Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER CODE Dec07 Oct11 Sep16 Sep02 Jul14 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00    
2  BE SHARP Oct03 Sep15 Sep05     (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
3  GRACIE MANSION         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Dec07 Nov07 Oct13 Sep20 Aug23 (faulkner )CORREA L 122 6.00 ★    
5  AUGURI (ARG)         (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 ★    
6  DUDE'S MIST DATE         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANN KOR Dec07         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-2   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LATE DATE Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 Aug31 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep22 Aug31 (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ST PATTY'S SONG Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14% 5.90    
4  SPUN PRETTY Nov28 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 (calderon ivan)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
5  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 Aug29 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  DEB'S ALL OUT Dec07 Nov16 Oct24 Oct06 Sep27 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  EASTER PRIDE Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE Oct27         (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
1A  HOTROD BOBBY Dec03 Nov16       (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 2.00    
2  K KID Oct29 Oct12       (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Dec16 Nov25 Nov08 Oct11 Sep22 (hayes leland)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 ★    
4  CHASING A PAYDAY Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct16   (pease harry)YARANGA Y 122 10.00    
5  AGNELLO'S DREAM Dec07 Oct27 Aug23 Jul14 Jun29 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 3.50 ★    
6  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Nov27 Nov14 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00    
7  ROSE'S PEPINO Nov27 Oct04       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 5% 17.40    
 
MVR-4   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 Nov02 Oct19 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 ★    
2  STAR ENTERTAINER Dec13 Nov14 Nov02 Oct27 Oct12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★    
SCR  JOE BRRRR Oct30 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jul19 (chapman j)CORREA L 123 10.00    
4  GOLD HERITAGE Dec13 Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 Aug29 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
5  HAPPY CHARLIE Dec09 Mar10 Feb24 Jan26   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOP HAT BLITZ Feb18         (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 67% 0.50    
7  DAWN WEST Dec13 Nov03 Oct07 Sep29 Sep01 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTED Nov28 Oct11 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 126 12.00    
2  PRINCESS HALIME Dec07 Nov17 Nov02 Oct24 Oct06 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  WILLYMAR Dec14 Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 Oct16 (rangel arnulf)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEMPORARILY Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct19 Sep14 (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00 ★    
5  SABELLE Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
6  TOY TIGER Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Aug12 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 9% 10.80    
7  TARA DAWN Nov28 Nov06 Mar31 Mar14 Feb16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
8  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Dec05 Nov22 Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 8.00 ★    
9  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 (skerrett )CORREA L 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 Sep25 Aug24 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 20.00    
2  CHIEF RANDEL Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct14 Oct04 (waite l)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
3  IRISH UNITY Dec01 Nov19 Nov09 Oct04 Sep27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
4  DAVID'S GEM Dec01 Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 Aug28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50    
5  DARK VADER Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun12 May08 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  COMPLY (NZ) Oct14 Sep27 Sep08 Aug04 Jul18 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
7  NAUGHTY PRINCE Dec08 Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 Sep15 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  ALACRITOUS Dec01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 Jul31 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
9  FLATTER ME PLEASE Nov29 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (hayes l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNTAPPED ENERGY Dec05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  FLECK Dec05 Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
3  RED PIXIE Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
4  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Dec05 Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 Sep19 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  SUNDRENCHED Dec05 Nov01 Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
6  TURN TO ME SUCREE Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug28   (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  TIZ THIRSTY Nov29 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
8  PAO DE QUEIJO Nov30 Oct30 Sep13 Aug16 Jan14 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
 
MVR-8   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING BALL Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 125 3.50 ★    
2  MY TICKET Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  RED HEAD KID Dec07         (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 15.00    
4  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05   (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00    
5  SPLENDID SPIRIT Jul28 Jun29       (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 6% 16.80    
6  BIG TIME FLIRT Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 Jul28 (erdel john)RIVERA R 125 8.00    
7  ORLEANS STORM Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 Sep07 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 2.00 7% 12.80    
8  NOSEY POWER Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 Sep12 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.