The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Saturday - November 05, 2022

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KEE-1   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT-10:30
:222 :454 1:094     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARABIAN KNIGHT 3 1 11 11   16 1(baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 41% 1.50 0.76 W
13  DETERMINEDLY 11 3 5 53   26 2(casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 11.27 P
10  EXPECT MORE 9 11 1115½ 1113¼   410½ 313½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 14.54  
DAKOTA RUN 1 7 42 31   39 415¾ (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 24.92  
ENCENDIDO 4 10 10 9   712 516¼ (maker j)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 57.06  
ROCKET AND ROLL 7 8 8 6   511½ 618 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 4.78  
FASHION KING 5 5 21 21   611½ 720¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 10% 9.40 4.36  
GLEN AIRY 6 9 65 8   918½ 829½ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 ######  
AERATOR 8 4 9 7   1019 930 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 30.00 50.93  
11  CERTAIN 10 2 31 4   816 1031 (caramori caio)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 37.48  
LINE TO GAIN 2 6 7 1010¾   1121 1132¾ (litfin nevada)JORDAN R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
SCR  KUPP               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  REAGAN               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-2   11/05/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($195K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
:223 :454 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKATOMI 2 8 31 3.2   12 1½ (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 7% 12.70 3.47 W
ENDORSED 1 9 82 5   22 2½ (maker j)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 19.92 P
14  FORTIN HILL 11 1 2nk 1nk   33(lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 21% 3.70 6.99 S
11  NIGHT TIME 8 11 9 8   44(romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 21.53  
GUN IT 5 4 5 6   66 5(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 16% 5.10 8.69  
12  NO SHIRT NO SHOES 9 3 6 4   56 69 (anderson l)JORDAN R 120 30.00 36.23  
13  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 10 2 10 10   78 710 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 120 20.00 50.81  
ROBO MAN 7 10 11 1112¾   912 818½ (pierce lacy)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 81.72  
SILK TRADE 4 7 4 7   1013 920¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 14.85  
BAYTOWN BEAR 6 5 7 9   1114½ 1024½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00 81.50  
MESSIER 3 6 1nk 2nk   811 1125¾ (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 31% 2.20 0.94  
SCR  DOC AMSTER               (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00    
SCR  LONG RANGE TODDY               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  TEMPT FATE               (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00    
 
KEE-3   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3UP M/F PT-11:50
:221 :444 1:09     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE 8 1 53 5   12 1(brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 40% 1.50 1.85 W
13  ECHO ZULU 12 4 4 62   22 2(asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 P
11  WICKED HALO 10 2 6 4   33 3(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 14.40  
CE CE 4 9 75 7   545 (mccarthy w)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00 6% 16.30 11.16  
OBLIGATORY 7 6 1114½ 1211½   125(mott i)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 6.32  
CHI TOWN LADY 3 12 1216 1111   116(ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 45.67  
EDGEWAY 2 5 2½ 2nk   43 78 (sadler w)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 28.94  
12  LADY ROCKET 11 3 32 3   76 8(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 6% 16.80 17.88  
STERLING SILVER 9 7 98 105   99(albertrani thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00 78.43  
CHAIN OF LOVE (JPN) 6 10 10 9   81016 (ogasa michihiro)BUICK T 124 20.00 14.77  
FRANK'S ROCKETTE 5 8 8 84   101116¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 21% 3.90 9.76  
SLAMMED 1 11 1½ 1nk   61218¼ (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 14.61  
SCR  HOT PEPPERS               (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00    
 
KEE-4   11/05/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT-12:29
:22 :441 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CARAVEL 10 2 11 1½   1½ 1½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 42.89  
EMARAATY ANA (GB) 3 4 4 42   2½ 2½ (ryan a)MOORE L 126 20.00 6% 14.50 21.05 P
CREATIVE FORCE (IRE) 1 7 10 9   83¾ (appleby charles)BUICK T 126 10.00 7.50  
HIGHFIELD PRINCESS (FR) 6 6 52 5   54(quinn john)HART JASON 123 3.50 3.41  
14  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 13 1 31 3½   35(maker j)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00 75.32  
FLOTUS (IRE) 2 11 7 75   663 (crisford simon)DOYLE HOLLIE 121 30.00 ######  
CAMPANELLE (IRE) 4 13 95 11   107(ward a)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00 8.30  
ARREST ME RED 7 3 21 2½   48(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 15.00 20.17  
11  CASA CREED 11 8 13 139   97 9(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 18% 4.70 11.48  
GOLDEN PAL 8 14 6 63   75 10(ward a)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 49% 1.00 1.32  
13  CAZADERO 12 10 14 1410   1210 11(walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 20.00 33.89  
GO BEARS GO (IRE) 5 5 8 8   118 126 (loughnane david)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 30.00 66.21  
16  OCEANIC 14 9 12 12   1412 139 (blair jordan)LEPAROUX R 126 30.00 48.95  
NAVAL CROWN (GB) 9 12 11 107   1310½ 1410¼ (appleby charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 30.00 36.94  
SCR  BRAN (FR)               (sadler w)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 15.00    
SCR  DANCING BUCK               (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00    
 
