Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Nov13 Nov05 Oct30 Oct22 Oct08 (smith lawrenc)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 ★    
2  HOLD THE IRISH Oct11 May19 Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
3  WICKED CRAZY Oct24 Oct03 Aug29 Aug18 Jul24 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  HAIR OF THE DOG Nov05 Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 ★    
5  MIDDLE EARTH Nov04 Aug28 Jul07 Jun09 May21 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
6  HERE'S WALDO Oct05 Sep07 Jul27 Jun14 May19 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Nov02 Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50 7% 14.20    
2  GRAND ESCAPE Nov02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug09 Jul13 (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  BRENTFORD Oct25 Sep22 Sep02     (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 119 5.00    
4  TREJO Oct27 Oct06 Aug28 Jul24 Jul03 (perez ernest)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 10.00    
SCR  UPSTATE AND BACK Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 Jul28 Jul13 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
6  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Nov08 Oct11 Sep22 Sep12 Aug22 (cheeks ka)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
7  SUPER ROCKER Aug01 Jul20 Jun24     (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
8  TIEMPO PERFECTO Oct31 Sep27 Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 (hogan william)OCASIO M 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
 
PEN-3   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZTHAROS Nov09 Oct18 Sep16 Aug05 Jul15 (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00 50% 1.00    
2  FIFTH ELEMENT Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 Jul20 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00    
3  FORECLOSURE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00    
4  ASK THE UMPIRE Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Apr08   (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 5.00 6% 16.00    
5  POWER OF AQUARIUS Nov08 Oct26 Jun15     (taylor jose)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 20.00    
6  FLAT BUSTED Nov08 Jan25       (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00    
7  JEKYLL ISLAND Nov08 Oct25 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 5% 18.50    
8  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Nov08 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (albright )VARGAS L 123 8.00    
9  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 ★    
10  VINDICATO Nov09 Oct21 Oct07     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 12.00    
SCR  JACK SLYE Oct23 Sep30       (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 123 4.50    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Nov07 Oct07 Sep05 Aug19 Aug04 (zerpa gil)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-4   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN SPRINGS Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 Aug09 Jul11 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
2  RISQUE'S JEWEL Oct25 Oct11 Sep28 Sep16 Aug24 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 124 8.00 ★    
3  DILLY DILLY PHILLY Nov02 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Jun14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  MEMPHIS MAFIA Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 Aug31 Jul11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 ★    
5  HIPNOTIZADA Nov04 Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 Jun27 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  SEVEN YEARS LATER Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun11 (gonzalez-mili)PEREZ M 123 8.00    
7  QUEEN ROSEMARY Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug17 Jul14 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL COMEDIAN Oct25 Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 May20 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
2  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Nov05 Nov05 Sep26 Aug17 Jul26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  MAXIMUM IMPACT Oct27 Oct20 Sep24 Aug19 Aug07 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.50    
4  DR BLARNEY Nov07 Aug24 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
5  P JS SILVER DUKE Nov02 Aug25 Jul29 Jun30 Jun16 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE DEMON Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 Aug20 Jul28 (jacobson dav)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00 ★    
7  EVENT PARTY Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug06 Jul06 (mcmahon )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 ★    
8  CAERUS Nov08 Oct06 Aug27 Aug07 Jul07 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
9  CRITICAL THINKING Nov08 Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jul07 (shea lydee)CORA D 119 12.00    
 
PEN-6   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECONOMIC POWER Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Sep02 Jul29 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
2  SPLITZVILLE Nov07 Oct18 Oct03 Sep26 Sep14 (hogan j)CASTILLO A 124 15.00    
SCR  SCREEN SAVER Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 ★    
4  VENOMOUS STATE Nov04 Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 Jul06 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
5  GRAB THE GOLD Oct18 Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 Jul06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Nov21 Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 Jul19 (moore michael )CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 ★    
7  JAYJAYDEE Aug20 Jul14 Jun03 May11 Apr22 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-7   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDALOVESGOLD Nov01 Sep26 Aug01     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS Oct24 Sep15 Sep01 Jul27   (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 ★    
3  LATE FROST Oct28 Sep16       (matz )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 7% 12.70    
4  CELTIC TIGER Nov07         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 10.00    
5  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Aug31 Aug09 Jul09 Jun15   (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT PARADE Sep24 Sep01       (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  FLOR DE SOMBRA Oct24 Sep24 Aug22 Jul26   (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  I CAME TO DANCE Nov08 Oct14       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00    
 
PEN-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAECHEL'S RISK Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 Aug05 Jul13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  HIT A HOMER HONEY Nov14 Oct12 Sep12 Aug31 Aug03 (nichol kevin )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00 7% 13.20    
3  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Sep22 Sep02 Jun23 May25 Apr29 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 ★    
4  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 Jul21 Jun30 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 8% 12.30    
5  SHATTER ME Oct26 Sep07 Aug05 Jul07 Apr29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
6  STARSHIP REINA Nov01 Oct07 Sep28 Jul30 Jul09 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 13% 7.00    
7  GOLDEN LAW Oct14 Sep21 Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.