The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Thursday - October 27, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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KEE-1   10/27/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:234 :471 1:121 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEVER CHANGE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 15 17½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 17% 4.80 0.70 W
6  LORD CAPTAIN 6 6 53½ 45 44 35 27½ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19.01  
4  EMPIRE BUILDER 4 3 43 33 32 25 37¾ (seale christopher)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★ 12.28 S
5  HEY BOSS 5 4 66 610 69½ 59 411¼ (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 20.00 9% 10.20 16.11  
3  WORDS OF WISDOM 3 5 2½ 2½ 21 47 514 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 16% 5.40 6.09  
1  COASTAL CHAOS 1 1 33 55 55½ 612 620½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.59  
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
 
KEE-2   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
:231 :48 1:132 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER DESIGN 1 2 11 11 11 11½ 1½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.08 W
5  CARMICHAEL 5 6 510 42 52¼ 21½ 2½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 1.80 23% 3.30 3.29 P
2  CAN'T HUSH THIS 2 1 21 21 21 32 31 (estvanko richard)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 20% 4.10 4.94 S
4  MAXIMUM IMPACT 4 5 612½ 64¼ 63¾ 54 44 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 ★ 11.97  
3  ENDLESS SUNSET 3 4 49½ 52¼ 42 42½ 54 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 13.26  
6  CAMP DAVID 6 3 33½ 32 31 65 612½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★ 2.13  
 
KEE-3   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANKHURST 1 6 77½ 67   63¼ 11¼ (shirer a)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 3.57  
2  WILD BEHAVIOR 2 2 22 22   1nk 21¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 17% 4.90 2.75 P
6  GRAY ATTEMPT 6 1 43½ 32½   3½ 31¼ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 24% 3.30 7.88 S
5  REED KAN 5 7 55½ 54½   41½ 42 (asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 121 1.60 31% 2.20 3.62  
4  CALIFORNIA STREET 4 5 33½ 44   51¾ 52¼ (diodoro robertino)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 ★ 4.34  
8  MONTAUK DADDY 8 4 12 12   2nk 65¼ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 6.75  
7  TRAPPE VALLEY 7 3 66 78½   76¾ 710¾ (hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 ★ 23.53  
3  BOLD ADVENTURE 3 8 820 835½   841¾ 854¼ (peterson annette)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 49.22  
 
KEE-4   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:243 :491 1:134 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAN'TBETEMALL 6 4 21 3½ 2½ 1nk 11¼ (grubbs l)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 26% 2.90 2.50 W
4  TIME FOR TROUBLE 3 3 56 42½ 43½ 41¾ 21¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 2.50 35% 1.90 3.18 P
5  LEADER OF MEN 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 31¼ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.71  
6  BEAR OAK 5 6 33½ 2½ 32 31½ 42¼ (bahena ismael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 ★ 2.43  
2  DERBY CODE 2 1 44½ 65¾ 68 56¼ 56 (robertson mclean)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 7.27  
1  EAGLE PASS 1 5 66 52¾ 54½ 67¼ 69 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 22.86  
SCR  GIGGING               (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 ★    
 
