Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(2/3/4/1/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-2 $47.80 $15.80 49%
MVR-2   DD (3/4/2/1)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-6 $68.40 $36.40 114%
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.40 $3.40 43%
MVR-6   WIN (6/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (6/2/9/10)-(6/2/9/10/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-8 $59.40 $27.40 86%
    DD (1/7/3/5)-(6/2/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-6 $91.20 $59.20 185%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MYRRH 5 3 32 21½   12½ 14½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.20 6.80 W
2  V K STAR 3 5 910 69½   34½ 24½ (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 5.00 10% 8.70 2.80  
5  STORMY BELLA 6 1 11 11½   22½ 35 (sondej amy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 3.40  
2B  V K PRINCESS 7 9 89 912½   612 410¼ (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 ★ 2.80  
3  SPEEDY FIRE 2 7 54½ 56½   510 511¼ (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 36% 1.80 5.10  
7  ARTUME 9 4 78 712   914 612 (brinsfield br)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 19.40  
1  GREGS POSSE 1 6 44 44½   46 714½ (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 6.80  
4  CURRENT CAUSE 4 8 67 812   713½ 815 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.20  
6  VERMONT HOLIDAY 8 2 21 32½   814 918 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★ 3.80  
 
MVR-2   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BAYOU SHACK 6 2 11 13   15½ 17½ (zook w)BRACHO A 126 6.00 7% 12.80 1.30 W
1  ALPHA BETA GAMA 1 3 45 46½   48½ 27½ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.40 36% 1.80 1.60 P
4  ROGERS GINGER 4 1 33 33   36½ 37¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 18% 4.40 4.40 S
3  WHEN IN ROME 3 5 21 23   25½ 49¾ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 17% 5.00 6.80  
5  PERFECT SPLIT 5 6 612 611¾   613 517 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 ★ 13.70  
2  MAHAL KITA 2 4 56 56¾   513 618 (medina tomas)KEISER CHELSEY 126 20.00 26.70  
SCR  PICARDE               (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00    
 
MVR-3   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRAYWING 3 4 31½ 32   11 1½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★ 15.40  
1  EMPIRE'S FIRE 1 5 53¼ 53   31 2½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.20 66% 0.50 0.05 P
2  CLAW 2 6 43 43   44 3¾ (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★ 30.50 S
5  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 5 2 2nk 11   21 43½ (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 14.00  
6  BULLION 6 1 64¼ 66   68¼ 511 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 8% 11.50 26.10  
4  UPGRADE AL 4 3 1nk 21   58 619¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★ 11.10  
 
MVR-4   01/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILLY CHROME 1 7 44 44½   2½ 16¾ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★ 7.00  
6  FACTISIMFLASHY 6 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 26¾ (chapman j)CORREA L 120 10.00 11.00  
4  UNESCORTED 4 4 74¾ 65¼   46 38 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 27% 2.80 4.90 S
5  LOVE MY CHERYL 5 3 32½ 32   34½ 412 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 ★ 17.10  
3  LADY GIULIANA 3 5 64¾ 75¾   57½ 515½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 4.50 5.30  
2  LONG BLACK VEIL 2 6 54¼ 55   67½ 618¾ (reed r)HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 42% 1.40 2.30  
7  LOTTA MOSCATO 7 2 1nk 2nk   78½ 730¼ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 5% 17.60 1.90  
 
