Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER CHANGE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 15 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 17% 4.80 0.70 W
LORD CAPTAIN 6 6 5 45 44 35 2 (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19.01  
EMPIRE BUILDER 4 3 43 33 32 25 3 (seale christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 12.28 S
HEY BOSS 5 4 66 610 6 59 411¼ (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 20.00 9% 10.20 16.11  
WORDS OF WISDOM 3 5 2½ 2½ 21 47 514 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 16% 5.40 6.09  
COASTAL CHAOS 1 1 33 55 5 612 620½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.59  
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
 
KEE-2   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:132 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER DESIGN 1 2 11 11 11 1 1½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.08 W
CARMICHAEL 5 6 510 42 5 2 2½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 1.80 23% 3.30 3.29 P
CAN'T HUSH THIS 2 1 21 21 21 32 31 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 20% 4.10 4.94 S
MAXIMUM IMPACT 4 5 612½ 6 6 54 44 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 11.97  
ENDLESS SUNSET 3 4 4 5 42 4 54 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 13.26  
CAMP DAVID 6 3 3 32 31 65 612½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.13  
 
KEE-3   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKHURST 1 6 7 67   6 1 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 3.57  
WILD BEHAVIOR 2 2 22 22   1nk 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 17% 4.90 2.75 P
GRAY ATTEMPT 6 1 4 3   3½ 3 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 24% 3.30 7.88 S
REED KAN 5 7 5 5   4 42 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 1.60 31% 2.20 3.62  
CALIFORNIA STREET 4 5 3 44   5 5 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 4.34  
MONTAUK DADDY 8 4 12 12   2nk 6 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 6.75  
TRAPPE VALLEY 7 3 66 7   7 710¾ (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 23.53  
BOLD ADVENTURE 3 8 820 835½   841¾ 854¼ (peterson annette)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 49.22  
 
KEE-4   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'TBETEMALL 6 4 21 3½ 2½ 1nk 1 (grubbs l)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 26% 2.90 2.50 W
TIME FOR TROUBLE 3 3 56 4 4 4 2 (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 2.50 35% 1.90 3.18 P
LEADER OF MEN 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 3 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.71  
BEAR OAK 5 6 3 2½ 32 3 4 (bahena ismael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 2.43  
DERBY CODE 2 1 4 6 68 5 56 (robertson )SANTANA JR 122 3.50 7.27  
EAGLE PASS 1 5 66 5 5 6 69 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 22.86  
SCR  GIGGING               (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 3.00    
 
KEE-5   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:122 1:382   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET ON THE BUS 8 5 21 21 32 2 1¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 5.38  
IMPLOSION 4 3 5 55 6 44 2¾ (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 9.70  
TWO SIXTYONE 5 2 11 11 12 1 31 (king l)CASTANON L 122 15.00 8% 11.30 7.12 S
UNDER ONE SKY 2 4 8 6 55 34 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00 4.38  
10  GAL WONDER (GB) 10 8 7 8 7 55 5 (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5.41  
MINT EDITION 7 9 9 98 11 8 6 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 17% 4.80 11.31  
12  LET'S DUET 11 7 6 76 8 79 76 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 11.05  
CHATON ROUGE 3 11 11 11 10 68 8 (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 61.47  
SISTER NELL 6 10 10 10 9 9 9 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 4.91  
AALIYAH EZRI 1 1 42 42 43 1111¾ 1012 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 9.27  
FANTAIL (GB) 9 6 31 31 22 1010¼ 1112¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.40 33.32  
SCR  BRAVO KITTEN               (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA               (obert danielle)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :463 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RARIFY 7 3 4 44   11 1 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 35% 1.90 0.46 W
MALIBU TOAST 5 1 31 1½   21 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 17% 4.90 7.15 P
STELLAR LILY 4 2 21 3   35 39 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 7.58 S
10  A. P. LADY 8 8 5 5   48 412¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 16.60  
SWEET CHABLIS 2 7 811 813   613½ 515 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 46.84  
MASTER SOM 1 4 11 2½   5 619¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5.03  
CLASSIC FAREWELL 6 6 7 611½   715½ 723 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 86.75  
CATCHA LATER MO 3 5 6 712   818½ 827 (hancock dana)ROCCO S 119 20.00 68.97  
SCR  ADALINDA               (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
KEE-7   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:124 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLEMENTATION 2 1 2 2 1 1 16 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 2.86  
COOL RAGS 3 4 58 49 43 2 26 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 8% 11.90 12.31 P
JR'S GIFT 4 8 814¼ 715 810 48 310¼ (andrade hugo)MCKEE J 118 12.00 7.99  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET 8 7 6 6 2 58 414¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 9% 9.90 5.03  
CIVICS CLASS 6 2 3 37 5 3 515½ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 9.18  
CENTURION 1 3 711¾ 917¼ 911½ 711½ 616 (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.11  
DEEP STATE 5 9 916¾ 815¼ 6 610 716¾ (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 6.59  
10  BLUE NORTHER 9 6 1 1 3 813½ 830¾ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.81  
UNLEASH THE POWER 7 5 4 59 79 921½ 941 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 15.22  
SCR  CALRISSIAN               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:122 1:381   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY PRINCESS 8 8 7 77 74 2½ 11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9% 9.60 5.36 W
PERSONAL BEST 4 6 6 6 5 3½ 21 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.34 P
LOVED REIKO 3 7 88 89 8 6 3 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 50.03  
INSATIABLE 2 1 2 2 3 1½ 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5.35  
ELLE EST FORTE 1 5 5 44 63 5 53 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 14% 6.00 5.65  
THISNAMEISOKAY 7 3 3 33 21 41 6 (cooper steve)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00 6.74  
11  PEARL EARRING 10 4 4 5 4 8 712 (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 14.07  
12  MS MERRABEL 11 2 1 1 11 7 815¾ (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 73.85  
MY SWEET STORY 5 11 1012 1014 1014 1014¼ 919¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 15% 5.80 22.83  
WILMORE 6 9 9 911 910½ 912¾ 1020¼ (begley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 50.00 ######  
10  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 9 10 1113 1117 1118½ 1119¼ 1128½ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 50.31  
SCR  GET CLEAR               (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ROC'S PRINCESS               (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :472 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTA 6 3 12 11   1 16 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.55 W
10  BALSA 10 1 32 21   2 26 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.08 P
MATARO 9 10 9 8   37 38 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8% 11.60 4.39 S
TIME TO CRUISE 5 9 1010¾ 10   911¼ 4 (robertson )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.37  
PREMIUM 2 4 6 65   48 59 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 8.35  
LIFE AND LIGHT 4 6 8 9   7 610¼ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.79 DH
SANTINO'S FANTASY 8 7 7 75   6 610¼ (shorter aaron)JORDAN R 119 30.00 52.64 DH
TALK TO TOKEY 1 5 4 54   58 812 (deville car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 60.08  
IRONSIDES 7 2 22 33   8 917¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 14.42  
BOLT ABOVE 3 8 5 4   1011¾ 1017½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 9.71  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.