KEE-5   11/05/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
:221 :454 1:102 1:224   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODY'S WISH 6 8 812½ 9 31 2nk 1nk (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 2.50 66% 0.50 2.16 W
CYBERKNIFE 7 5 44 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 3.26 P
SLOW DOWN ANDY 1 1 32 4 42 43(o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 30.00 17.62  
GUNITE 5 2 2 21 2nk 31 44 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 3.69  
LAW PROFESSOR 4 6 68 64 64 55 5(atras rob)ORTIZ L 126 20.00 18.41  
11  THREE TECHNIQUE 9 7 7 7 8 7612 (cook b)BEJARANO R 126 30.00 39.29  
SIMPLIFICATION 2 4 5 5 75 6713 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 9.31  
10  SENOR BUSCADOR 8 9 913½ 8 9 8813½ (fincher w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 12.00 5% 19.00 14.04  
PIPELINE 3 3 1 11 5 9938½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 6.45  
SCR  INFORMATIVE               (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 126 30.00    
SCR  LAUREL RIVER               (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 126 4.50    
 
KEE-6   11/05/2022 6270ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:224 :462 1:102 1:342   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUESDAY (IRE) 5 6 7 77 7 311 (o'brien p)MOORE L 120 8.00 4.19  
11  IN ITALIAN (GB) 11 2 1 11 1 121 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.96 P
LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE 1 4 3 3 4 23(attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 32.12 S
NASHWA (GB) 3 8 9 88 9 64(gosden h)DOYLE HOLLIE 120 2.50 25% 3.10 2.59  
12  MOIRA 12 11 11 12 1110¼ 97 56 (attard kevin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00 8% 11.50 9.19  
MISE EN SCENE (GB) 6 7 5 5 55 55 66 (ferguson james)FALLON CIEREN 120 30.00 57.98  
ABOVE THE CURVE 4 9 10 10 8 118 7(o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 8.21  
10  VIRGINIA JOY (GER) 10 12 1210¾ 11 1210¾ 88(brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 18.05  
TOY (IRE) 7 3 2 21 2 44 9(o'brien p)LORDAN W 120 20.00 49.10  
FAMILY WAY 8 1 4 43 3 71012¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 20.00 5% 19.00 30.68  
ROUGIR (FR) 9 10 8 98 10 1210 1113¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00 13.61  
GOING TO VEGAS 2 5 6 6 67 107 1214 (d'amato philip)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 20.00 23.08  
 
KEE-7   11/05/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:221 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELITE POWER 6 2 7 6   41(mott i)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 20% 4.10 5.55 W
C Z ROCKET 8 9 54 32   1nk 2(miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 20.00 5% 19.00 31.45 P
JACKIE'S WARRIOR 9 7 2 2   3.2 3(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 126 0.80 28% 2.50 0.77 S
MANNY WAH 1 5 9 8   54(catalano m)LANERIE J 126 30.00 55.09  
O BESOS 3 11 11 10   85(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00 39.09  
SUPER OCHO (CHI) 7 8 1 1   2nk 64 (sanchez merei)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 30.00 8% 11.20 41.61  
KIMARI 2 3 8 9   97(ward a)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 5.49  
AMERICAN THEOREM 4 10 6 75   68(papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 126 10.00 18% 4.40 11.32  
11  FLASH OF MISCHIEF 11 1 4 5   79(broberg karl)TORRES A 126 30.00 20.55  
10  WILLY BOI 10 6 3 4   101015¼ (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 126 30.00 35.53  
ALOHA WEST 5 4 10 1110   1110¼ 1117¼ (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 126 12.00 13.61  
 
KEE-8   11/05/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:23 :464 1:11 1:223   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODERN GAMES (IRE) 4 9 8 8 7 41¾ (appleby charles)BUICK T 123 3.50 22% 3.50 1.38 W
SHIRL'S SPEIGHT 2 3 7 74 9 72¾ (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 126 30.00 55.67  
13  KINROSS (GB) 12 13 12 10 10 114 3¾ (beckett ralph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 126 4.50 9% 9.70 9.39 S
IVAR (BRZ) 6 6 5 53 5 2nk 41 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 126 15.00 9% 9.70 9.85  
MALAVATH (IRE) 9 12 14 14 12 83 5(graffard -)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 51.74  
10  ORDER OF AUSTRALIA (IRE) 10 8 10 9 8 106(o'brien p)MOORE L 126 12.00 8% 12.10 11.83  
POGO (IRE) 1 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 1nk 7(hills charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 20.00 36.09  
BEYOND BRILLIANT 7 5 3 3 3½ 58(shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 126 20.00 53.98  
SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 5 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 3.2 9(mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00 28.98  
REGAL GLORY 8 7 6 63 42 6105 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 20% 4.00 10.14  
11  ANNAPOLIS 11 11 11 11 11 125 11(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5.85  
DREAMLOPER (IRE) 3 4 42 42 6 93 12(walker ed)SHOEMARK KIERAN 123 6.00 14.95  
15  FRONT RUN THE FED 14 10 9 12 13 1310½ 1320 (caramori caio)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 30.00 ######  
14  DOMESTIC SPENDING (GB) 13 14 13 13 14100 14100 14100 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 11.03  
SCR  GEAR JOCKEY               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 126 30.00    
SCR  KING CAUSE               (maker j)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00    
 
