Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:011     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BE SHARP 2 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 10.40  
7  ANN KOR 7 1 62½ 3.2   1nk 2¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
1  SISTER CODE 1 3 2½ 2nk   32 35½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00 43.40  
4  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 4 2 52 51¾   55¾ 49¼ (faulkner )CORREA L 122 6.00 ★ 12.10  
3  GRACIE MANSION 3 4 31 4¼   45½ 511½ (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00  
6  DUDE'S MIST DATE 6 7 78½ 77¼   69¼ 613¾ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
5  AUGURI (ARG) 5 5 42 66¾   715¼ 726¾ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 ★ 7.20  
 
MVR-2   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:154 1:294   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ST PATTY'S SONG 1 4 34½ 36 21½ 1nk 15¾ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14% 5.90 5.90 W
4  SPUN PRETTY 2 3 12 15 11½ 2nk 25¾ (calderon ivan)BRACHO A 123 3.00 3.00  
7  EASTER PRIDE 5 5 58½ 46½ 36½ 31 36½ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 ★ 9.30 S
6  DEB'S ALL OUT 4 1 47½ 57 58 58 411¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 26% 2.80 1.40  
5  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 2 22 25 47 47 513¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00  
SCR  LATE DATE               (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD               (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:232 :471 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 1nk 12½   13 15¼ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 3.50 ★ 3.30  
7  ROSE'S PEPINO 8 1 31½ 32½   23 25¼ (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 5% 17.40 8.70 P
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 4 2nk 22½   33 37 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 S
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET 3 8 76¼ 66½   68¼ 410 (hayes leland)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 ★ 7.50  
1A  HOTROD BOBBY 4 3 42½ 44   45 510 (dacosta j)CORREA L 122 2.00 0.70  
2  K KID 2 7 55 54½   58 612¾ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 8% 11.30 5.70  
6  BAYTOWN GET IT ON 7 5 66 78½   713¼ 720 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 49.80  
4  CHASING A PAYDAY 5 6 810¼ 817½   819¼ 829¾ (pease harry)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 63.20  
 
MVR-4   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:14 1:281   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOLD HERITAGE 3 5 65 31½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 123 5.00 6.20  
7  DAWN WEST 6 2 34½ 63¼ 3.2 2nk 2¼ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00 P
2  STAR ENTERTAINER 2 6 44¾ 52¾ 41¼ 3½ 3½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★ 1.90 S
5  HAPPY CHARLIE 4 3 54¾ 42½ 63¼ 52½ 43½ (viands stacey )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 4 1nk 2nk 51¼ 41 53¾ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 ★ 4.10  
6  TOP HAT BLITZ 5 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 64½ 620 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 67% 0.50 2.20  
SCR  JOE BRRRR               (chapman j)CORREA L 123 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCESS HALIME 2 4 31½ 1nk   15 18 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70 1.10 W
6  TOY TIGER 5 3 11 2nk   25 28 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 9% 10.80 2.70 P
3  WILLYMAR 3 8 66 55¼   36½ 38 (rangel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.30 S
1  COURTED 1 7 811 86½   69½ 48¾ (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 126 12.00 44.60  
8  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 7 2 42½ 41¾   47½ 513 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 8.00 ★ 7.50  
5  SABELLE 4 6 53 31½   57½ 615¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 4.80  
7  TARA DAWN 6 5 77 76¼   711 719¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 16.30  
9  BLUE SAGE (IRE) 8 1 21 65¼   815 836½ (skerrett )CORREA L 124 10.00 12.40  
SCR  TEMPORARILY               (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NAUGHTY PRINCE 7 4 95½ 75¾   44 11¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 40% 1.50 2.00 W
8  ALACRITOUS 8 1 31 32½   33 21¾ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★ 6.50 P
4  DAVID'S GEM 4 5 2nk 11½   1½ 31¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 2.10  
3  IRISH UNITY 3 3 1nk 21½   2½ 42½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 16.10  
5  DARK VADER 5 9 85¼ 45½   54½ 54½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60 6.20  
6  COMPLY (NZ) 6 6 64¾ 65¾   65½ 64¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19% 4.30 10.20  
9  FLATTER ME PLEASE 9 2 74¾ 55½   77 79 (hayes l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★ 28.00  
2  CHIEF RANDEL 2 8 54½ 86   87½ 813¾ (waite l)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 12.40  
1  BAYTOWN WARRIOR 1 7 42 911   919½ 945½ (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00 19.50  
 
MVR-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:143 1:29   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED PIXIE 3 8 811½ 811¼ 710½ 36 1nk (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 12.90  
8  PAO DE QUEIJO 8 1 45½ 35 22½ 22 2nk (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00 6% 15.00 1.10 P
4  GALILEO'S AFFAIR 4 6 66 67¼ 49 46 31½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 16% 5.10 7.60 S
6  TURN TO ME SUCREE 6 3 2½ 2nk 12½ 12 42¼ (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 26% 2.90 3.50  
5  SUNDRENCHED 5 7 76½ 57 69½ 67¾ 57¼ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00 17.20  
2  FLECK 2 5 56 77¼ 811 810¼ 612½ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 ★ 4.00  
7  TIZ THIRSTY 7 4 34½ 46 59½ 78¾ 713¼ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 42.00  
1  UNTAPPED ENERGY 1 2 1½ 1nk 34 56¼ 815¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 14.40  
 
MVR-8   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:16 1:304   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED HEAD KID 3 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 12 11¼ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 15.00 11.30  
8  NOSEY POWER 8 2 65¾ 66¼ 53¾ 54 21¼ (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 5% 19.00 40.70 P
2  MY TICKET 2 6 55¼ 53¾ 33 33½ 31¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 52% 0.90 4.20 S
5  SPLENDID SPIRIT 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 22 42¼ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 6% 16.80 6.60  
7  ORLEANS STORM 7 8 79¼ 77¾ 43½ 43½ 53 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 2.00 7% 12.80 1.60  
4  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 4 4 89¼ 88¼ 75¾ 68 614¾ (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00 29.00  
6  BIG TIME FLIRT 6 7 42¼ 41¾ 65¼ 79 715¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 125 8.00 4.10  
1  PLAYING BALL 1 1 3.2 3.2 87¾ 812 823½ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 125 3.50 ★ 4.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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