KEE-5   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
:224 :473 1:122 1:382   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GET ON THE BUS 8 5 21 21 32 21½ 1¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 5.38  
4  IMPLOSION 4 3 52¼ 55 65¼ 44 2¾ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 9.70  
5  TWO SIXTYONE 5 2 11 11 12 11½ 31 (king l)CASTANON L 122 15.00 8% 11.30 7.12 S
2  UNDER ONE SKY 2 4 84¾ 65½ 55 34 42¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00 4.38  
10  GAL WONDER (GB) 10 8 73¾ 86½ 76¾ 55 52¾ (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5.41  
7  MINT EDITION 7 9 94¾ 98 118¾ 89¼ 63½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 17% 4.80 11.31  
12  LET'S DUET 11 7 62¾ 76 87¼ 79 76 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 11.05  
3  CHATON ROUGE 3 11 117¾ 119¼ 107¾ 68 87¼ (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 61.47  
6  SISTER NELL 6 10 106¼ 108¼ 97¾ 99¼ 97½ (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 4.91  
1  AALIYAH EZRI 1 1 42 42 43 1111¾ 1012 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 9.27  
9  FANTAIL (GB) 9 6 31 31 22 1010¼ 1112¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.40 33.32  
SCR  BRAVO KITTEN               (joseph a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA               (obert danielle)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:221 :463 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RARIFY 7 3 45½ 44   11 13¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 35% 1.90 0.46 W
7  MALIBU TOAST 5 1 31 1½   21 23¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 17% 4.90 7.15 P
5  STELLAR LILY 4 2 21 32½   35 39 (moquett e)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 ★ 7.58 S
10  A. P. LADY 8 8 57½ 57½   48 412¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 16.60  
3  SWEET CHABLIS 2 7 811 813   613½ 515 (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 46.84  
1  MASTER SOM 1 4 11 2½   58½ 619¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★ 5.03  
8  CLASSIC FAREWELL 6 6 79½ 611½   715½ 723 (schultz lindsay)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 86.75  
4  CATCHA LATER MO 3 5 68½ 712   818½ 827 (hancock dana)ROCCO S 119 20.00 68.97  
SCR  ADALINDA               (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
KEE-7   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:231 :464 1:124 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IMPLEMENTATION 2 1 23½ 24½ 12½ 12½ 16 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★ 2.86  
3  COOL RAGS 3 4 58 49 43 22½ 26 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 8% 11.90 12.31 P
4  JR'S GIFT 4 8 814¼ 715 810 48 310¼ (andrade hugo)MCKEE J 118 12.00 7.99  
9  HAPPY BOY ROCKET 8 7 68¼ 69½ 22½ 58 414¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 9% 9.90 5.03  
7  CIVICS CLASS 6 2 35½ 37 54½ 37½ 515½ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 9.18  
1  CENTURION 1 3 711¾ 917¼ 911½ 711½ 616 (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.11  
6  DEEP STATE 5 9 916¾ 815¼ 66½ 610 716¾ (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 6.59  
10  BLUE NORTHER 9 6 13½ 14½ 32½ 813½ 830¾ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.81  
8  UNLEASH THE POWER 7 5 45½ 59 79 921½ 941 (stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 15.22  
SCR  CALRISSIAN               (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
:23 :471 1:122 1:381   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LOVELY PRINCESS 8 8 76½ 77 74 2½ 11 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9% 9.60 5.36 W
5  PERSONAL BEST 4 6 65½ 64½ 52½ 3½ 21 (mcgaughey iii)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.34 P
4  LOVED REIKO 3 7 88 89 85½ 63¾ 31½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 50.03  
3  INSATIABLE 2 1 22½ 22½ 31½ 1½ 41½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5.35  
1  ELLE EST FORTE 1 5 54½ 44 63 51¼ 53 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 14% 6.00 5.65  
8  THISNAMEISOKAY 7 3 32½ 33 21 41 65¾ (cooper steve)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00 6.74  
11  PEARL EARRING 10 4 43½ 54½ 41½ 88¼ 712 (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★ 14.07  
12  MS MERRABEL 11 2 12½ 12½ 11 76¾ 815¾ (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 73.85  
6  MY SWEET STORY 5 11 1012 1014 1014 1014¼ 919¾ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 15% 5.80 22.83  
7  WILMORE 6 9 98½ 911 910½ 912¾ 1020¼ (begley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 50.00 ######  
10  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 9 10 1113 1117 1118½ 1119¼ 1128½ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 50.31  
SCR  GET CLEAR               (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ROC'S PRINCESS               (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
:23 :472 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SALTA 6 3 12 11   12½ 16 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.55 W
10  BALSA 10 1 32 21   22½ 26 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.08 P
9  MATARO 9 10 96¾ 85½   37 38 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8% 11.60 4.39 S
5  TIME TO CRUISE 5 9 1010¾ 109½   911¼ 48½ (robertson mclean)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.37  
2  PREMIUM 2 4 64¾ 65   48 59 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 8.35  
4  LIFE AND LIGHT 4 6 85¾ 97½   79½ 610¼ (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.79 DH
8  SANTINO'S FANTASY 8 7 75¾ 75   68½ 610¼ (shorter aaron)JORDAN R 119 30.00 52.64 DH
1  TALK TO TOKEY 1 5 42½ 54   58 812 (deville j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 60.08  
7  IRONSIDES 7 2 22 33   89¾ 917¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 14.42  
3  BOLT ABOVE 3 8 54½ 43½   1011¾ 1017½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 9.71  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.