KEE-9   11/05/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($2000K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:23 :471 1:12 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALATHAAT 1 6 6 7 63 51hd (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 17% 4.80 2.88 W
BLUE STRIPE (ARG) 2 1 32 6 42 2nk 2hd (polanco marcelo)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 20.00 24.02  
CLAIRIERE 4 8 811¼ 8 7 4¾ 3nk (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 11% 8.30 6.13 S
NEST 6 7 7 5 3½ 3½ 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.80 27% 2.70 1.48  
SECRET OATH 3 3 56 4 1½ 1nk 5(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 14.25  
SEARCH RESULTS 7 5 22 2½ 5 7616 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 9.38  
SOCIETY 8 4 12 1½ 2½ 6717¾ (asmussen m)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 16% 5.40 4.71  
AWAKE AT MIDNYTE 5 2 44 31 8 820¾ 848¾ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 30.00 66.95  
 
KEE-10   11/05/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($4000K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:25 :492 1:141 1:39 2:031 2:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) 5 108 10 9 7 1nk 1(appleby charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 3.00 15% 5.90 5.96 W
STONE AGE (IRE) 3 333 5 32 2nk 2(o'brien p)MOORE L 122 15.00 12.05  
WAR LIKE GODDESS 2 66 87 116 11 533 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 36% 1.80 3.47 S
11  MISHRIFF (IRE) 11 1211 10 8 74(gosden h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 126 6.00 4.37  
NATIONS PRIDE (IRE) 7 87 6 10 65(appleby charles)BUICK T 122 3.50 15% 5.90 2.91  
BROOME (IRE) 4 111210¾ 127 12 1065 (o'brien p)ORTIZ JR 126 12.00 8% 11.70 6.99  
CHANNEL MAKER 6 21 2 2½ 2nk 47(mott i)ORTIZ L 126 30.00 44.58  
MASTER PIECE (CHI) 8 455 8 54 88(mccarthy w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00 5% 19.00 26.16  
BYE BYE MELVIN 1 11 1 1½ 1nk 31 9(motion graham)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 15.00 48.22  
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) 9 97 9 7 6 1110(d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 20.00 41.19  
10  RED KNIGHT 10 76 42 4 91111¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 20.00 34.39  
13  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 13 545 32 9 1212¼ 1228 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 126 15.00 26.90  
12  NAUTILUS (BRZ) 12 1310¾ 1313¾ 13 1313½ 1319¼ 1337¾ (lobo h)CASTELLANO J null   73.32  
12  NAUTILUS 12             (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 126 30.00    
 
KEE-11   11/05/2022 6600ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($6000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
:223 :452 1:093 1:343   2:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHTLINE 4 2½ 22 2 1nk 11(sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 0.60 34% 2.00 0.44 W
OLYMPIAD 7 46 514½ 518½ 514 411½ 2(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00 15% 5.70 26.88 P
TAIBA 1 7413½ 418 311 310½ 3(baffert bob)SMITH E 122 8.00 8.26 S
RICH STRIKE 8 6717½ 620½ 616½ 612 411¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 20.00 24.61  
LIFE IS GOOD 2 1½ 12 1 2nk 2512½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 16% 5.10 8.81  
HOT ROD CHARLIE 5 35 313 315½ 412½ 512 615 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 15.00 16.98  
HAPPY SAVER 3 811 824 725 718½ 716½ 718½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 30.00 10% 9.00 49.21  
EPICENTER 6 5616½ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 6.14  
 
KEE-12   11/05/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:234 :473 1:12 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAKANAKA (IRE) 2 2 65 66 65 43 1¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 3.99  
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 6 6 5 55 5 21 2¾ (mulcahy geoff)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 23.53 P
BURNING AMBITION 3 1 1½ 1 1nk 11 3(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5.07  
STOLEN HOLIDAY 1 3 32 32 31 33 43 (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 14% 6.30 10.66  
SHANTISARA (IRE) 5 5 42 4 42 55(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 46% 1.20 1.01  
DALIKA (GER) 4 4 2½ 2 2nk 66(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 15% 5.90 3.91  
SCR  SUNNY ONE               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.