME SUCREE 6 3 2½ 2nk 1 12 4(west m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 26% 2.90 3.50  
SUNDRENCHED 5 7 7 57 6 65(faulkner c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 17.20  
FLECK 2 5 56 7 811 810¼ 612½ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 4.00  
TIZ THIRSTY 7 4 3 46 5 7713¼ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 42.00  
UNTAPPED ENERGY 1 2 1½ 1nk 34 5815¾ (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 14.40  
 
MVR-8   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:242 :484 1:16 1:304   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HEAD KID 3 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 12 1(zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 15.00 11.30  
NOSEY POWER 8 2 6 6 5 54 2(spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 5% 19.00 40.70 P
MY TICKET 2 6 5 5 33 33(cline c)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 52% 0.90 4.20 S
SPLENDID SPIRIT 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 22 4(urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 6% 16.80 6.60  
ORLEANS STORM 7 8 7 7 4 453 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 2.00 7% 12.80 1.60  
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 4 4 8 8 7 68 614¾ (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00 29.00  
BIG TIME FLIRT 6 7 4 4 6 79 715¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 125 8.00 4.10  
PLAYING BALL 1 1 3.2 3.2 8 812 823½ (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 125 3.50 4.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.