The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - January 02, 2023

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MVR-1   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:223 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MYRRH 5 3 32 2   11(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.20 6.80 W
V K STAR 3 5 910 6   32(bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 5.00 10% 8.70 2.80  
STORMY BELLA 6 1 11 1   235 (sondej amy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 3.40  
2B  V K PRINCESS 7 9 89 912½   612 410¼ (bracho jr)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 2.80  
SPEEDY FIRE 2 7 5 5   510 511¼ (urieta johanna)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 36% 1.80 5.10  
ARTUME 9 4 78 712   914 612 (brinsfield brooken)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 19.40  
GREGS POSSE 1 6 44 4   46 714½ (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 6.80  
CURRENT CAUSE 4 8 67 812   713½ 815 (fadlovich megan)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.20  
VERMONT HOLIDAY 8 2 21 3   814 918 (robillard julie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 3.80  
 
MVR-2   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:223 :471       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SHACK 6 2 11 13   11(zook w)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 12.80 1.30 W
ALPHA BETA GAMA 1 3 45 4   42(reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.40 36% 1.80 1.60 P
ROGERS GINGER 4 1 33 33   33(huffman m)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 18% 4.40 4.40 S
WHEN IN ROME 3 5 21 23   24(johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 17% 5.00 6.80  
PERFECT SPLIT 5 6 612 611¾   613 517 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 13.70  
MAHAL KITA 2 4 56 5   513 618 (medina tomas)KEISER CHELSEY 126 20.00 26.70  
SCR  PICARDE               (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00    
 
MVR-3   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:222 :464       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYWING 3 4 3 32   11 1½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 15.40  
EMPIRE'S FIRE 1 5 5 53   31 2½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 1.20 66% 0.50 0.05 P
CLAW 2 6 43 43   44 3¾ (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 8.00 30.50 S
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 5 2 2nk 11   21 4(veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 14.00  
BULLION 6 1 6 66   6511 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 8% 11.50 26.10  
UPGRADE AL 4 3 1nk 21   58 619¼ (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 11.10  
 
MVR-4   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 2:08
:223 :473       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLY CHROME 1 7 44 4   2½ 1(acevedo israel)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 7.00  
FACTISIMFLASHY 6 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2(chapman k)CORREA L 120 10.00 11.00  
UNESCORTED 4 4 7 6   46 38 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 27% 2.80 4.90 S
LOVE MY CHERYL 5 3 3 32   3412 (robillard julie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 17.10  
LADY GIULIANA 3 5 6 7   5515½ (skerrett jeffrey)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 4.50 5.30  
LONG BLACK VEIL 2 6 5 55   6618¾ (reed r)HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 42% 1.40 2.30  
LOTTA MOSCATO 7 2 1nk 2nk   7730¼ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 5% 17.60 1.90  
 
MVR-5   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:23 :473 1:01     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHOVILLE 5 9 6 5   1nk 1¾ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 48% 1.10 4.70 W
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 8 3 7 7   2nk 2¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 3.00  
SHEZA HOOT 2 1 107 9   73(urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 10.00 6.90  
LOADED ONCE MORE 7 8 8 4   442 (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 11% 7.90 7.20  
10  SWEET BELEN 10 2 11 1   35(murillo alejandro)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 4.80  
BETTABE SWIFT 9 4 34 3   665 (robillard julie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 13.90  
CASSIE'S RAINBOW 1 6 4 6   87(gomez alejandro)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 8.90  
DESPEIGHT ALL ODDS 3 5 21 2   5813 (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
ORBETTE 6 10 9 10   911¼ 916¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 23.50  
EMPEROR'S SONG 4 7 5 8   1013¼ 1019¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 4.70  
SCR  LUCKY TO HAVE ME               (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-6   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
:244 :483 1:134 1:274   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T POKE THE CAT 6 1 5 4 33 2½ 1(murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 124 8.00 44% 1.30 4.60 W
ACROSS THE AISLE 8 9 9 9 8 52(clouston edward)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 5.80 P
VOLBEAT 4 5 2nk 1½ 13 1½ 3(wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 2.80  
QUESTION AUTHORITY 5 7 8 7 7 44(bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 14.50  
SKIDSTREAM 1 8 3 2½ 23 35(faulkner c)CORREA L 124 15.00 23.80  
ENJOY BASEBALL 2 10 10 10 9 86(zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 15% 5.90 9.90  
GRANDGRAN 9 4 7 8 1010¼ 9710 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 11% 8.10 14.70  
ASTRO JAK 3 6 1nk 3½ 6 6813¼ (vickers t)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 9.90  
10  PAT DADDY 10 3 6 6 4 78 917¼ (rivera nestor)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 17.90 5.80  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 7 2 4 5 5 1012¼ 1021¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 5.00 6.20  
 
MVR-7   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:254 1:154 1:292     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 1 4 12 1 11 11(morales m)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6.70  
BIG FRANK 7 5 5 32 31 34 2(pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 27% 2.70 2.20 P
STRIKE A BEAT 2 2 22 2 21 23(radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 48% 1.10 3.20 S
NATES HEARTTHROB 4 7 6 7 5 544 (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 3.00  
JUST CHITU 3 6 3 5 4 45(wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 3.80  
CAPE MARCO DRIVE 6 1 7 65 7 715½ 623¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 18.70  
GET ALONG 5 3 4 4 6 613½ 725¾ (barnes a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 24.00  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ALIBI               (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
:231 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDING THE BRICK 9 2 4 42   1nk 1(short w)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.00 39% 1.50 2.60 W
JOCULARITY 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2(buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 9.40  
TURN THE SWITCH 4 7 7 6   3½ 35 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 6.00 2.90  
EXONERATED PREZ 3 4 2nk 2nk   44(tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
REINSURE 1 8 6 9   55 5(zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 8% 10.80 9.30  
JULIE'S FERRARI 7 9 9 8   76(welsh r)DIAZ I 124 8.00 12% 7.50 5.60  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 5 3.2 3½   6711¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 6.30  
GATTO MARRONE 8 1 5 5   9811½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 43.70  
QIAN B C 5 6 8 7   8914 (robillard julie)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.00 5.80  
 
MVR-9   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
:23 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE WILD FLYER 8 11 6 7   61(bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12.40  
10  TWICE AS SMART 11 8 21 1   12(zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 15.90  
SOUPER PRONTO 5 3 8 6   33(urieta johanna)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
STOP MAKING SENSE 2 4 11 9   74(overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.30  
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 7 6 12 1110   55 5(zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 2.50 36% 1.80 3.20  
PUBLIC RECORD 4 10 4 8   86(bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 22.00  
SMUDGE THE CAT 1 2 11 3   27(radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 2.00  
11  SUNNY BEAST 12 9 5 2   43 8(johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 9.70  
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 10 7 7 55   910½ 912½ (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
BAHAMIAN BEAT 6 1 9 109   1012½ 1015 (londono j)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 15% 5.70 60.70  
1A  KAPHAVATA 9 5 31 44   1117½ 1121¾ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 2.20  
DIAMOND MONEY 3 12 10 1217   1225½ 1235¼ (romero oscar)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 20.00 63.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.