MVR-5   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHOVILLE 5 9 64¾ 53¼   1nk 1¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 48% 1.10 4.70 W
8  GOOD ALTERNATIVE 8 3 75¼ 74¼   2nk 2¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 3.00  
4  SHEZA HOOT 2 1 107 96½   74¾ 31½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 10.00 6.90  
7  LOADED ONCE MORE 7 8 85¼ 42¾   43½ 42 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 11% 7.90 7.20  
10  SWEET BELEN 10 2 11 12½   31½ 54¾ (murillo rodrigue)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 4.80  
9  BETTABE SWIFT 9 4 34 32½   64¾ 65 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 13.90  
2  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 1 6 44½ 63¼   85¼ 77½ (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 ★ 8.90  
5  DESPEIGHT ALL ODDS 3 5 21 22½   54½ 813 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
6  ORBETTE 6 10 96¾ 106½   911¼ 916¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 23.50  
1  EMPEROR'S SONG 4 7 54½ 86¼   1013¼ 1019¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★ 4.70  
SCR  LUCKY TO HAVE ME               (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-6   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:134 1:274   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DON'T POKE THE CAT 6 1 52¾ 41½ 33 2½ 11½ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 8.00 44% 1.30 4.60 W
8  ACROSS THE AISLE 8 9 95¾ 95¼ 87¼ 57½ 21½ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 ★ 5.80 P
4  VOLBEAT 4 5 2nk 1½ 13 1½ 33½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 2.80  
5  QUESTION AUTHORITY 5 7 83¾ 72¼ 76¼ 46½ 44¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 14.50  
1  SKIDSTREAM 1 8 31½ 2½ 23 32½ 55½ (faulkner )CORREA L 124 15.00 23.80  
2  ENJOY BASEBALL 2 10 108¾ 107¼ 99¼ 88¼ 69¾ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 15% 5.90 9.90  
9  GRANDGRAN 9 4 73¼ 84¼ 1010¼ 99¼ 710 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 11% 8.10 14.70  
3  ASTRO JAK 3 6 1nk 3½ 64¾ 67½ 813¼ (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 9.90  
10  PAT DADDY 10 3 63¼ 61¾ 43¼ 78 917¼ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 17.90 5.80  
7  UNCAPTURED PULSE 7 2 41¾ 51¾ 54¼ 1012¼ 1021¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00 6.20  
 
MVR-7   01/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:254 1:154 1:292     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 1 4 12 11½ 11 13½ 12¾ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6.70  
8  BIG FRANK 7 5 53¾ 32 31 34 22¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 27% 2.70 2.20 P
2  STRIKE A BEAT 2 2 22 21½ 21 23½ 33¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 48% 1.10 3.20 S
4  NATES HEARTTHROB 4 7 65¾ 75¼ 54¾ 55½ 44 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 ★ 3.00  
3  JUST CHITU 3 6 33½ 52½ 44½ 44½ 58¾ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 ★ 3.80  
6  CAPE MARCO DRIVE 6 1 75¾ 65 78¾ 715½ 623¾ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 ★ 18.70  
5  GET ALONG 5 3 43½ 42½ 66¾ 613½ 725¾ (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 24.00  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ALIBI               (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HIDING THE BRICK 9 2 41¼ 42   1nk 13¼ (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.00 39% 1.50 2.60 W
2  JOCULARITY 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 23¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 9.40  
4  TURN THE SWITCH 4 7 72¼ 63¼   3½ 35 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 6.00 2.90  
3  EXONERATED PREZ 3 4 2nk 2nk   42½ 45½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
1  REINSURE 1 8 61¾ 96¼   55 55½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 8% 10.80 9.30  
7  JULIE'S FERRARI 7 9 93½ 86¼   75¾ 66¼ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 8.00 12% 7.50 5.60  
6  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 5 3.2 3½   65½ 711¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 6.30  
8  GATTO MARRONE 8 1 51¼ 52¼   97¼ 811½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 43.70  
5  QIAN B C 5 6 82½ 74¼   87¼ 914 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8% 11.00 5.80  
 
MVR-9   01/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THE WILD FLYER 8 11 62¼ 78½   66½ 11¼ (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12.40  
10  TWICE AS SMART 11 8 21 12½   12½ 21¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 15.90  
1  SOUPER PRONTO 5 3 85¼ 66½   32½ 31½ (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
3  STOP MAKING SENSE 2 4 117¾ 98¾   77½ 43¼ (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.30  
7  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 7 6 129¾ 1110   55 53½ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 2.50 36% 1.80 3.20  
5  PUBLIC RECORD 4 10 41¼ 88¾   89½ 64½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 22.00  
2  SMUDGE THE CAT 1 2 11 32½   22½ 76½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 2.00  
11  SUNNY BEAST 12 9 52¼ 22½   43 87¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 9.70  
9  STAYIN OR STRAYIN 10 7 74¼ 55   910½ 912½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
6  BAHAMIAN BEAT 6 1 96¼ 109   1012½ 1015 (londono odin )TOLEDO S 124 20.00 15% 5.70 60.70  
1A  KAPHAVATA 9 5 31 44   1117½ 1121¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★ 2.20  
4  DIAMOND MONEY 3 12 107¼ 1217   1225½ 1235¼ (romero )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 20.00 63.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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