The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - November 25, 2022

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PEN-1   11/25/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:24 :481 1:13 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO 5 1 12 1 13 11(sinnefia paulina)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 21% 3.80 0.90 W
HOLD THE IRISH 2 4 3 3 23 22(martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 11.00  
MIDDLE EARTH 4 2 4 43 36 311½ 324½ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 13% 6.60 2.50 S
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 1 5 5 511 515 421½ 428 (smith m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 18.60  
WICKED CRAZY 3 3 22 2 410 522½ 535¾ (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 1.80 42% 1.40 2.70  
SCR  HAIR OF THE DOG               (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
:222 :463 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER ROCKER 6 6 7 5   1nk 1¼ (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00 27% 2.70 9.50 W
TREJO 4 5 5 7   52¼ (perez ernesto)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 10.00 14.00  
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 5 7 6 6   41 3(cheeks katy)WHITNEY G 121 10.00 3.40  
GRAND ESCAPE 2 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 4(bailes robert)ARAUJO DENIS 114 2.50 33% 2.00 1.80  
TIEMPO PERFECTO 7 1 4 4   653 (hogan j)OCASIO M 119 12.00 6% 16.80 14.10  
RUN HAPPY PAPPY 1 4 1nk 2nk   3½ 64 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50 7% 14.20 2.10  
BRENTFORD 3 2 3½ 31   77(agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 119 5.00 9.60  
SCR  UPSTATE AND BACK               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 4.00    
 
PEN-3   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:223 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZTHAROS 1 2 2 32   22 1½ (synnefias dimitrios)CASTILLO A 123 6.00 50% 1.00 0.90 W
ASK THE UMPIRE 4 3 1 1½   12 2½ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 5.00 6% 16.00 9.70 P
FORECLOSURE 3 9 8 6   45 3(houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00 6.70  
RUN AWAY EMPIRE 9 6 43 2½   35 410½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 3.90  
FLAT BUSTED 6 5 6 7   6513¼ (stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 21.30  
10  VINDICATO 10 1 5 44   58 613¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 29.20  
JEKYLL ISLAND 7 10 7 54   7714 (stowers michelle)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 5% 18.50 5.90  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 8 8 10 108   911½ 817½ (albright r)VARGAS L 123 8.00 44.10  
FIFTH ELEMENT 2 7 9 9   811¼ 920½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 73.20  
POWER OF AQUARIUS 5 4 3 8   1012 1024½ (taylor joseph)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 20.00 ######  
SCR  JACK SLYE               (beattie d)WHITNEY G 123 4.50    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS               (zerpa gilberto)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-4   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:22 :46 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN ROSEMARY 7 5 57 3   1½ 1hd (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 6.30  
DILLY DILLY PHILLY 3 4 47 4   32hd (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 1.60 52% 0.90 0.40 P
MEMPHIS MAFIA 4 6 69 58   45 3(o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 17.00 S
RISQUE'S JEWEL 2 7 713 711½   64(bouchard leslye)OCASIO M 124 8.00 23.00  
HIPNOTIZADA 5 1 12 12   2½ 5(graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 25% 3.00 4.40  
SEVEN YEARS LATER 6 2 22 22   58 613¾ (gonzalez-milian g)PEREZ M 123 8.00 17.50  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 1 3 33 69   711½ 722½ (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 123 15.00 32.80  
 
PEN-5   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:243 :483 1:133 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTILUS 2 4 41 4 2 1½ 1(ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 W
DR BLARNEY 4 3 31 1nk 1 2½ 2(grusmark karl)DAVIS A 120 4.00 38% 1.60 1.80 P
EVENT PARTY 6 6 6 5 66 537 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 113 8.00 14.90 S
CRITICAL THINKING 8 1 1½ 2nk 4 46 4(shea lydee)CORA D 119 12.00 26.80  
CAERUS 7 5 53 6 3 36 5(lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 44.50  
MAXIMUM IMPACT 3 7 7 7 5 66(cash l)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.50 6.10  
COOL COMEDIAN 1 8 8 8 77 77(agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 26.20  
P JS SILVER DUKE 5 2 2½ 3.2 8 810¼ 813¾ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  LITTLE DEMON               (jacobson david)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:22 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECONOMIC POWER 1 4 45 3   21 1(ramirez gabriel)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 2.20  
JAYJAYDEE 5 2 2½ 1½   11 2(kreiser c)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 20% 4.10 3.20 P
VENOMOUS STATE 3 3 32 2½   33 3(graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.50 S
SPLITZVILLE 2 5 510½ 511½   513 413½ (hogan j)CASTILLO A 124 15.00 20.20  
GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 1½ 4   4514 (graci a)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 3.40  
SCR  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN               (moore m)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
SCR  SCREEN SAVER               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50    
 
PEN-7   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 8:43
:213 :451 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOR DE SOMBRA 6 6 4 21   1½ 1(preciado guadalupe)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60 W
LATE FROST 2 3 1nk 11   2½ 2(matz r)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 7% 12.70 1.50 P
LINDALOVESGOLD 1 5 5 5   58 3(servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 13.60 S
I CAME TO DANCE 7 7 6 6   610 413½ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00 21.90  
CELTIC TIGER 3 2 2nk 4   4515 (crook-demasi kathlee)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 10.00 18.20  
MIDNIGHT PARADE 5 1 3 3   3616¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 2.50 34% 1.90 3.20  
TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK 4 4 7 714½   728 755¾ (lawrence lee)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00 40.90  
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
 
PEN-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:223 :464 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTKISSMYGRITS 3 3 11 12   11¾ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 7.40  
SHATTER ME 5 1 21 44   22¾ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5.30  
GOLDEN LAW 7 2 5 3   46 35 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.50 2.20  
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 4 6 6 56   57 4(rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 8% 12.30 4.60  
STARSHIP REINA 6 5 31 22   34 5(lucas bonnie)VARGAS L 124 6.00 13% 7.00 6.20  
RAECHEL'S RISK 1 7 4 66   613½ 618¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.40  
HIT A HOMER HONEY 2 4 7 710   717 720 (nichol w)INIRIO J 121 12.00 7% 13.20 46.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.