Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHAOS Oct12 Sep29 Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
NEVER CHANGE Sep25 Aug28 Jul16 May20 Mar26 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
WORDS OF WISDOM Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 May15 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 16% 5.40    
EMPIRE BUILDER Sep07 Jul09 Jun17 May20 Apr20 (seale christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
HEY BOSS Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 Jul31 Jun29 (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 20.00 9% 10.20    
LORD CAPTAIN Oct05 Aug30 Aug11 Jun25   (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE Sep05 Jul15 Jun12 Jan14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
 
KEE-2   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER DESIGN Sep08 Jun02 Apr21 Mar23 Jan21 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
CAN'T HUSH THIS Oct12 Sep11 Sep01 Jul24 Jun29 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
ENDLESS SUNSET Oct17 Sep17 Sep07 Jul09 Jun26 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Oct20 Sep24 Aug19 Aug07 Jul30 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50    
CARMICHAEL Aug16 Jun19 May21 Feb11 Jan12 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
CAMP DAVID Oct01 Sep14 Jun12 May17   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
KEE-3   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKHURST Sep23 Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 Jul13 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Sep21 Aug06 Jun22 May29 Apr29 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 17% 4.90    
BOLD ADVENTURE Oct10 Aug28       (peterson annett)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
CALIFORNIA STREET Sep25 Aug21 Jun11 May15 Mar26 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
REED KAN Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 Jun30 May27 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
GRAY ATTEMPT Oct07 Aug23 Jul13 Jun21 Mar19 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 24% 3.30    
TRAPPE VALLEY Sep23 Aug27 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Oct15 Sep04 Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE PASS Oct02 Sep15 Jun29 Jun18 Jun08 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
DERBY CODE Sep17 Aug21 Mar17 Feb18 Jan22 (robertson )SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
SCR  GIGGING Oct14 Oct01 Sep24 Aug19 Aug13 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 3.00    
TIME FOR TROUBLE Sep28 Sep05 Jul06     (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
LEADER OF MEN Oct02 Aug02 Jun29 Jun08 May08 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
BEAR OAK Oct02 Sep08 Aug16 Jul06 Jun08 (bahena ismael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
CAN'TBETEMALL Sep08 Aug24 Aug05 Jul04 Jun10 (grubbs l)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
KEE-5   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AALIYAH EZRI Sep01 Aug06 Jul08 May27 Apr13 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
UNDER ONE SKY Sep03 Jul23 May29 Apr27   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHATON ROUGE Sep25 Sep03 Jul21 Jun25 May30 (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
IMPLOSION Sep18 Aug06       (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
TWO SIXTYONE Sep01 Jul09 Jun17 Jun08 May07 (king l)CASTANON L 122 15.00 8% 11.30    
SISTER NELL Sep10 Jan21       (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
MINT EDITION Sep05 Mar24 Feb11     (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
GET ON THE BUS Oct02 Sep04 Aug27     (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
FANTAIL (GB) Sep29 Sep13 Aug14     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.40    
10  GAL WONDER (GB) Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 Jul03   (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BRAVO KITTEN Sep03 Aug12 Jul14 May18 Apr28 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
12  LET'S DUET Oct13 Sep05 Aug20 Jul29 Apr27 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA Sep22 Aug18 Aug07 May19 Apr26 (obert danielle)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER SOM Sep01         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Jul13         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
SWEET CHABLIS         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
CATCHA LATER MO Oct04 Sep09 Aug20 Jul31 Apr21 (hancock dana)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
STELLAR LILY Sep30         (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  ADALINDA Oct04 Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00    
MALIBU TOAST Sep30         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
CLASSIC FAREWELL Sep17         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
RARIFY Aug21 Jul24       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 35% 1.90    
10  A. P. LADY         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTURION Sep28 Aug15 Jul23 Apr30 Apr08 (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
IMPLEMENTATION Oct08 Aug23 Jul09     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
COOL RAGS Oct12 Sep05 Aug06 Apr24 Apr13 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 8% 11.90    
JR'S GIFT Oct12 Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Jun12 (andrade hugo)MCKEE J 118 12.00    
SCR  CALRISSIAN Oct05 Aug16 Jul10 May30 Apr28 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
DEEP STATE Sep28 Sep08 Aug06 Jul09 May21 (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
CIVICS CLASS Sep22 Aug30 Jul27 May28 Apr09 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
UNLEASH THE POWER Sep01 Jul23 Jun19 May07   (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
HAPPY BOY ROCKET Oct01 Sep08 Jun12 Apr23 Apr16 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 9% 9.90    
10  BLUE NORTHER Oct16 Sep14 Aug26 Jul29 Apr16 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   10/27/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLE EST FORTE Sep25 Sep03 Jul24 Jun28 May29 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  GET CLEAR Aug18 Jul19 Jul01 May26 May10 (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
INSATIABLE Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 May29 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
LOVED REIKO Oct07 Jul29 Jul07     (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
PERSONAL BEST Sep08 Aug16 Jun17 Apr15 Mar13 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
MY SWEET STORY Sep25 Aug05 Jul11 Jun17   (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
WILMORE Sep27 Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 May27 (begley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 50.00    
THISNAMEISOKAY Oct01 Sep06 Aug18 Jul01 Jun08 (cooper steve)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00    
LOVELY PRINCESS Oct02 Sep03 Aug14 Jul23 Apr23 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9% 9.60    
10  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Sep03 Jun08 May12 Apr20 Mar25 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
11  PEARL EARRING Sep25 Sep03 Jul11 May28 Apr28 (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
12  MS MERRABEL Oct11 Sep16 Sep02 Aug17 Aug05 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
SCR  ROC'S PRINCESS Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 Jun02 (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK TO TOKEY Sep24         (deville car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
PREMIUM Sep24 Aug19       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
BOLT ABOVE Sep30 Sep01       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
LIFE AND LIGHT         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIME TO CRUISE         (robertson )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SALTA Oct02 Jun18 May22     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
IRONSIDES Oct07 Aug30 Jul30 Jul02   (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SANTINO'S FANTASY Sep24         (shorter aaron)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
MATARO Aug22 Aug05 Jun26 Jun10   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8% 11.60    
10  BALSA Sep01 Jul23       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.